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25 September 2024 - 22:00 

- 1/16

ATP - ATP Japan Open

ATP 13 USA
Tommy Paul
VS
ATP 33 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi

Prediction :

Tommy Paul to win in three sets

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Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Japan Open

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Fifth seed Tommy Paul and the unseeded Matteo Arnaldi will have their first career duel at the Japan Open. The two will face off on Thursday in a first round tie. Below are stats and our prediction of this match.

Paul has ended a three-week break since his last match and should be refreshed to make a winning start here. The American was last on the court on home soil at the US Open where he earned a fourth-round finish.

Paul is having a strong year, winning 38 matches thus far. This has culminated in two tour titles – the Dallas Open and the Queen’s Club Championship. The latter was his first tour title on grass.

The world number 13 also claimed Bronze at the Paris Olympics and was runner-up at the Delray Beach Open.

Arnaldi is also coming off a self-imposed break. The Italian took a two-week break since his last match. He has been in superb form in his recent outings and arrives for this match having won seven of his last 10 matches.

Four of these wins were achieved on hard court in Montreal where he reached the semi-finals. That was his best performance at an ATP 1000 tournament and is also his best result of the year.

The four-time challenger champion also managed a run to the fourth round at Roland Garros and third round at Flushing Meadows. He has compiled a 28-22 record and at some point, had broken into the ATP top 30. Now he is placed 34th in the live ranking.

The winner here will take on Alexei Popyrin or Tomas Machac for a place in the quarter-finals.

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The Best Betting Odds for Tommy Paul v Matteo Arnaldi Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.4 3
Ladbrokes
1.33 3.1
1xbet
1.39 3.02
22bet
1.39 3.02
Betobet
1.34 3.19
Betwinner
1.36 3.16
Melbet
1.39 3.01
Tonybet
1.36 2.95
Check all Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi odds
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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi match is: Tommy Paul to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi game on 25/09/2024 of the current ATP Japan Open season:

  • Tommy Paul has a 60.2% chance to win against Matteo Arnaldi according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.4.
  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 39.8% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 3.19 at Betobet.

Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 60.2 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tommy Paul60.2 %
Matteo Arnaldi39.8 %

Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Form

Tommy Paul and Matteo Arnaldi Last Matches

Tommy Paul Last matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

2 Sep 2024 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Tommy Paul

31 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Gabriel Diallo
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Max Purcell
abort
Tommy Paul

27 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Sonego
1 :  3
Tommy Paul

12 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Tommy Paul

8 Aug 2024 - ATP National Bank Open

Tommy Paul
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima
Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

11 Sep 2024 - Davis Cup

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Thiago Monteiro

31 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  3
Jordan Thompson

29 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
3 :  0
Roman Safiullin

27 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Matteo Arnaldi
3 :  0
Zachary Svajda

14 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi

11 Aug 2024 - ATP National Bank Open

Andrey Rublev
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points

  1. Paul has claimed 38 wins this season.
  2. In 23 outings on hard courts this year, Paul won 14 times.
  3. Arnaldi has been defeated three times in his last six outings.
  4. Half of Arnaldi’s 22 losses this year have been on hard courts.
Up to $250 to bet on Tommy Paul - Matteo Arnaldi! 

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Our Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Our prediction for Tommy Paul v Matteo Arnaldi is for Paul to win in three sets. Paul is an amazing hard-court player and, in his career, has won close to 200 matches on this surface.

Most of his wins this year have come on hard courts and as the more polished tour player, victory for him looks likely.

He, however, might have to secure his win via three sets as Arnaldi, though inconsistent, has had success on hard courts this year.

Prediction :

Tommy Paul to win in three sets

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tommy Paul vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction
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