ATP - ATP Miami

ATP 33 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik
23 Mar 2024 17:15
ATP 37 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi

Prediction:

 

Matteo Arnaldi to Win

+115
$150 offered for betting!

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Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Picks - ATP Miami

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Miami Picks

One of tennis' most exciting and entertaining players will be on show at the ATP event in Miami on Friday afternoon, as Alexander Bublik takes on Matteo Arnaldi, who is quickly making a name for himself as a young player to watch out for. After beating Frenchman Arthur Fils in straight sets during the first round, the Italian may just fancy himself to get the better of a player ranked 20 places above him, and I'd be inclined to agree with that.

Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Form

Alexander Bublik and Matteo Arnaldi Latest Matches

Alexander Bublik Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Mar 10, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Mar 8, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

Mar 2, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Mar 1, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
abort
Andrey Rublev

Feb 29, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
abort
Jiri Lehecka

Feb 28, 2024 - ATP Dubai Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Tallon Griekspoor
Matteo Arnaldi Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Mar 20, 2024 - ATP Miami

Arthur Fils
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

Mar 8, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 6, 2024 - ATP Indian Wells

Luca Van Assche
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

Feb 28, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Ben Shelton
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

Feb 26, 2024 - ATP Acapulco Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Taylor Fritz

Feb 19, 2024 - ATP Los Cabos Open

Max Purcell
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

Alexander Bublik - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points

  1. Alexander Bublik isn't exactly a stranger to losing to players ranked below him, losing recently to both Popyrin and Raonic.
  2. Two of Matteo Arnaldi's last three hard-court wins were against players ranked higher than him.
  3. Alexander Bublik has lost in the first round in two of his last three hard-court events on US soil.
  4. If we discount players ranked 17th or above, Arnaldi is on a three-match winning streak.

Our Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Everybody who follows tennis knows what Alexander Bublik is capable of. Often likened to fellow maverick Nick Kyrgios, Bublik is an entertainer, a player capable of the audacious and when he's firing on all cylinders, he can cut it with the very best. The trouble is, he's hugely inconsistent, while his will to win sometimes comes into question. In contrast, Matteo Arnaldi is a hungry young player who has pushed some of the very best in the game recently. He took a set off of Carlos Alcaraz in his penultimate match, showing bags of both tenacity and quality, while he was in fine form when beating another up-and-comer in Arthur Fils yesterday. That should hold him in good stead here against a Bublik that hasn't played a competitive match for 11 days and didn't exactly look in great form when losing in straight sets when last seen. All in all, the Italian deserves a bit more respect and is worth betting on to beat his higher-ranked opponent.

Prediction:

 

Matteo Arnaldi to Win

+115
$150 offered for betting!

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Alexander Bublik vs Matteo Arnaldi Picks