Europe - Champions League

AC Milan
17 Sep 2024 15:00
Liverpool

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to win and both teams to score

+202
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AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction & Picks - Champions League

 by Simon Day | in Champions League Picks

There's a blockbuster game in store on Tuesday night, as AC Milan host Liverpool in a repeat of the 20025 and 2007 Champions League finals. Milan recorded an impressive 4-0 win over Venezia at the weekend, but their overall form has been patchy so far this season. 2-2 draws with Lazio and Torino, plus a defeat at Parma means they are ninth in the Serie A standings after four games. After starting the campaign with three wins, Liverpool fell to a disappointing 0-1 defeat at home to Notts Forest at the weekend. Despite that, new boss Arne Slot has made an impressive start to life at Anfield and fans are hopeful that he can be a worthy successor to Jurgen Klopp.
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AC Milan vs Liverpool Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Liverpool
Liverpool
18 6 6 0 0 12
12
AC Milan
AC Milan
12 6 4 0 2 3

AC Milan and Liverpool Latest Matches

AC Milan
AC Milan Latest matches
D W D L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  0
Venezia

Aug 31, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 24, 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 17, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Torino FC

Aug 13, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
3 :  1
Monza

Aug 6, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  2
AC Milan
W D W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
4 :  0
Venezia

Aug 17, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Torino FC

Aug 13, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
3 :  1
Monza

Jul 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  0
Real Madrid

May 25, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  3
Salernitana

May 11, 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
5 :  1
Cagliari
L D W D L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Aug 31, 2024 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

Aug 24, 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 6, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  2
AC Milan

Jul 27, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester City
2 :  3
AC Milan

Jul 20, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Rapid Wien
1 :  1
AC Milan

May 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Roma
5 :  2
AC Milan
Liverpool
Liverpool Latest matches
W D W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 1, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 25, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brentford

Aug 17, 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 11, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
0 :  0
Las Palmas

Aug 11, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Sevilla
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
0 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Aug 25, 2024 - Premier League

Liverpool
2 :  0
Brentford

Aug 11, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
0 :  0
Las Palmas

Aug 11, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
Sevilla

Jul 31, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  1
Arsenal

Jul 26, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
1 :  0
Betis
L D D W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 1, 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

Aug 17, 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Liverpool

Aug 3, 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  3
Liverpool

May 13, 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
3 :  3
Liverpool

Apr 27, 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Liverpool

Apr 24, 2024 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  0
Liverpool

AC Milan against Liverpool : Head to Head (H2H)

AC Milan

0 %

Draw

0 %

Liverpool

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.33
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
3
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

Dec 16, 2022 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
4 :  1
AC Milan

Dec 7, 2021 - Champions League

AC Milan
1 :  2
Liverpool

Sep 15, 2021 - Champions League

Liverpool
3 :  2
AC Milan

AC Milan - Liverpool: Form Analysis

AC Milan have big ambitions for the new financial year. In Serie A, the Lombardy club is determined to fight for the title. However, they fell behind from the outset. Worryingly defensively, they started with 2 draws against Torino (2-2) and Lazio Rome (2-2), but also lost to Parma (2-1). The international break seems to have done Paulo Fonseca's team some good. Last weekend, they picked up their 1st win in Serie A, with an easy 4-0 victory over Venezia FC. The best possible preparation before facing Liverpool in the Champions League, then Inter Milan next weekend...

For their part, Liverpool were far more convincing on their league debut. They, too, will be hoping to play well for the Premier League title. They managed to win their first 3 league games. The Reds had little difficulty in defeating Ipswich Town (0-2), Brentford (2-0) and Manchester United (0-3). Arne Slot's men were expected to carry on after the international break against Nottingham Forest. However, in front of their home fans, Alisson Becker's team-mates suffered their 1st defeat of the season (0-1).

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AC Milan against Liverpool Lineups: Starting 11

AC Milan

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

16
M. Maignan
2
D. Calabria
31
S. Pavlovic
23
F. Tomori
19
T. Hernandez
29
Y. Fofana
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
11
C. Pulisic
14
T. Reijnders
10
R. Leao
7
A. Morata
20
D. Jota
18
C. Gakpo
8
D. Szoboszlai
11
M. Salah
10
A. Mac Allister
38
R. Gravenberch
21
K. Tsimikas
5
I. Konate
4
V. Van Dijk
66
T. Alexander-Arnold
1
Alisson

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Liverpool

Missing players

AC Milan
AC Milan
Defender

A. Florenzi

Midfielder

I. Bennacer

Forward

L. Jovic

Liverpool
Liverpool

AC Milan & Liverpool Squad Analysis

For their Champions League opener, AC Milan will be without the injured Marco Sportiello, Alessandro Florenzi and Ismaël Bennacer. Malick Thiaw is highly doubtful, while Davide Calabria is expected to return to action. As a reminder, Luka Jovic is not on the UEFA list and will therefore be unable to play. Paulo Fonseca will be expecting a lot from his key players. He made a bold decision to start Theo Hernandez and Rafael Leao on the bench before the international break against Lazio Rome. They were decisive in their team's 2nd goal, coming on as substitutes. Against Venezia FC last weekend, they shone again. The French full-back scored, while the Portuguese winger provided an assist and won a penalty. Christian Pulisic also arrived with confidence, with 1 goal and 1 assist in his last match.

As for the Reds, Harvey Elliott is still absent. Federico Chiesa has yet to start for Liverpool, as he is not yet fit. Of course, it's Mohamed Salah who will be the one to watch most closely. The Egyptian winger is in fine form, with 3 goals and 3 assists in 4 Premier League games. In midfield, Ryan Gravenberch is back to his best under Arne Slot. Finally, the defensive sector will also be eagerly awaited. Alisson Becker will be out in force in goal, while Virgil van Dijk will be out to make life difficult for the opposing forwards.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato AC Milan
CD Huachipato Liverpool
Top Goalscorer
USA C. Pulisic (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Egypt M. Salah (16 Goals)
Best assists
USA C. Pulisic (5 Assists)
France Y. Fofana (5 Assists)
Portugal R. Leao (5 Assists)
Best assists
Egypt M. Salah (13 Assists)

AC Milan - Liverpool Key Points

  1. Both teams have scored in 7 of Milan's last 8 games
  2. Liverpool have won 3 of their last 4 games versus Milan
  3. Both teams have scored in the last 4 Liverpool-Milan encounters
  4. Liverpool have won 4 of their last 5 games
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Our AC Milan vs Liverpool Prediction

Although Milan will have been boosted by the win over Venezia, we are still not convinced they have the quality to compete with the best teams in Europe. On the flip side, despite Liverpool's loss at the weekend, we are still confident that they can have a solid season in the Champions League. Any team with the likes of Mo Salah and Luis Diaz in their ranks is capable of scoring goals, and that could mean a long evening for Milan and their frail backline. Our prediction for AC Milan vs Liverpool is: Liverpool to win and both teams to score, +225 at DraftKings.

Prediction:

 

Liverpool to win and both teams to score

+202
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AC Milan vs Liverpool - Other Interesting Picks

Mohamed Salah to Score

Odds +480
Mohamed Salah is in fine form at the start of the season, with 3 goals and 3 assists in just 4 games. The Liverpool winger has no intention of taking his foot off the pedal in the run-up to the Champions League. He'll have plenty to talk about in Milan.
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Over 2.5 Goals

Odds -188
AC Milan's “over 2.5 goals" bet has paid off in the first 4 Serie A matches. The same was true of Liverpool's last Premier League trip to Manchester United (0-3).
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

AC Milan vs Liverpool Picks
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