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ATP Rome (Masters 1000) Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Rome ATP prediction on the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the Masters 1000 Internazionali BNL d'Italia 2024. We have lots of information for your sports betting!

ATP Rome - Presentation and Predictions of the Rome Masters 1000 (Tennis)

ATP Rome - Tennis predictions

The Rome tennis tournament is one of the most eagerly awaited of the ATP clay-court season! Taking place from the 8th to the 19th of May 2024 this season, it promises some great duels in the Italian capital. So, who's the favourite for the Rome 2024 Masters 1000? Which players should you favour when making your bets on the Internazionali BNL d'Italia? How can you make reliable tennis predictions? We tell you everything on this page dedicated to the ATP tournament in Rome. After Daniil Medvedev won last year, he will face some strong challenges for the title. So get ready to make the best possible betting selections for the tournament in Rome.

The tournament sheet

  • Location: Rome (Italy)
  • Date: May 8 to 19, 2024
  • Surface: Clay
  • Prize Money: €7,877,020
  • Defending champion: Daniil Medvedev

Bet on the Rome Masters'

Winner Prediction: who will win the ATP Rome 2024?

Alexander Zverev in the Italian Open

If you'd like to place a bet on the ATP in Rome, you should know that there's a great line-up for this 2024 edition! Novak Djokovic, Rafa Nadal, Stefano Tsitsipas, Medvedev, Rublev and Holger Rune, to name but a few, are all expected to take part. The competition promises to be fierce to succeed Medvedev, last year's winner.

It's been a wild Italian Open so far which saw a number of high-profile eliminations from the tournament in the early rounds. Pre-tournament favorite Novak Djokovic was the biggest name to fall after a shocking upset defeat to 29th-seeded Alejandro Tabilo in straight sets. With the world's top three ranked players not in contention (after Sinner and Alcaraz withdrew before the start), the result is what appears to be the widest-open Rome Masters 1000 in recent memory.

However, it is 2017 Italian Open champion Alexander Zverev that has caught our attention for a few different reasons. The German world number five has looked very sharp so far and has yet to lose a set in his four matches played. The 27-year-old has yet to win a title in 2024 but has been playing well with a 26-9 year to date record. Zverev is perhaps the player who has benefited the most from the elimination of Djokovic as he received an incredibly clear path to the final. His quarter-final win against Fritz represented his highest ranked opponent that remained in his half of the bracket. With a semi-final matchup against 29th seed Tabilo now the only thing standing between himself and another finals appearance, Zverev is in prime position to add a sixth Masters 1000 win to his career total right in the lead-up to Roland Garros. 

Our ATP Rome 2024 prediction: victory for Zverev!

Rome Masters 1000 prediction: odds for the title

  • Alexander Zverev - 1.33
  • Nicolas Jarry - 3.40

Odds from Bet365

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Our tips for betting on the Rome ATP Tennis Championships

tennis predictions Rome Masters 1000

Do you want the best possible chance of winning bets at the Rome Masters 1000? Then follow the advice of our tennis specialists! Experts on the ATP circuit for many years, the SportyTrader tipsters know the keys to reliable predictions on the Roman competition. Here are the most important ones for success during the Italian week.

Analyse current form

The first thing you need to do when making your predictions for the ATP Rome 2024 is to analyse the form of the two players competing. Of course, you need to look at their results, but that's not all! Take the time to read between the statistics to understand the matches the two players have just played. Look at the number of points won, the number of unforced errors, the number of games and sets conceded and the minutes spent on court. This will give you a great indication of the result to expect from each match at this tournament in Rome.

Focus on the playing surface

The second key is the playing surface. In tennis, there are different court surfaces (hard, clay, grass, etc.), each with its own specific characteristics. Each surface demands players have different skills depending on their profile and abilities. An excellent server, for example, will be at ease on grass, while a player with stamina and used to long rallies will be at ease on clay. Since the Rome Masters 1000 is played on clay (outdoors), you should give preference to players who like this surface when making your predictions. It's no coincidence that Rafael Nadal has often shone in the tournament, the Spaniard being the best player of all time on clay. Profiles of this type - such as Carlos Alcaraz - should be favoured in your bets.

Study the last head-to-head record

The third element to take into account for your tennis bets is the last head-to-head record of the two players. This means looking at the results of matches played between the two men, with particular emphasis on the most recent ones (on clay if possible). Tennis is a sport where the psychological advantage is ultra-important, so it will be very useful for you to know which of the two players will start the match with an advantage. As well as consulting our match predictions, you can easily find this information on the web. Always apply this advice, whatever tennis tournament you want to bet on.

Take into account the history of the tournament

The fourth key to good selections for Rome is the history of each player in the tournament. Similar to the previous point, this is about knowing whether a player is comfortable in the Italian capital or not. Has the player you want to bet on already performed well in the competition? Is he more used to losing in the first round? How did he perform last year? All these questions need to be answered if you want to succeed. Don't forget that every player has their own preferences when it comes to competitions and that this often plays a part in their performance. We all remember Novak Djokovic for a long time at the Australian Open, Rafael Nadal at Roland Garros and the illustrious Roger Federer at Wimbledon. So avoid backing a player to have success if he or she has never performed well in Rome.

Check the ATP rankings

The last major focus of our analysis of the Rome tournament is the ATP rankings. Like all Masters 1000 tournaments, the Roman event offers a thousand points to its winner, so motivation is high for players aiming for something in the rankings. Is a player clearly aiming for the number 1 spot? A place in the Top 10? Qualification for the ATP Finals at the end of the season, or even the number 1 status in his country? You can be sure he'll do everything he can to have a great tournament in Rome. Motivation always counts for a lot in tennis, so never underestimate this parameter. 

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The statistics you need to know for your predictions on the ATP Masters tennis tournament in Rome

Masters Roma Tennis Stats

In addition to the tips from our tennis specialists, you need to know the key statistics for the Rome tournament in order to make reliable bets. This is especially true if you're used to alternative bets (number of games, number of sets, etc.). These figures, taken from the most recent Roman event, will be particularly useful:

  • Average number of games per match: 23.3 games
  • Two-set matches: 62%
  • Three-set matches: 38%
  • Matches where the winner won the 1st set: 82%
  • Matches with a golden set (6-0): 4%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 13%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 14%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 8% (20% of matches in three sets)

These statistics, taken from the 2023 Rome Masters 1000, should give you a clearer picture of this edition of the Italian competition. Keep them in mind when betting online, especially if you like alternative bets (number of games, exact scores, etc.).

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In a nutshell: how do you make good selections for the Rome ATP tennis tournament?

Making accurate picks for the Rome ATP can sometimes be tricky, which is why it's best to adopt a few good habits. So, when making your predictions for the Rome tournament, bear in mind the format of the clay-court competition, the relevant statistical data and the recent performances of the players. On this slow surface, some players may have specific skills or preferences.

If you lack confidence in your knowledge, don't hesitate to rely on our Rome ATP predictions. They are written by our tennis experts and are available free of charge on this page, so take advantage of them!

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Our ATP Rome Masters Predictions of the moment

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