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Europe - Six Nations

Wales
10 Mar 2024 11:00
France

Prediction :

 

France wins the match

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Wales vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - Six Nations

 by Steve Ashfield | in Six Nations Predictions

Wales host France in their penultimate match in this year's Six Nations Championship. After Saturday's surprising results, these two countries fill the two bottom spots in the table. Wales are bottom and three points behind fifth placed France. A win for Wales wouldn't just be the first they'll have achieved in this tournament but it'll take them above France. There's no chance of winning the title but they will be desperate to avoid finishing bottom of the table. For France, they are ten points behind the leaders Ireland with a game in hand.

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The Best Betting Odds for Wales v France Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.3 26 1.42
Ladbrokes
3.2 26 1.4
NetBet
3.1 22 1.4
1xbet
3.61 27 1.36
22bet
3.61 27 1.36
Betwinner
3.24 25 1.42
LSbet
3.24 25 1.42
Melbet
3.03 23 1.42
Tonybet
3.55 24 1.34
Betfair
3.25 26 1.36
Betsson
3.1 20 1.41
Vbet
3.2 26 1.43
Betway
3 31 1.38
Check all Wales vs France odds
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Wales vs France Form

Wales and France's standings in the Six Nations

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
France
France
15 5 3 1 1 6
6
Wales
Wales
4 5 0 0 5 -51

Wales and France Last Matches

Wales
Wales Last matches
W L W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Ireland
31 :  7
Wales

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

England
16 :  14
Wales

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
26 :  27
Scotland

4 Nov 2023 - Test Matchs

Wales
49 :  26
The Barbarians

14 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
17 :  29
Argentina

7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
43 :  19
Georgia
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

3 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Wales
26 :  27
Scotland

4 Nov 2023 - Test Matchs

Wales
49 :  26
The Barbarians

14 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
17 :  29
Argentina

7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
43 :  19
Georgia

24 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
40 :  6
Australia

16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
28 :  8
Portugal
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

24 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Ireland
31 :  7
Wales

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

England
16 :  14
Wales

12 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

England
19 :  17
Wales

18 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

France
41 :  28
Wales

11 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

Italy
17 :  29
Wales

11 Feb 2023 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  7
Wales
France
France Last matches
W W L L W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
13 :  13
Italy

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
16 :  20
France

2 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
17 :  38
Ireland

15 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
28 :  29
South Africa

6 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
60 :  7
Italy

21 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
96 :  0
Namibia
W W W L L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

25 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
13 :  13
Italy

2 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

France
17 :  38
Ireland

15 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
28 :  29
South Africa

6 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
60 :  7
Italy

21 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
96 :  0
Namibia

14 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

France
27 :  12
Uruguay
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

10 Feb 2024 - Six Nations

Scotland
16 :  20
France

5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Scotland
25 :  21
France

11 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

England
10 :  53
France

11 Feb 2023 - Six Nations

Ireland
32 :  19
France

5 Feb 2023 - Six Nations

Italy
24 :  29
France

11 Mar 2022 - Six Nations

Wales
9 :  13
France

Wales vs France Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wales

33 %

Draw

0 %

France

67 %

18 Mar 2023 - Six Nations

France
41 :  28
Wales

11 Mar 2022 - Six Nations

Wales
9 :  13
France

20 Mar 2021 - Six Nations

France
32 :  30
Wales

22 Feb 2020 - Six Nations

Wales
23 :  27
France

20 Oct 2019 - Rugby World Cup

Wales
20 :  19
France

17 Mar 2018 - Six Nations

Wales
14 :  13
France

Wales - France: Form Analysis

Wales have won the Six Nations and its predecessor several times in the past. However, their main target this year seems to be to avoid winning the wooden spoon for finishing bottom of the table. They prop up the table after Italy's surprising win over Scotland on Saturday. They now end this tournament with home games against France (currently fifth) and fourth placed Italy (that's not written often).  All three of their matches so far have been lost but it could have been a very different story. Their campaign began with a disastrous first half at home to Scotland trailing 20-0 at the break. That was extended to 27-0 but they so nearly pulled off a great recovery and lost 27-26 in the end. Then they went to Twickenham and led by nine points at half time but again went through a half without troubling the scorers and lost to England 16-14. It was a lot harder in their most recent match as they lost 31-7 away to Ireland in Dublin. Wales have lost their last five matches against France. The most recent loss was in the Six Nations last year with a 41-28 defeat. Their last two home games against France have both been lost by four point margins.

It's been an up and down Six Nations campaign for France. They are fifth in the table with two games remaining and after this trip to Cardiff they host England. A loss here would see them possibly go bottom of the table if not earning a bonus point. They lost to the Irish side 38-17 in their opening Six Nations fixture. A tough away game against Scotland followed but they won that 20-16 surviving a late Scottish try being ruled out, seemingly unfairly. Next up came a home match against Italy and France could only draw that game 13-13. They will certainly want to make it six wins in a row against Wales..

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Players list

Wales
Wales
K. Assarratti W. Rowlands C. Winnett T. Williams A. Beard R. Elias T. Reffell J. Roberts S. Costelow G. Thomas J. Adams O. Watkin R. Dyer A. Wainwright D. Jenkins
France
France
F. Cros J. Marchand D. Penaud G. Alldritt E. Meafou U. Atonio G. Fickou N. Depoortere C. Ollivon T. Ramos N. Le Garrec L. Barre C. Baille T. Flament L. Bielle-Biarrey

Substitutes

Wales
Wales
E. Dee D. Lewis A. Mann M. Martin G. Davies C. Domachowski I. Lloyd M. Grady
France
France
P. Mauvaka S. Taofifenua A. Roumat P. Boudehent R. Taofifenua Yoram Falatea-Moefana M. Lucu G. Colombe

Wales & France Squad Analysis

France will start this match with three players who are making their test debuts. Leo Barre (full-back), Emmanuel Meafou (lock) and Nicolas Depootere (centre) have all been called into the starting line-up by head coach Fabien Galthie. Thomas Ramos keeps his place but will be playing at fly-half and replaces the injured Matthie Jalibert. Jonathan Dainty is serving a suspension hence his missing this match. Good news for France is that their captain Gregory Alldritt is back from injury. In total there are eight changes from the side that only drew with Wales.

Wales have also made several changes to their starting line-up. Five have been made with Owen Watkin and Joe Roberts coming in for George North and Nick Tompkins.Captain Dafydd Jenkins will be at blind-side flanker for the first time in a Welsh shirt. Also added to the starting line-up are Will Rowlands (lock) and hooker Ryan Elias.

Wales - France Key Points

  1. France have won their last five games against Wales.
  2. Wales have lost all three of their matches in this year's Six Nations.
  3. Wales have only scored 21 points in their last two games.
  4. Wales have only won one of their last five matches.
  5. Not since 2019 have Wales beaten France in the Six Nations.
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Our Wales vs France Prediction

Both countries have had disappointing campaigns so far. Both countries are fearful of ending up winning the wooden spoon especially after Italy beat Scotland on Saturday. France have only won one of their three games so far and have made plenty of changes after being held to a home draw by Italy in their last match. Our Wales v France prediction is a narrow win for France.

Prediction :

 

France wins the match

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Wales vs France - Other Interesting Predictions

Wales to win on a +7 handicap

Odds 2
Wales were well beaten by Ireland last week but that was expected. Their two defeats to Scotland and England were narrow ones and with a seven point start they could well beat France.
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Wales vs France match : Frequently asked questions

This Six Nations match between Wales and France is set to be played on Sundary March 10 with a 15:00 start (UK time).
This is a home match for Wales and will be played at the Millennium Stadium in Cardiff. France have won their last two away games against Wales.
To be able to watch the game live in the UK you need to go to ITV1 or go online to ITVX. It's also being shown on the Welsh channel S4C with no subscriptions are required for these three. Don't forget you can follow all the action on our Six Nations livescore with updated scores, stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wales vs France Prediction
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