ATP Shanghai Masters 1000 Predictions & Betting tips
ATP Shanghai - Presentation and predictions for the 2024 Rolex Shanghai Masters 1000
The Asian tennis tour represents an important period in the ATP calendar. Following post-covid seasons marked by cancellations, the Asian tournaments made a comeback in 2023 to the delight of tennis fans across the continent. This season, after the ATP 500 in Beijing and Tokyo, is the prestigious Shanghai Masters 1000 which takes place from 2 to 13 October 2024.
After Hubert Hurkacz lifted the title in 2023, which players will stake their claim for the honours in 2024? Who are the top favourites among the field for this Shanghai Masters? How do you go about predicting the matches at this event? SportyTrader's tennis team will tell you all about it on this page.
Tournament Details
- Venue: Shanghai (China)
- Date of tournament: 2 to 13 October 2024
- Surface: Hard (outdoor)
- Prize Money: $8.995.555
- Defending champion: Hubert Hurkacz (2023)
Prediction on the winner: who will win the 2024 Shanghai Masters 1000?
Arguably the best hard court player in the game currently, Jannik Sinner is clearly one of the main favourites in Shanghai. The 23-year-old Italian is having a fantastic year with two hard court Grand Slam titles (Australian Open and US Open), two Masters 1000 titles (Miami and Cincinnati) and two ATP 500 titles to round things off (Rotterdam and Halle). Sinner now has the impressive statistic of having been crowned champion in half of the events that he has taken part in in 2024.
The Italian is performing at a level he has never achieved before and can now string together victories against the best players on the circuit. The Shanghai Masters is one of his objectives as the season draws to a close.
After a number of surprises at the 2023 event, including Hurkacz's final victory, Sinner could restore a certain logic in China. Our ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai prediction: Sinner wins the tournament!
ATP Shanghai prediction: Odds on the favourites for the title
- Carlos Alcaraz - 3.00
- Jannik Sinner - 4.33
- Novak Djokovic - 4.75
- Alexander Zverev - 9.00
- Daniil Medvedev - 13.00
- Taylor Fritz - 23.00
- Andrey Rublev - 34.00
- Ben Shelton - 41.00
- Holger Rune - 51.00
- Tommy Paul - 51.00
- Grigor Dimitrov - 51.00
Odds from Bet365
Our Tips for Making Successful Predictions for the Shanghai Masters
What should you be considering when making your predictions for this Masters tournament? It's not just a case of looking at the player who has the shortest betting odds. Below we list the factors that you should take into consideration when making your Shanghai Masters bets.
Take into account the form of tennis players
The first thing to consider when analyzing your tennis predictions at the Shanghai Masters is to check the form of the two players who are competing. Look to see who's not in form and perhaps shouldn't be backed for this Masters tournament. There are plenty of statistics available that tell you all the results for every player in the tournament. Accessing these will be of great help to you. As will be the previews our team of experts will provide you totally free of charge.
Consider the playing surface
The Shanghai Masters is a hard court tournament, therefore you need to take this into account when analyzing your matches. Don't forget that every player has a preference for a surface in tennis. Some go better on this surface than they do on grass or clay. It is important to select tennis players who are used to excelling on fast courts. Don't back players who have only shown form on other surfaces.
Follow the head to head results
In tennis, as in any other individual sport, the mental aspect greatly influences performance. Therefore, it is necessary to know which tennis player is better mentally before making a guess in a Shanghai Masters match. Even if a player is ranked better than the other in the ATP Ranking and who had a more convincing performance in his last game than his opponent of the day, avoid, for example, betting on his victory if he has a streak of consecutive losses for your opponent. Each player has strengths and weaknesses, it is not uncommon to find some “weakness” for each player on the circuit. So take the time to check out the last direct confrontation between the two tennis players that will face each other, this will increase the credibility of your Shanghai Masters predictions.
Take into account recent performances at the Shanghai Masters
Following the same reasoning as the previous tip, we also advise you to check the performance of tennis players in this tournament. It's perhaps not as informative as in other tournaments as this event has only been played once since 2019. On that occasion it was Daniil Medvedev who won the title, while the big-hitting Pole Hubert Hurkacz took the title in 2023. Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner have of course been the two standouts in 2024, as the four Grand Slam tournaments have been split between those two. However, there are a number of other players who are in top form as well, with Alexander Zverev being a good example.
Follow the ATP rankings
Finally, as a fifth big tip, we ask that you keep in mind the ATP Rankings and ATP Finals qualification contest when making a prediction in a Shanghai Masters 2024 match. Also look at the ATP Race as this records the ranking points earned this year. We're in the last few months of the year so there will be players who need a lot of ranking points if they want to reach the lucrative ATP Tour Finals. Look for players whose ATP Race ranking is higher than the overall ranking.
The Statistics You Need to Know to make Successful Shanghai Masters Predictions
As you are no doubt aware, statistics are very important in tennis betting. Whether you're predicting the winner of a match or placing an alternative bet (number of games, sets, winner of a set, etc.), you need to know the key figures for a competition. Below you’ll find the key statistics from last year’s ATP Shanghai tournament, which can help you to make the right bets in 2024. These figures were taken from the completed 2023 edition of the Shanghai Masters 1000:
- Average games per match: 23.8 games
- Matches won in two sets: 60%
- Matches won in three sets: 40%
- Matches where the winner won the 1st set: 83%
- Matches with a 6-0 set: 4%
- Matches with tiebreak in the 1st set: 25%
- Matches with tie-break in the 2nd set: 12%
- Matches with tiebreak in the 3rd set: 9% (22% of matches in three sets)
Among other things, the above statistics show us that it could be worthwhile to focus on backing the favourites to win in straight sets. It could also be worth a look to back over 10.5 games in the first set as an alternate bet. You’ll generally get a favourable price on betting sites for these two markets, so be sure not to miss out!
In short: how to make good predictions on the Shanghai ATP tennis tournament in 2024 ?
In Shanghai, as elsewhere, there's no secret to making a successful tennis prediction. There is, however, a formula you can follow which will increase your chances of having success. Namely, you will want to bear in mind the surface and the format of the tournament, the relevant statistical data and the recent performances of the players involved. On this fast surface, some players may have specific skill sets that give them an inherent advantage.
If you're not confident in your knowledge, don't hesitate to use our ATP Shanghai Masters 1000 predictions. They are written by our tennis experts and are available free of charge on this page, so make the most of it !
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The images featuring this article are licensed from the IMAGO website.
