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Best ATP US Open Betting Odds (ATP)

ATP - ATP US Open
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The US Open, the fourth and final Grand Slam tournament of the tennis season, is one of the highlights of the year. This competition, played on hard courts (like the Australian Open), offers tennis fans a unique opportunity to bet on their favourite players and experience the thrill of watching some of the world's greatest tennis players facing off. It is important to understand not only the importance of the odds on the tournament's matches, but also how they are set by online sports betting sites. As with every tennis tournament you can bet on, US Open odds need to be at the heart of any punter's strategy. Odds are numerical values, calculated by bookmakers, based on the probabilities of an outcome occurring on a match or event.

It is vital to pay particular attention to the odds of US Open matches before confirming your bets, as these values can convey information regarding  which predictions may be worth playing. The experts at SportyTrader are well aware of this, as they take the US Open odds into account in their analyses. Do the same when you make your own predictions, as they are bound to be more reliable. 

The principle of the odds system is not too difficult to understand: low odds are directly linked to a high probability that the bet in question will win. Conversely, high odds represent a reduced probability of the bet being successful. You should also be aware that the odds are used to calculate the potential winnings from your sports bets. We'll look at the calculation in detail later on, but you should already understand that low odds mean low profits, and higher odds mean higher winnings. However, bear in mind that lower odds mean a higher probability of success. Once you have grasped this principle, you will have a better understanding of how odds work in the world of sports betting, and more specifically the US Open odds.

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Calculating US Open odds: Several criteria to watch out for

Let's move on to something a little more concrete: the factors that influence the odds. The US Open is unique in that it is a tennis competition, so these factors will be different from those found in football or basketball, for example. In tennis, and more specifically at the US Open, the main criteria that have an impact on the odds are the following: the level of the players, their ATP ranking, their results over the current season, their history on hard court and their past performances at previous editions of the tournament. These factors contribute, to a greater or lesser extent, to the odds offered by bookmakers for the US Open. Nothing should be left to chance, which is why it's essential to study every detail of a US Open match-up you're interested in from A to Z before placing your bets. By doing so, you will be able to evaluate each US Open betting market, and choose the one that offers the best prospects by identifying the most attractive odds following your analysis.

You may not know it, but it is possible to bet on something other than the result of a US Open match at online bookmakers. You can place bets on the number of games, sets or tie-breaks, as well as on whether a player wins at least one set or on the exact score of each set. A wide variety of bets are therefore on offer. However, once you know how to evaluate the odds for one betting market, you'll know how to do it for any other. For example, it makes sense that a match between two players of the same level would favour a close score and therefore a high amount of games played, which is clearly not the case in a lopsided matchup, such as between the world number 1 and the world number 100. With this in mind, you know that it is more advantageous to play an "Over X games" bet in the first example rather than in the second, if the odds are similar, of course. This is the type of logic you need to adopt to understand which odds might be worth playing at the 2024 US Open. To help you understand how sports betting odds work, let's take a 2022 US Open match as an example: a duel between Corentin Moutet and Casper Ruud. With a better level of play, a higher ranking and a better dynamic, Ruud was the bookmaker's favourite to win. The odds for his victory were therefore low (1.15 on average), while the odds for Moutet's victory were very high (5.00 on average). If you have understood what has been explained above, you will understand that by betting on Moutet to win, you can obtain higher winnings but with a lower chance of success when compared to a bet on Ruud. In this match, the outcome followed the logic of the odds and Ruud won in 4 sets.

To assess the odds as accurately as possible, operators rely on information and figures that can have an impact on the outcome of a match. Given his current performances and his ability to control his matches, Carlos Alcaraz, for example, is the favourite in the vast majority of his duels. You also have to take into account each player's ability on the different surfaces. The US Open is a hard court tournament, so you need to favour players who perform well on that surface. There might be players who possess a high ranking and are in good form but who it's still best to avoid betting on. This could be the case for a player like Lorenzo Musetti, who wins a good proportion of his matches on clay but can easily be put in difficulty on hard courts. When analysing a US Open 2024 match, be sure to keep an eye on as many factors as possible that could tip the balance of a bet, in order to establish the most accurate odds possible.

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What are the US Open odds used for?

The first thing to look at when positioning yourself for a bet on a US Open match is of course the current odds available. First of all, this gives you the opportunity to know exactly what your potential profit would be in the event of a winning bet. To calculate this, simply multiply the odds of your bet by the amount you have staked (odds x stake = gross winnings). You can then subtract your stake to obtain the amount of your potential net winnings.

To apply this calculation, let's start again with our example of the match between Corentin Moutet and Casper Ruud. Betting €100 on Ruud to win (odds 1.15), would return a total of €115 if the Norwegian should win. If you prefer to bet on the higher odds of a Moutet win (odds of 5.00), the Frenchman's victory will promise you a potential gross win of €500, again with a stake of €100. It's up to you to decide which of the two odds is the most advantageous to play after analysing the match. Remember that odds of 1.15 can be just as beneficial to bet on as odds of 5.00. It all depends on the elements you have identified during your analysis, and your estimate of the probability of each player winning.

For example, odds of 1.15 represent a win probability of around 87% (1/1.15) and odds of 5.00 represent a win probability of 20%. If you think Moutet has a 40% chance of winning the match, then that's who you should bet on, whereas if you think Ruud has a 95% chance of winning, then there’s clear value in backing the Norwegian. Once again, it's all a question of probability, which is reflected in the odds. Note that the odds can vary over time, and that a price of 1.20 may well rise to 1.40 the next day, and even possibly to 2.00 live if the match dictates it. Timing is also important in sports betting, particularly at the US Open. If you think the odds are too high, don't wait to play them. That's the whole point of following US Open matches live, because great opportunities can be seized during in-play tennis matches.

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Register with all the bookmakers!

One last piece of advice, which caps off all that has been explained above: don't hesitate to register with all the bookmakers on the market. By having an account with each of the online sports betting sites, you'll always be able to play at the best possible odds. Not only do the odds change over time, they also differ between bookmakers. It is very useful to compare the odds to spot the highest values, but in order to play them, you obviously need to have a player account with the relevant bookmaker.

Remember, the odds are used to determine your potential winnings, and the higher the odds, the bigger your potential winnings. So why deprive yourself of higher odds for the same risk? Don't leave any money on the table and optimise your results by signing up with as many books as possible - bonuses are waiting for you every time you sign up!

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