Best Prva Liga Betting Odds (Slovenia)
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First of all, before you start, you need to understand the principle of odds to fully grasp the world of sports betting. Odds are offered by the various sports betting sites, known as bookmakers. In fact, it is these bookmakers who determine and offer the various odds on the results of football matches, particularly those of the PrvaLiga, in order to bet on this Slovenian competition. So, for each of your sports predictions, it's the stake you invest that will determine your potential winnings, should your sports bet wind up a winner. So, to bet on the Slovenian first division, we'll inevitably be talking about PrvaLiga odds.
How are the PrvaLiga odds calculated?
All bookmakers across the world work in the same way, which is to use their own algorithms by combining a large number of statistics from their databases for each PrvaLiga match, all in order to ultimately display several odds on the same game. For punters, it's easy to understand: odds reflect the probability of an outcome occurring. So, when it comes to PrvaLiga matches, the way things work remains the same as for any other football match on the planet. In short, you have to bear in mind that the higher the odds on an outcome, the less likely it is to happen. And, on the contrary, the lower the odds, the greater the probability of that outcome happening, according to the statistics that the bookmakers have modelled.
To illustrate this, let's take the example of a match in Slovenia's top flight between Maribor (4th) and Tabor Sezana (last). Maribor play a leading role every season in the Slovenian league and are the current title holders. Opposing them are the PrvaLiga's bottom side, Tabor Sezana, who are also 21 points behind their hosts in the overall standings. With all this information, it is only logical that the home side should be favoured by the bookmakers to claim victory at the end of the game. A bet of "Maribor to win" will therefore be displayed at low odds (around 1.20) because the chances of one of the Slovenian league's most successful clubs succeeding are very high.
On the other hand, the odds offered for a "Tabor Sezana to win" bet will be fairly high (at least 6.00), as the chances of this team winning are very low if we analyse the standings and the history of head-to-head meetings between the two teams. You should also be aware that the odds on PrvaLiga matches vary from bookmaker to bookmaker. There are various factors involved in calculating the probability of victory for one team or another, such as the balance of power between the two sides, the venue of the match, team line-ups (injuries and/or suspensions), the rivalry of the match (if it's a derby), as well as the style of play of the teams in the Slovenian league, and so on.
Finally, you should also know that your odds will vary for the same match, as PrvaLiga matches go by. This is because the odds will change as soon as significant events occur during the match that could change the final score. To make things clear, let's take the example of the match between Maribor and Tabor Sezana, and imagine that during the first half a player from the home team was sent off. Since then, it's been the visitors who have been dominating proceedings. This comes as something of a surprise, as it was not at all foreseeable before kick-off. As a result, the various bookmakers will be taking precautions and taking this new parameter into account in order to calculate the new probabilities by updating the odds for the match.
All punters following the match live will therefore notice a significant change in the odds concerning the final outcome of the match. For example, the odds for Tabor Sezana's success will drop from 6.00 (at the start of the match) to 3.00 with this numerical superiority. Conversely, the odds on the favourites, Maribor, will increase significantly, reaching 2.00 after the break instead of 1.20 at the start of the game. Logically, it is the odds for a draw that will plummet, as the two teams are now likely to draw. The same thing will happen in each PrvaLiga match, and the sports betting sites will act instantly according to the facts of the game.
How do I use PrvaLiga odds?
The quotes for PrvaLiga matches will differ from one operator to another, which is beneficial for players. In fact, the most important thing for all punters is to be able to calculate their winnings quickly for each of their bets. To find out instantly, you need to do a very simple calculation: multiply the odds by the amount you wish to invest (odds X stake = bet winnings). It's vital to remember this calculation, as you'll be using it for all your sports betting from now on. You also need to understand the relationship between your analysis (prediction) and the odds (chance) that the bookmakers will estimate. In fact, this is the only way you can really know whether your PrvaLiga prediction is in line with the logic of the market.
Let's take another example with a match between Celje (3rd) and Radomlje (penultimate in the league). Before looking at the odds, you've studied the match very carefully and you've picked Celje, who are playing at home against a weak team with uncertain momentum who are fighting to stay in the Slovenian top flight. You have the right reflex, which is to look at the various odds for the match, and you realise that the local club's success is being offered at 1.50 by the bookmakers. This makes sense if you compare your personal analysis with the odds on offer, because you and the sports betting sites believe that there is a high probability that the home side will win. In this case, the situation seems totally logical and normal. On the other hand, if you realise that there is a fairly large discrepancy between the posted odds (for Celje to win) which are higher than expected (say 1.80), then you are in a situation that warrants a closer look.
There's an anomaly in the home team's rating, so you need to understand where the discrepancy comes from. It may be that you lack information about the match and have missed the point in your analysis, with the result that your final prediction is ultimately rather uncertain. For some matches, we don't have all the information beforehand, leading us to misinterpret the match. Nevertheless, it is still important to have as much information as possible so that your analysis is not distorted by a lack of knowledge that could make your prediction wrong. The first thing to do is to check the official line-ups of the two teams to understand the intentions of the two coaches for the match in question. If the home team's starting XI is still very competitive and you still can't explain the odds of 1.80, make sure the match isn't being played behind closed doors or on neutral ground! In such a situation, it's logical that it should have a completely different impact on the final result. If, after a bit of additional research, you've realised that there is a significant piece of information missing, then you need to incorporate it into your analysis and see if it changes your opinion of the match.
Finally, it is also possible that your conclusion regarding a team's strengths or weaknesses runs counter to that of the bookmakers. The bookmakers may feel that a team is currently playing above its supposed level, and the gambling sites will therefore offer fairly high odds on it, or on the contrary underestimate it. This is particularly likely to happen at the start of the season, especially as betting sites tend to stick to the previous season’s results, so if a team is in trouble, and even if there have been several significant changes during the summer (new owners with big money, etc.), you will be confronted with fairly erroneous odds. Finally, it's not uncommon to see some fairly surprising results at the start of the season, given that many of the big teams are not yet physically up to scratch, so you'll have some good opportunities to grab on some of the outsiders (particularly by betting on the promoted teams). Whatever happens, regardless of the scenarios mentioned above, if your analysis is precise, you should have confidence in your process and therefore make predictions based on your findings. Of course, you'll need to stick to this approach for all PrvaLiga matches.
Bet on the long term with the odds on the future winner of the Slovenian championship
When it comes to making your PrvaLiga predictions, the advent of sports betting means that you can now place bets on the competition, as you can on most of the world's football leagues. This is commonly referred to as the ‘futures’ betting market. This gives you the opportunity to speculate on all the teams in the Slovenian top flight, for example, the eventual winner of the competition, but also to determine which teams will finish on the podium, be in the relegation zone, etc. What's more, you can place these bets either before the start of the championship or right in the middle of the season, or even a few weeks before the end of the championship, and the odds, as with live betting, will inevitably change according to the different scenarios at the time. Thanks to these so-called "side bets", you can follow the season in a completely different way and follow it more intensely depending on your current predictions. This allows you to follow sports betting in a different way to a simple 90-minute bet.
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The aim of sports betting is to reap the maximum profit from each of your predictions, and so logically the same applies to those placed on the PrvaLiga, where you want to maximise your profits. With this in mind, you need to take advantage of the best odds on the betting market. For a similar sports bet, the odds can vary by up to 10% per match. Do the math over the whole season, it's considerable! Let's take one last example: a PrvaLiga match between Gorica and Koper where you want to bet €100 on the visiting team winning. After looking at the match odds, you realise that Koper's win is offered at an average of 1.75, except at one bookmaker who offers it at 1.85. You would therefore be better off investing your €100 with this book to obtain a net profit of €85, compared with an average of €75 with its peers.
To benefit from even bigger winnings, you'll need to do the same for all PrvaLiga matches, by registering with as many bookmakers as possible in order to have a wider choice of odds. This tip, which is used by the vast majority of experienced punters, will enable you to significantly increase your winnings over the long term on the same sports bets, so don't miss out! On our site, we present the most interesting bookmakers of the moment and you have access to our various tips and other opinions on each of them, so we advise you to read them before placing your next PrvaLiga bets. To conclude this article, you can also access our free odds comparator, which will enable you to find the best odds on the market at a glance to maximise your sports betting winnings.
