Recurring winnings on HT/FT bets: Beware of scams!
Table of contents
You've undoubtedly already seen these types of headlines on the Internet: "a quick and easy way to earn between 2,000 and 3,000 Euros a day!"
It's all over the unscrupulous sports betting websites. Some call it the "Betandwin Rift", others the "recurring win method" or the "Half Time/Full Time" method. Some of you may have lost a lot of money using this method, which prompts us to talk about it.
Above all, you should know that this method does only one thing: lose you money!
Below we’ll go into more detail:
What is a Half Time - Full Time bet?
The Half Time - Full Time bet involves betting on the result at the end of the first half and the result at the end of the second half.
You bet on the result at the end of the first half and the result at the end of the second half. To win your bet, you need to be correct in both of the selections. Naturally, the odds will vary depending on the normal match odds and the results that you select. For example, a bet on the home favourite to be leading at half time and full time is going to pay out significantly less than a bet on the home favourite to be losing at half time and winning at full time. The key aspect to remember is that in order to win this type of bet, both your predictions must be correct.
Bear in mind that this type of bet can be quite risky, as it requires you to predict two different outcomes. It is therefore a betting market which is difficult to obtain a high percentage success rate in the long run.
What is the Half Time - Full Time method?
The Half Time / Full Time method consists of betting indifferently on results with odds greater than 6.0. In other words, the least likely outcomes!
Half Time - Full Time: betting options
9 bets are possible on each match:
1 / 1 : Home team leads at half-time and wins the match
X / 1 : Home team draws at half-time and wins the match
2 / 2 : Away team leads at half-time and wins the match
1 / X : Home team leads at half-time and the final result is a draw
X / 2 : Tie at half-time and away team wins the match
2 / X : Away team leads at half-time and the final result is a draw
1 / 2: Home team leads at half-time and away team wins the match
X / X : Draw at half-time and at the end of the match
2 / 1: Away team leads at half-time and home team wins the match
Why doesn't betting with this method work?
This method is based on completely false mathematical principles! When the authors state, "By betting on 6 results with odds greater than 6.0, you have 6 chances out of 9 (i.e. a 66% chance) of winning at least your stake and up to 50 times or more your stake. In other words, 1 bet won can more than cover your losses!” Be aware that they are 100% trying to deceive you. Betting on 6 out of 9 outcomes is not the same as having 6 out of 9 chances of winning. This would only be true if all outcomes were equiprobable (i.e. the same chance of happening) and if bookmakers didn't apply any margin to the bets offered.
By betting exclusively on all odds above 6.0, you're betting on the outcomes that are least likely to occur, and leaving out the most likely outcomes. You therefore have very little chance of winning!
These bets are the most profitable for bookmakers, and the least profitable for the bettor!
The margin applied by bookmakers to Half Time - Full Time bets is on average 20%, compared to 10% for other types of bets. The bookmakers are hoping you make these types of bets. The disadvantage to the bettor with the high margins is therefore far too great to overcome and be profitable in the long term. This is especially true when betting indiscriminately on 6 out of 9 possible outcomes for the same event!
Why is it so widespread on the Internet?
The sites that publish this method have a singular aim: to entice you to open a betting account at any cost by promising you huge winnings. There's no such thing as a miracle recipe or a get-rich-quick formula in sports betting, otherwise everyone would be doing it! Good analysis, attention to detail and patience can make all the difference in this field, but certainly not this type of method.
What are the actual results of this method?
"By repeating this technique on the number of soccer matches played every day in Europe and around the world, your potential earnings are enormous: between €2,000 and €3,000 per day!"
Nothing could be further from the truth. We've created a statistical simulation in which we follow the Half Time - Full Time method to the letter. If you bet once a day using this method*, you have a 60% chance of going bankrupt within 100 days. Another web scam!
Example of Half Time-Full Time
Half Time - Full Time: possible bets
Let's use the method on the Champions League match: Levski Sofia vs Chelsea with betting odds from Bwin.
Half Time / Full Time odds:
Levski Sofia / Levski Sofia - 12.5
X / Levski Sofia - 17.0
Chelsea / Levski Sofia - 34.0
Levski Sofia / X - 13.0
X / X - 7.0
Chelsea / X - 19.0
Levski Sofia / Chelsea - 29.0
X / Chelsea - 4.33
Chelsea / Chelsea - 1.9
Betting with the method you bet on the following results:
- Levski Sofia / Levski Sofia
- X / Levski Sofia
- Chelsea / Levski Sofia
- Levski Sofia / X
- X / X
- Chelsea / X
- Levski Sofia / Chelsea
We left out the two most likely results, and of course our bet proved to be a losing one as Chelsea led at half-time and went on to win the match. The correct prediction was therefore the one offering odds of 1.9.
*Context: Assuming the punter bets 10% of his betting portfolio each day at a bookmaker using the Half Time - Full Time method.
Final thoughts on the Half Time - Full Time betting method
This is another “surefire method” that is simply designed to rip you off and benefit the entity providing it. If there really was a foolproof way to win so easily against bookmakers, they'd eventually just close up shop or stop completely in offering that specific type of bet. The only way to consistently make long-term money in sports betting and maximize your winnings is to have a strong understanding of the sport, analyze the matches and underlying statistics and find odds that present value on likely outcomes!
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