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Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 7 Australia
Alex De Minaur
4/30/25 14:30
ATP 11 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+105
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

The fourth-round clash between Alex De Minaur of Australia and Lorenze Musetti of Italy will cap an action-packed Wednesday schedule at the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open.

De Minaur is enjoying another deep campaign in Madrid following a semifinal stint in Monte Carlo and a quarterfinal appearance in Barcelona. On Wednesday, the Australian swept Denis Shapovalov 6-3, 7-6(3) to get another opportunity of reaching the round of 8. De Minaur has reached the quarterfinals five times this year.

Musetti keeps thriving on the red dirt, earning his seventh win in his last eight matches with a signature victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 7-6(3) in the third round. The Italian, who lost to Carlos Alcaraz 3-6 6-1 6-0 in the final of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters, busted out several mesmerizing winners and delivered the big shots in the most pressure-packed moments of the match to eliminate the top-rated Greek in Madrid.

Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti Latest Matches

Alex De Minaur Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Denis Shapovalov

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alex De Minaur

Apr 17, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Jacob Fearnley
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur
Lorenzo Musetti Latest matches
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 26, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Apr 13, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Alex De Minaur against Lorenzo Musetti : Head to Head (H2H)

Alex De Minaur

0 %

Lorenzo Musetti

100 %

Apr 12, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

Jun 18, 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur
Compare Alex De Minaur and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Alex De Minaur - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Alex De Minaur defeated Denis Shapovalov 6-3 7-6(3) in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  2. Alex De Minaur is 24-8 in the 2025 season.
  3. Lorenzo Musetti defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 7-5 7-6(3) in the third round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  4. Lorenzo Musetti is 7-1 on clay court in 2025.

Our Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Lorenze Musetti scores another clay-court win over Alex De Minaur.

Lorenzo Musetti is an enticing bet at +105 to defeat Alex De Minaur for the second time in three weeks. There’s no questioning De Minaur’s caliber as a top-10 contender, but Musetti on clay is a world-beater. Musetti has beaten quality opponents like Matteo Berrettini, Tomas Martin Etcheverry, Stefanos Tsitsipas (twice), and De Minuar, and then pushed Carlos Alcaraz to a third set in the Monte Carlo final. We will likely watch another three-set battle between these two tennis gladiators, just like in their duel at the Monte Carlo Masters semifinals. When the dust settled, I expect Musetti to come away with another valiant win over the Australian. Our betting prediction for Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alex De Minaur: Lorenzo Musetti will win.

Prediction:

 

Lorenzo Musetti will win

+105
$1500 offered for betting!

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Alex De Minaur vs Lorenzo Musetti Picks