If you are looking to bet on the top flight in Swedish football, referred to as the Allsvenskan, it’s important to first have an understanding of the odds. Betting odds are a numerical index proposed by the bookmakers on a sporting event which reflects the probability of an event or outcome taking place. The Allsvenskan odds are calculated by the bookmakers using a lot of data and are different for each match, depending on the percentage of chance that an outcome will occur. The odds also vary depending on the sports betting site you want to bet on. All of this offers opportunities for punters, who obviously need to take these Allsvenskan odds into consideration in order to place the best bets possible!

How are the Swedish Allsvenskan odds calculated?

Simply put: the more likely the outcome of a match is considered to be, the lower the odds; represented as being closer to the value 1. The potential profit that the bettor can receive, if his bet is successful, is equal to the product of the odds and the stake made (odds x stake = winnings). On the other hand, you must not forget to subtract the initial stake if you are interested in the balance sheet of this bet (winnings - stake = profit or loss). Your Swedish Allsvenskan betting strategy should take into account the quality of the odds offered by the bookmakers on this league. It is important to always look for the best odds available. If you want to make a profit on the Allsvenskan in the long run, the odds on the chosen team should always be higher than what you perceive is the actual probability of winning. This is a golden rule that should always be followed and we will come back to it later.

To be clearer, let's take the following example: the top flight matchup between Malmö FF and Kalmar. Malmö FF has won 21 Swedish league titles and 15 Swedish Cups, making it the most successful club in Sweden. Along with Djurgården and AIK Solna, the club is one of the three favourites for the 2023 season. They host Kalmar, a regular in the bottom half of the table. Therefore, an Allsvenskan "Malmö FF win" bet will be offered at relatively low odds by sports betting sites (around 1.40), as the probability of a win for the Sky and White is high. On the other hand, a surprise win for the visitors is quoted at 7.00. This value reflects the difficulties of this team with limited potential and a very unfavourable history against Malmö FF (2 wins and 9 defeats in the last 11 meetings).

It should also be noted that the odds on Allsvenskan matches fluctuate depending on the live action as the matches are being played. If you decide to bet live on the match, you will notice that the odds are constantly adjusted according to the time left to play, the score and the scenario of the game. For example, if Kalmar opens the scoring early in the game in Malmö, their odds will drop from 7.00 to 3.00 or 4.00 and conversely, the favourites will see theirs rise from 1.40 to around 2.00. Keep in mind the winning logic; if you consider that Malmö still has a 50% minimum chance of winning the match when the score is 0-1, then you can bet on odds above 2.00 and make what you perceive to be a winning bet in the long-run.

How to analyse Allsvenskan odds

The aim of every punter is to place winning bets. Unfortunately, there is no guarantee of placing a safe and risk-free bet. Even a team with odds of 1.01 can fall. The Swedish league is no exception to this rule. Last year, for example, the average odds for the Malmö - Kalmar match were: Malmö win 1.5 / draw 4.00 / Kalmar win 6.00 which gives the following probabilities: 62% (Malmö FF), 23% (X), 15% (Kalmar). In the end, Kalmar won 1-0 to the surprise of everyone.

You have to keep in mind that your bet is the result of the confrontation of your ideas about a match against those of the betting sites. Let's take for example the match Mjallby - Varberg rated by the bookmakers at 2.15 / 3.35 / 3.50. If you think that Varberg is not an underdog in this match, i.e. that the team has as much chance as Mjallby to win, then you disagree with the market and you can bet on the visitors to win at 3.5 or on the draw double chance quoted at around 1.65. In the opposite case, if you think that the odds offered are perfectly in line with the pattern of this match (i.e. Mjallby favoured with about 40/45% chance of winning), you should refrain from betting and move on to another Allsvenskan match. Do the same with all matches in this exciting Swedish league.

Futures betting market for the winner of the Swedish Allsvenskan

As you may know, odds can be placed on matches in a league as well as on the competition itself. We are talking about futures betting - on the scale of a season or a tournament. Usually placed just before the start of the competition, this type of bet is suitable for beginners as well as for more experienced players and allows for more attractive odds than usual. On the Allsvenskan, you will have the opportunity to bet on the winner of the Swedish championship, the podium of a team, the relegation of another or even the best striker. This type of bet allows for increased entertainment as you have incentive to follow a team or a player over a whole season! You need to keep an eye on transfers, tactics and injuries to best assess the strengths and weaknesses of each. It's up to you to find the odds that have the most potential, i.e. the greatest expectation of winning!

Sign up everywhere!

The bettor should maximise his cash flow by betting on the highest odds in the market. In order to maximise your winnings on the Swedish Allsvenskan, it is absolutely necessary to register with as many sports betting sites as possible for a few reasons: On the one hand, you will benefit from all the welcome bonuses that sports betting sites offer and on the other hand, you will always have access to the best odds. Indeed, for the same bet, the different sports betting sites will generally offer you different odds, sometimes with considerable differences. Let's take the example of our Malmö - Kalmar match, assuming you were going to bet €100 on the visitors winning. After looking carefully, you would have noticed that "Kalmar win" was offered at 6.25 on Bwin while Betclic offered it at 6.75. By choosing the former bookmaker, you would have made €525 profit (€625 winnings minus the €100 stake) while the latter would have given you €575 profit! That's it!

If you haven't already done so, you need to open an account with all the sports betting sites on the market, in order to have the widest selection of odds available to you. Of course, what would be the point of seeing higher odds at Betclic, if you don't have an account to take advantage of it? A lot of punters don't follow this advice and unknowingly leave euros on the side. With this tip, you can see a nice difference in winnings in the long run. To help you, don't hesitate to consult our reviews of the best bookmakers at the moment. Now you know how important it is to compare the odds before betting on the Swedish Allsvenskan. To do so, our Allsvenskan odds comparator tool is always there to help!