04 July 2024 - 21:00 

- QF

South America - Copa America

Argentina
VS
Ecuador

Prediction:

Argentina to win and Ecuador not to score

Odds : -115

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Argentina vs Ecuador Prediction & Picks - Copa America

 by Simon Day | in Copa America Picks

Defending champions Argentina take on Ecuador in the first quarter final of the Copa America. The title holders made serene progress through the group stages, winning all three games without conceding a goal. Inter Milan striker Lautaro  Martínez has been the star of the show, scoring four goals including a last gasp winner against Peru on Gameday Two. Ecuador needed a backs-to-the-wall performance against Mexico on Gameday Three to secure the 0-0 draw which confirmed their place in the last eight. However, they will need to make some huge improvements if they are to pose a serious threat to an Argentinian team currently on an eight game winning run.

This match against Ecuador should turn out to the advantage of the 2022 World Champions, who should pass this hurdle to reach the last four of this competition. Coach Lionel Scaloni, who helped Argentina finish 3rd at the Copa America in 2019 and win the last edition in Brazil (0-1) in 2021, could enable his team to achieve another performance. Argentina have a wide-open field for a place in the final, as Argentina could meet Venezuela or Canada in the semi-finals if they get over the "Ecuador" hurdle.

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Argentina vs Ecuador Form

Argentina and Ecuador Latest Matches

Argentina
Argentina Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

Jun 29, 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Peru

Jun 25, 2024 - Copa America

Chile
0 :  1
Argentina

Jun 20, 2024 - Copa America

Argentina
2 :  0
Canada

Jun 14, 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
1 :  4
Argentina

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
3 :  1
Costa Rica
Ecuador
Ecuador Latest matches
L W W L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
1
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

Jun 30, 2024 - Copa America

Mexico
0 :  0
Ecuador

Jun 26, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
3 :  1
Jamaica

Jun 22, 2024 - Copa America

Ecuador
1 :  2
Venezuela

Jun 16, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
2 :  1
Honduras

Jun 12, 2024 - International Friendlies

Ecuador
3 :  1
Bolivia

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Argentina against Ecuador : Head to Head (H2H)

Argentina

83 %

Draw

17 %

Ecuador

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
2.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Sep 7, 2023 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Mar 29, 2022 - World Cup

Ecuador
1 :  1
Argentina

Jul 3, 2021 - Copa America

Argentina
3 :  0
Ecuador

Oct 8, 2020 - World Cup

Argentina
1 :  0
Ecuador

Oct 13, 2019 - International Friendlies

Argentina
6 :  1
Ecuador

Argentina - Ecuador: Form Analysis

Argentina are in imperious form, winning 22 of their last 23 games. That run includes their victory at the 2022 World Cup, as well as notable wins over the likes of Brazil and Chile. Despite their array of attacking talent, defence has been the key to Argentina's success. They have conceded just twice in their last 8 games and have kept three clean sheets so far at the tournament. At the other end of the field, striker Lautaro Martinez is in the form of his life, finding the net six times in his last four games. 

Ecuador's form has been a mixed bag over the last 12 months. They have won three and lost three of their last seven games, a sequence that includes a 1-0 defeat to Argentina in a June friendly. Their record at the Copa America has also been a mixed bag. It is 32 years since they last made the semi finals, but they have reached the last eight in two of the last three tournaments. 

Argentina have won six of their last seven games against Ecuador, with the Ecuadorian last victory in the fixture coming in 2015. They have met 16 times at the Copa America, and Ecuador are yet to register a single victory. 

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Argentina v Ecuador Lineups: Last Starting 11

Argentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

23
E. Martinez
4
G. Montiel
19
N. Otamendi
6
G. Pezzella
3
N. Tagliafico
14
E. Palacios
5
L. Paredes
16
G. Lo Celso
11
A. Di Maria
22
L. Martinez
17
A. Garnacho
13
E. Valencia
16
J. Sarmiento
10
K. Paez
11
K. Rodriguez
23
M. Caicedo
21
A. Franco
3
P. Hincapie
6
W. Pacho
2
F. Torres
17
A. Preciado
22
A. Dominguez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Ecuador

Missing players

Argentina
Argentina
Defender

M. Acuna

Ecuador
Ecuador
Forward

K. Rodriguez

Argentina & Ecuador Squad Analysis

Argentina rested a few key players for their final group game, so expect to see the likes of Rodrigo de Paul and Alexis Mac Allister return to the starting lineup. Lionel Messi is also due to return after missing the last two games with a minor hamstring issue. Having started the tournament on the bench, Lautaro Martinez's fantastic form has ensured he will be in the starting lineup, at the expense of Nicolas Gonzalez. 

Possible starting eleven: E. Martinez; Molina, Romero, Li. Martinez, Tagliafico; Di Maria, De Paul, Mac Allister; Messi, La. Martinez, Alvarez

Ecuador will stick with the starting eleven that performed very well in the 0-0 draw with Mexico. That means record scorer Eno Valencia will continue in attack, despite failing to find the net so far in the competition. Goalkeeper Alexander Dominguez was the star of the show in the Mexico game, but will need to take his game to a whole new level if he is top help Ecuador reach their first Copa America semi final in over 30 years.

Possible starting eleven: Dominguez; Preciado, Torres, Pacho, Hincapie; Franco, M. Caicedo; Minda, Paez, Sarmiento; Valencia

Argentina - Ecuador Key Points

  1. Argentina have kept 4 Copa America clean sheets in a row.
  2. Ecuador have never beaten Argentina in the Copa America
  3. Ecuador have one clean sheet in their last 7 games
  4. Argentina have won their last 8 games
Up to $1500 to bet on Argentina - Ecuador! 

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Our Argentina vs Ecuador Prediction

Unsurprisingly, Argentina are huge favorites to progress in this one and it is hard to disagree with that verdict. Ecuador will be resilient, but we can't see them troubling a rock solid Argentinian backline. There is a bit of value in backing a 1-0 Argentina victory (4.90), but given the form of Martinez and the return of Messi, we think the world champions will grab more than one goal. A 3-0 full time result is reasonably priced at 8.50, but we think the best value is on a comfortable 2-0 win for Argentina. Our prediction for Argentina vs Ecuador is: Argentina to win 2-0, +440 at BetMGM.

Prediction:

Argentina to win and Ecuador not to score

Odds : -115

$1500 offered for betting!

Argentina vs Ecuador - Other Interesting Picks

Julian Alvarez first goalscorer

Alvarez is often the forgotten man in the Argentina frontline. However, the Manchester City star is one of the first names on the teamsheet and rarely lets his country down. He scored in the opening win over Canada and performed well in all three group games. Messi and Martinex are shorter in the market, but we are backing Alvarez to open the scoring.

Draw/Argentina HT/FT

All five of Argentina's goals in the competition have come in the second half of games and we think that trend could continue against Ecuador. We are not expecting Ecuador to display much attacking intent, but they showed against Mexico that they can defend resiliently when required. It could take Argentina more than 45 minutes to break them down.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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Argentina vs Ecuador Picks