Super Bowl 59: Stats To Know Before Betting
by Tyler Doty | by Tyler Doty
For many, betting on the Super Bowl is just something you do because the game is on, whether you are a fan of either team or not. With teams like the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles playing, the game could be one thrilling moment after another. But having some skin in the game makes it more exciting to watch.
The line opened with the Chiefs favored at -1.5 points, quickly jumped to -2, but just as quickly settled back at -1.5, where it has remained. But that does not mean it will remain as we get closer to kick-off.
Super Bowl 59: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Kansas City Chiefs will try to win an unprecedented third Super Bowl in a row when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, Feb. 9, 2025, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. Kick-off is scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET, with coverage available for fans on FOX. As with any NFL prediction, having a look at where the average sports bettor is placing their money can offer some key insight.
Before we jump into the stats to consider for Super Bowl 59, take a second to check out our exclusive Super Bowl 59 video where we go into greater detail about this matchup and some of the key factors to consider for Sunday night:
At the time of writing, the lines are (odds via FanDuel)
- Moneyline: Chiefs -124; Eagles +106
- Point Spread: Chiefs -1.5 (-110); Eagles +1.5 (-110)
- Total: O/U 48.5 (-110/-110)
After two weeks of betting, the public appears to be almost split on who will win Super Bowl 59:
- Moneyline tickets: Chiefs 49%, Eagles 51%
- Moneyline handle: Chiefs 38%, Eagles 62%
- Spread tickets: Chiefs 32%, Eagles 68%
- Spread handle: Chiefs 24%, Eagles 76%
- TOTAL tickets: OVER 75% UNDER 25%
- TOTAL handle: OVER 67% UNDER 33%
Super Bowl 59 Betting Stats: Chiefs vs Eagles
Here are the season betting stats for the teams competing in Super Bowl 59:
- Kansas City Chiefs: 17-2 SU, 9-10 ATS
- The OVER was 8-11 for the Chiefs this season.
- Philadelphia Eagles: 17-3 SU, 13-7 ATS
- The OVER was 9-11 for the Eagles this season.
- The Chiefs have won 18 straight when favored.
- The Eagles were 3-0 as an underdog.
- The Chiefs are 12-0 in games decided by one score.
- The Eagles are 8-2 in games decided by one score.
It is also worth noting that this is a rematch of Super Bowl 57, meaning it’s the second time in three seasons the Eagles will have played in the Super Bowl. But it will be the fifth appearance in the last six editions of the Big Game for the Chiefs, who are trying to win an unprecedented third consecutive Super Bowl title.
Super Bowl 58 Betting Stats
Last season saw the Kansas City Chiefs take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58. Like the previous year (SB 57), the Chiefs were underdogs, with the spread closing at 49ers -2. The moneyline closed at -120 for the Eagles and +100 for the Chiefs. As for the TOTAL, it closed at 47.5 points.
Here’s how the public bet on Super Bowl 58:
- Moneyline tickets: 49ers 36%, Chiefs 64%
- Moneyline handle: 49ers 26% Chiefs 74%
- Spread tickets: 49ers 22% Chiefs 78%
- Spread handle: 49ers 28% Chiefs 72%
- TOTAL tickets: OVER 24% UNDER 76%
- TOTAL handle: OVER 37% UNDER 63%
Those who bet on the game to go to overtime won big, especially at BetMGM, where the prop closed at +775. The book took a massive hit, with 95% of tickets betting that the game would indeed go to overtime.
Super Bowl Betting Stats: History
The AFC has been on a run over the last decade, winning seven of the last ten Super Bowls, but the all-time mark stands at 29-29. As far as the spread goes, the record is also pretty even at 28-28-2, with the AFC winning eight of the last ten Super Bowls against the spread.
But if we dive a little deeper into the betting stats related to the game, the betting favorite has dominated with a record of 37-21 outright but just 4-6 SU in the last ten and 3-7 against the spread. Incidentally, the Chiefs were underdogs in the previous two (which they won).
Over the years, 19 Super Bowls have closed with a spread of +/- 3 or less. Of those games, the favorites went 9-10 SU and 9-10 ATS. If the line closes at 1.5 points for Super Bowl 59, it will be the third year in a row with a 1.5-point spread.
As for the TOTAL, the UNDER is 5-1 in the last six Super Bowls and 29-28 overall (no total listed for Super Bowl I).
