Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 42 Spain
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
4/12/25 07:00
ATP 3 Spain
Carlos Alcaraz

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will cover +3.5 Games

+135
$1500 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks

Carlos Alcaraz eyes a third final appearance this year in Saturday’s semifinal duel with the dangerous Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.

Alcaraz booked his ticket to his first Monte Carlo Masters semifinals after weathering off a feisty challenge from French rising star Arthur Fils 4-6 7-5 6-3. The reigning French Open champion demonstrated his championship pedigree by gutting out the win despite facing relentless pressure from the Frenchman. Alcaraz landed 61 percent of his first serves, scoring 43 points for a 69 percent conversion rate.

Meanwhile, Davidovich Fokina made a quick work of Australia’s Alexie Popyrin 6-3, 6-2 to move on to his second Monte Carlo semifinals. Fokina outclassed his Aussie foe by neutralizing his biggest weapons – his big serves – scoring on all his serves. Once the dust settled, the numbers were devastating in favor of Fokina as the Spaniard won 81 percent of his first serves and seized three breakpoint conversions.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Form

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Carlos Alcaraz Latest Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  0
Alexei Popyrin

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jack Draper
1 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
2 :  1
Ben Shelton

Mar 22, 2025 - ATP Miami

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Mar 20, 2025 - ATP Miami

Jan-Lennard Struff
0 :  2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Carlos Alcaraz Latest matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 11, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Arthur Fils
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

David Goffin
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 15, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Jack Draper
2 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

Mar 13, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina against Carlos Alcaraz : Head to Head (H2H)

Apr 21, 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Compare Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Carlos Alcaraz with our comparison tool.

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Key Points

  1. Carlos Alcaraz defeated Arthur Fils 4-6 7-5 6-3 in the QF of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  2. Carlos Alcaraz boasts an 81 percent win rate on clay court.
  3. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated 6-3, 6-2 in the QF of the 2025 Monte Carlo Masters.
  4. In their head-to-head series, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is 0-1 vs. Carlos Alcaraz.

Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction

Prediction: Alejandro Fokina will push Carlos Alcaraz to the limit, covering +3.5 Games.

Reasoning: Alcaraz is the big favorite heading into the match because of his status as the world’s No.3 and reigning French Open winner. But if you have followed the tournament, you will also appreciate Fokina’s work in this event. The Spaniard has taken down four quality opponents (Shelton, Etcheverry, Draper and Popyrin) en route to the semis. Popyrin stepped into the quarterfinal oozing confidently after downing two-time French Open finalist Casper Ruud. Fokina dispatched Popyrin with ease by holding serves and creating more breakpoint chances. Alcaraz might still end up winning this match, but I am counting on Fokina to perform exceptionally well on Saturday. Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Alejandro Fokina +3.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will cover +3.5 Games

+135
$1500 offered for betting!

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Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Carlos Alcaraz Picks