Argentina vs Canada Prediction & Picks - Copa America
by Stephen Abiola | in Copa America Picks
The 48th Copa America tournament will kick off this week, with Argentina and Canada squaring off in the Group A opener. Argentina comes into this tournament as the odds-on favorite to lift the trophy after a successful 2022 World Cup campaign. Historically, they are the most successful in this competition with 15 titles and won the last edition in 2021. They'll come up against a tricky Canadian side that has finally hired a full-time head coach. This Argentinean side is known for its fluid attacking style and solid defense, which they'll use to control the game's tempo. The pressure is on them to beat the Canadians.
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Argentina vs Canada Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Argentina and Canada Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 14, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 22, 2024 - International Friendlies
Nov 21, 2023 - World Cup
Nov 16, 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Jun 9, 2024 - International Friendlies
Jun 6, 2024 - International Friendlies
Mar 23, 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 21, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Nov 18, 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Oct 13, 2023 - International Friendlies
Argentina - Canada: Form Analysis
Both teams head into this matchup in good form. The Messi-led Le Albiceleste is undefeated in all competitions in the last 37 out of 39 matches. They have lost only once in their previous 10 games. This was in November last year against Uruguay at home in their World Cup Qualifiers. In this game, they dominated 64% of possession and completed 85% of their passes but still lost by two goals. They have since defeated bigwigs like Brazil and Ecuador, including a 4-1 win against Guatemala last weekend. This scorching hot form should see them sail through Group A.
Canada has a respectable 55% win rate. The Reds have been solid on the road, scoring an average of 0.64 goals per game in their last 11 trips. However, their recent results against top teams have been dismal. Against Japan in October, they conceded four, with the Asians scoring all their goals in the first half. They also lost 4-0 to the Dutch earlier this month after conceding all goals in the second half. However, they showed fighting spirit against France in a 0-0 draw, where they had 49% possession and 89% pass accuracy. Canada can pull an upset against the world champions.
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Argentina against Canada Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
M. Acuna
ForwardL. Messi
S. Piette
M. Choiniere
Argentina & Canada Squad Analysis
Lionel Messi will lead Argentina, playing his 12th competitive international tournament. The 36-year-old has recently struggled with injuries for Inter Miami. But despite that, he has bagged 12 goals and 9 assists in 12 matches for the MLS side. This Argentinean side also features other star players like Julian Alvarez and Angel Di Maria. These players can produce game-changing performances when Messi is having an off-day. Chelsea's Enzo Fernandez will anchor the midfield as the South Americans look to dominate proceedings from the start.
Canada's performance at this event will depend on how well Marsch settles in. He took over just a month ago after John Herdman left in August 2023. Since then, the team has shown strategic discipline and cohesiveness, although Canada is still a work in progress. They will rely on experienced players like Alphonso Davies and Jonathan David for creativity and goals. Jonathan David was exceptional in the French League 1 this season after bagging 19 goals and 4 assists in 34 matches. However, Marsch will be more keen on a team performance against a top-quality Argentinean side.
Argentina - Canada Key Points
- Canada has scored in 7 of their last 10 matches.
- Messi has scored three goals in five matches for Argentina.
- Argentina has scored in all of their last 10 matches.
- Canada has scored 2 or more in all of their last 5 matches against CONCACAF teams.
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Our Argentina vs Canada Prediction
Canada is under no pressure to beat Argentina in their Copa America debut. Even a draw against the defending champions would be considered a success back home. Argentina will need a comfortable win to make a bold statement to their competitors like Brazil and Mexico. The White and Sky Blues should have a problem bagging goals in this matchup, thanks to their all-star attack and defensive solidity. However, their main undoing could be underrating this Canadian side. Our prediction for Argentina vs Canada: Over 3.5 goals.
Argentina vs Canada - Other Interesting Picks
Lionel Messi to score
Lionel Messi will orchestrate Argentina's attacks. Therefore, it's only logical to back the eight-time Ballon D'or winner to score at any moment in this matchup. After his World Cup heroics in Qatar, Messi seems to have found his groove for Argentina. It will take a lot from the Canadians to keep him at bay in this matchup.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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