Which sports are the easiest to bet on?

Is there any sports betting market that is easy to predict? It is a good question - one posed by almost every person that has ever placed a bet. However, while the question is relatively simple, the answer to it is much more complex.

That’s because no two sports betting markets are the same. Furthermore, the number of events, incidents or decisions that can affect the outcome of a bet on any sports betting market is vast. So, understanding this, are any sports markets more predictable than others.

The good news for punters is that you can use some strategy about selecting which markets to bet on, and which options to back, to help focus in on the selections that are most likely to land a win.

In this post, we will guide you on finding the best betting markets to bet on, which cut down on the potential outcomes and which can, with other factors considered, make it easier to predict the outcome.

What is the key factor for easier to predict sports betting markets?

The first thing to note is that the only way to make certain markets more predictable, is to reduce the number of potential outcomes a market can produce. Or, have a market which is more flexible and which allows for more potential winning selections than others.

That sounds somewhat complex, so let’s illustrate this by way of two simple examples.

Reducing the Number of Potential Outcomes

Markets that have a small number of potential outcomes are easier to predict. That is simply because of the fact fewer potential outcomes can occur! For example, if you wanted to bet on a horse race, then if there are 6 runners in a race, it stands to reason that you have more chance of picking a winner than one that has 12 runners, 20 runners or even 38 runners.

That is a simple example based on the number of competitors in a race. But there are ways you can select other markets for team sports that offer fewer outcomes.

For example, in football, one of the most popular betting markets is betting on the correct score of a match. There can be a wide selection of possible scorelines that a football game can finish. Just for home wins, you could have 1-0, 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 or even 5-0. Then there is 2-1, 3-1, 3-2, 4-1, 4-2, 4-3, 5-1, 5-2, 5-3 or even 5-4.

And that is just for home wins. There are an equal number of options for away wins too. Plus there are several options to back for the draw. But, you can increase your chances of winning by betting on the Full Time Result market instead.

This bet has just three outcomes—a home win, an away win, or a draw. This means every potential home win is a winner, regardless of the score, if you back that market.

So, instead of having to predict a specific score, which is incredibly difficult, you can pick any score, provided it fits the criteria of your bet. Home win, away win or draw.

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Increasing the Flexibility of Your Bet

Another option, which is similar to reducing the number of potential outcomes of a bet, is to increase the flexibility of a bet to cover more potential outcomes. A great example of this are the bets on either of the First or Last goalscorer bet in Football, or the First/Last try bet in rugby, or First/Last try bets in American Football.

With these types of bet, you need the player you back to score the first goal in the game, or the last goal in the game. Any other goal would mean your bet is a loser.

However, you can increase the flexibility of a bet on these markets by backing the option to score a goal, try or touchdown at any time in the selected contest.

This anytime market allows you to win the bet regardless of when the player selected scores in the match. That could be the first or last goal, or any other goal scored in the game.

Using Your Knowledge To Narrow Down The Options

Another important thing to remember when considering the easiest markets to predict is how much knowledge you have about a particular bet. If you are betting on a market on which you have a good grasp of the key elements, then you can use your knowledge to cut down on the likely options.

For example, if you want to bet on the Premier League, then there are 20 teams you could back. However, in recent years, the winners of the Premier League have tended to come from just one of a handful of teams.

Manchester City
Liverpool
Chelsea
Manchester United
Arsenal

Since the 1995/96 season, the Premier League Champions have come from this small selection of teams, with only one exception; Leicester City in the 2015/16 season. In fact, since the Premier League began, only one other team, Blackburn Rovers, has won the competition outside of the five teams and Leicester listed above.

Currently though, Chelsea and Manchester United are in a period of transition. Leicester have just been promoted back into the Premier League after relegation a couple of seasons back. Blackburn remain in the Championship after relegation many years ago. So, using your knowledge, you can cut down your bet to Man City, Liverpool or Arsenal.

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Finding the easiest markets to predict when sports betting

To conclude, here’s some simple points to remember to help you find the easiest markets to predict when sports betting:

Bet on markets you have good, secure knowledge about.
Pick markets with just a few potential outcomes. The fewer the better.
Consider more flexible options (Anytime goalscorer compared to First Goalscorer).
By following this trio of tips, you can make markets easier to predict, but remember, with that comes a trade off as the easier it is to predict an outcome, the shorter the odds on that selection are likely to be.

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Which sports are the easiest to bet on?

What is the key factor for easier to predict sports betting markets?

Reducing the Number of Potential Outcomes

Increasing the Flexibility of Your Bet

Using Your Knowledge To Narrow Down The Options

Finding the easiest markets to predict when sports betting

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