Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Picks - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Alavés
3/29/25 13:30
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction:

 

Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw

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 by Erik Gibbs in LaLiga Picks

Deportivo Alavés will host Rayo Vallecano on Saturday at the Estadio de Mendizorroza in what promises to be a competitive La Liga clash. This will be the second meeting between the two sides this season, with Rayo edging the reverse fixture 1-0 back in October. That day, despite Alavés taking 17 shots to Rayo’s 11, the Madrid-based side came away with all three points thanks to a resilient display.

Alavés come into this fixture after a 2-2 away draw against UD Las Palmas. Jon Guridi and Toni Martínez found the net, continuing the team’s trend of scoring despite inconsistent results. Alavés have struggled for wins, picking up just one in their last eight matches, but they’ve managed to score in five of those, suggesting they can still pose a threat in attack—especially on home soil.

Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, are in the midst of a five-game winless run but are still sitting in a respectable ninth place in the La Liga table. Their last match was a 2-2 draw against Real Sociedad, with goals coming from Óscar Trejo and Pedro Díaz. Despite their recent struggles, Rayo remain just three points off the potential European qualification spot, depending on Copa del Rey outcomes.

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Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
40 29 10 10 9 2
17
Alavés
Alavés
27 29 6 9 14 -12

Alavés and Rayo Vallecano Latest Matches

Alavés
Alavés Latest matches
L D L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
2 :  2
Alavés

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Villarreal

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Alavés

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Espanyol

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Getafe
D L D L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

Mar 8, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Villarreal

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Espanyol

Feb 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Getafe

Jan 27, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Celta Vigo

Jan 11, 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Girona

Dec 15, 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
D W L D D D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Mar 14, 2025 - LaLiga

Las Palmas
2 :  2
Alavés

Mar 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  1
Alavés

Feb 15, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés

Feb 2, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Alavés

Jan 18, 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  3
Alavés

Dec 22, 2024 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  2
Alavés
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Latest matches
W L L D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Villarreal

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Valladolid
W W W L D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  2
Real Sociedad

Mar 1, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

Feb 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Villarreal

Feb 7, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Valladolid

Jan 26, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Girona

Jan 10, 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Celta Vigo
W L D W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 9, 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Feb 17, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 31, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 16, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Jan 3, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Racing Ferrol
1 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

Alavés against Rayo Vallecano : Head to Head (H2H)

Alavés

33 %

Draw

0 %

Rayo Vallecano

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.33
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

Oct 26, 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Alavés

Mar 10, 2024 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Sep 15, 2023 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Alavés

Apr 16, 2022 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

Dec 18, 2021 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Alavés

Jan 28, 2019 - LaLiga

Alavés
0 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

Alavés against Rayo Vallecano Lineups: Starting 11

Alavés

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

1
A. Sivera
14
F. Tenaglia
5
A. Abqar
12
S. Mourino
3
M. Sanchez
8
A. Blanco
19
P. Cabanes
24
J. Jordan
18
J. Guridi
21
C. Alena
17
K. Garcia
11
R. Nteka
18
A. Garcia
8
O. Trejo
19
J. De Frutos
6
P. Ciss
17
U. Lopez
3
P. Chavarria
5
A. Hernandez
27
P. Fernandez
2
A. Ratiu
13
A. Batalla

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Rayo Vallecano

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Alavés
CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
Top Goalscorer
Spain K. Garcia (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain J. De Frutos (4 Goals)
Best assists
Spain C. Vicente (3 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Garcia (5 Assists)

Alavés - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Rayo Vallecano are 1-5 in their last 6 LaLiga games
  2. Rayo Vallecano score 1.1 goals per game
  3. Alavés give up 1.5 goals per game
  4. Alavés is 2-4 in their last 6 games vs. Rayo Vallecano.
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Our Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Defensively, Rayo will miss a key figure this weekend. Center-back Florian Lejeune, who had started every La Liga match this season, will be suspended after picking up his fifth yellow card. That’s a big blow to their defensive stability. On the other side, Alavés also have injury concerns, with Toni Martínez picking up a knock in the Las Palmas match, and Tomas Conechny still sidelined. However, they’ll benefit from the return of Antonio Blanco, Moussa Diarra, and Antonio Sivera from suspension.

Given both teams’ recent scoring patterns, this match looks like a prime candidate for the "Both Teams to Score" market. Rayo have scored in 13 of their 18 away games this season (72%) and have recently found the net against strong sides like Sevilla, Real Madrid, and Real Sociedad. With Alavés scoring regularly even amid poor form, it’s hard to imagine either side keeping a clean sheet.

All signs point toward an open and entertaining game, with both sides likely to get on the scoresheet as they fight for mid-table supremacy and, for Rayo, an outside shot at Europe. Our prediction for Alavés vs. Rayo Vallecano: Game to end in a draw.

Prediction:

 

Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw

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Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano Picks
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