Best J.League Betting Odds (Japan)

In order to be successful in the world of sports betting, it’s important that you first understand the concept of odds. Odds are published by sports betting operators, more commonly known as bookmakers. They will offer several possibilities for the results of football matches, like those found in the J-League (Japan), which enable punters to bet on the Japanese championship. As soon as you make a sports prediction, regardless of the match, it is the amount invested that determines your potential future winnings, if your sports bet is successful of course. For this article we will focus our attention on the J-League and thus the J-League betting odds.

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How are Japanese J-League odds calculated?

Bookmakers use various algorithms with several combined statistics for each J-League match in particular. These different mathematical calculations allow them to offer several odds on the same game. What is important for the bettor to understand is that in reality, the odds are the perceived probability of an outcome happening or not. Thus, concerning J-League matches, the process used will be strictly the same as for all football matches worldwide. Each sports betting site will use its own database in order to calculate and propose its own odds on which its customers will bet. What you have to keep in mind is that the bigger the odds on a match (e.g. 3.50), the less likely it is to happen. And, conversely, the smaller the odds (e.g. 1.50), the greater the likelihood of the result occurring according to the statistical calculations of the various bookmakers. 

In order to understand this, let's take a concrete example in the Japanese championship between Kawasaki and Iwata. The local Kawasaki team has won the Japanese championship 4 times in the last 6 seasons and this year again the team looks set to play a leading role in the championship. Facing them is a modest club that does not have the same weapons to compete in this match. It is therefore only logical that the local players are the favourites to win the match against the modest Iwata team. A bet of the type "Kawasaki win" will be displayed at fairly low odds (e.g. 1.40), as the chances of one of the best clubs in Japan in recent years winning are very high. On the other hand, the odds for the "Iwata win" bet will logically be quite high (e.g. 6.00), as the chances of this team winning are speculative, especially if you compare the overall standings and head-to-head record of the two teams in recent years, and the fact that the match is away. It is also worth noting that the odds on J-League matches will not be the same at each of the bookmakers in the market. This can be easily explained by the fact that several parameters are involved in the calculation of the probability of victory of one team or another, such as the strength of the two teams, the location of the match, the composition of the team (injuries and suspensions), the rivalry of the match, the previous confrontations between the clubs of the Japanese league, etc. 

Finally, you should also be aware that you will be confronted with odds fluctuations during J-League matches. You will find yourself in this situation when a singular event occurs during the match that can totally influence the final outcome of the match. In order for you to understand what we mean, let's take the example of the match between Kawasaki and Iwata. Let's imagine that Iwata manages to score a goal in the first 45 minutes of the game. Such a scenario, given the difference in level between the two teams, is certainly an unexpected turn of events. It was the underdog who took the lead on the scoreboard, and that was not at all what the pre-match odds were predicting. And so this goal, scored in favour of the underdogs, will completely change the balance of power between the two teams. The bookmakers will therefore react by taking this parameter into account and, in the space of only a few moments, make new calculations in order to offer live odds with this 0-1 score. For punters, this will lead to a change in the odds for the final result of the game. For example, the odds for Iwata's success will logically decrease from 6.00 (at the start of the match) to 2.50 with the opening score. On the other hand, the odds for the favourite Kawasaki will increase significantly, from 1.40 in the first minutes of the match to 2.80. This is the same mechanism that will occur for all J-League matches in real time (live) according to the various scenarios that occur for each match of the Japanese championship.

How to use J-League odds?

Depending on the J-League matches, the odds will fluctuate at the various bookmakers and this is beneficial for punters. The most important thing for bettors is to know how much they stand to win on any given bet. So, to find out quickly, you need to multiply the odds by the amount you are going to invest (odds x stake = bet winnings). It is therefore important to master this calculation, because it will allow you to quickly determine your winnings for a wager. Of course, you will have to do it for each of your bets.

You also need to be able to understand the relationship between your analysis (your prediction) and the odds that the sports betting sites are offering. This is the only way to know if your prediction for the J-League match of your choice is in line with the logic of the result. In order to understand this, let's take the example of a match between Kashima and Nagoya. You've gone through the match with a fine-tooth comb, gathering as much information as possible, and you've decided to bet on Kashima's success in front of their fans against a team currently positioned in the bottom half of the Japanese league. After scanning the odds on offer across the market of different bookmakers, you realize that the odds for the final victory of the home team are displayed at 1.70. Thanks to this comparison between your prediction and the posted odds of the match, you are on the same wavelength as the various gaming operators regarding the success of the Kashima team. Indeed, the market logic of the favourite winning the match of the day is quite well respected by the different bookmakers. So, in this case, you can take your sports bet in a rather serene way, because everything is normal.

On the other hand, if you notice that there is a significant difference between the proposed odds (concerning the victory of the local players) which is much higher than expected, you will have to understand why this quotation is abnormal. It is possible that you have missed a key piece of information about the match. In some matches, you may not have all the information about one of the two teams which may explain this. If possible, it is important to have the official line-ups of both teams in order to be certain of the intentions of both coaches, as these often determine the motivation for the match. And, if the line-up is very competitive with no significant changes and you still do not explain the odds, also check whether the match is being played behind closed doors or otherwise. This type of data not taken into account in your analysis can have a big impact on the final result. If you realise that there is indeed a piece of information missing, then you need to include it in your analysis and find out if your initial prediction is still good to go or not. However, you should know that it is also possible that you could have a diametrically opposed vision than that of the bookmaker(s) concerning a specific match, either positive or negative. In any case, you have to keep in mind that the different sports betting sites, despite their various calculations, cannot know in advance who will win or not the match and therefore, if your analysis is complete and you have all the parameters of the match, then trust yourself and bet on the selected team. In such cases, there can be great opportunities. You will need to keep this up for all J-League matches in order to be a seasoned bettor.

J-League futures and long term bets 

For your J-League predictions, you can also, as with most football leagues in the world, place bets on the competition itself. Betting on the futures market is a great opportunity to speculate on the different clubs of the Japanese first division. This includes bets such as: the future winner of the competition, the teams that will finish on the podium, which teams will be relegated, and more. 

The appeal of these different side bets is that you can make them at different times of the season. Logically, you can do it before the Japanese championship starts, but also in the middle of the season, or even a few weeks before the end of the championship. The odds, similar to the live betting market, will fluctuate according to the general ranking of the moment. This new form of betting allows you to follow the season in a totally different way and provides interest beyond just a 90 minute match.

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All punters would agree that the aim is to make as much money as possible and the same goes for your J-League bets. In order to maximise your profits, you need to have access to the best possible betting odds on the market. For the same sports bet, the bookmakers will offer their own odds and this can sometimes make up to 10% difference per match! Imagine the astronomical difference that this represents over a whole season. You will have understood the importance of comparing the odds to always benefit from the best on the market!

Let's take one last example with a J-League match between Tokyo and Nagoya Vienna where you want to invest €100 on the visiting team's victory. After having studied the odds, you have noticed that Nagoya's victory is offered on average at 1.90, except at a bookmaker who offers it at 2.05. It is easy to understand, it is more judicious for you to bet your 100€ at this bookmaker to win €105 of net profits, instead of the €90 in profit offered at the competitors.

To have a higher expectation of winnings, you will have to proceed in this way on the totality of the J-League matches by signing-up with the maximum number of bookmakers! Thus, as for experienced bettors, you will increase your winnings in the long term by using this simplistic but profitable method. In this logic of increasing your winnings, we suggest that you get to know the best bookmakers of the moment by consulting our various tips and opinions before placing your next J-League bets. Finally, you can use our odds comparator to get the best odds on the market for matches to maximize your profits in sports betting.

Odds for upcoming matches J.League: