Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 80 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
3/19/25 11:00
ATP 36 Argentina
Sebastian Baez

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+130
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks

There's more action coming our way from the ATP event in Miami on Wednesday, when there are several matches due to take place, including a showdown between recent Phoenix finalist Alexander Bublik and recent clay-court winner Sebastian Baez. The pair will be meeting for the first time. For Bublik, who is known by tennis fans as supremely talented and entertaining, consistency has always been the issue, but the Kazakh player recently put together a consistent run of performances, which allowed him to reach the final of the ATP event in Phoenix, Arizona. Sure, he lost to the rapidy improving Joao Fonseca, but such a run of form remains notable. 

For Sebastian Baez, who is currently ranked as the 36th best player in the world, last weeks' event in Indian Wells marked a return to hard-court tennis following a spell on the clay in South America, where the Argentine won an event in Brazil, before reaching another final in Chile. If this match was on the orange surface, then Baez would be hard to look beyond, but as we're on a hard court, it's harder to see the South American dominating. Let's see what happens. 

Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Form

Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 16, 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

Mar 15, 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Mar 14, 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Mar 13, 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Rinky Hijikata
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Mar 12, 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Alexander Bublik
2 :  1
Aleksandar Vukic

Mar 5, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Yosuke Watanuki
Sebastian Baez Latest matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 6, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Gigante
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

Mar 2, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Laslo Djere
2 :  1
Sebastian Baez

Mar 1, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Feb 28, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Feb 27, 2025 - ATP Santiago Open

Francisco Comesana
1 :  2
Sebastian Baez

Feb 23, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez
Compare Alexander Bublik and Sebastian Baez with our comparison tool.

Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez Key Points

  1. This will be the first competitive match between the pair.
  2. Each of Sebastian Baez's last three matches have contained three sets.
  3. Four of Sebastian Baez's last five matches have contained three sets.
  4. Five of Alexander Bublik's last seven matches have contained three sets.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Prediction

To be honest, this looks very much like a match that has the makings of a three-setter. Sure, Bublik has found some consistency of late, but he's a player that always switches between brilliance and sloppiness, so even when he wins, he rarely blows players away, which is why five of his last seven matches have contained three sets. Factor in that Baez has been involved in lots of three-set matches in recent weeks and 'Over 2.5 Sets' starts to look like a smart move in the betting. Our Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Pick: Over 2.5 Sets.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+130
$1500 offered for betting!

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Alexander Bublik vs Sebastian Baez Picks