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ATP Masters 1000 Madrid Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Madrid Masters 1000 prediction for the final winner, as well as our expert predictions on all the Mutua Madrid Open 2024 matches. Lots of information for your sports betting!

ATP Madrid - Madrid Masters 1000 presentation and predictions (Tennis)

Tennis predictions ATP Madrid Masters

Want to make some ATP Madrid tennis bets? You're in the right place as the Spanish tournament is shaping up to be a great one again this season. Following Carlos Alcaraz's triumph last year, the Madrid Masters 1000 will see the best players on clay go head-to-head between the 24th of April and the 5th of May this season. Who can win the tournament held in the Spanish capital? Which players should you favour in your Masters Madrid bets? We take a look at the situation on this page dedicated to the Mutua Madrid Open 2024.

Tournament details

  • Venue: Madrid (Spain)
  • Dates: From 24th April to 5th May 2024
  • The surface: Clay 
  • Prize Money: €7,877,020
  • The last winner: Carlos Alcaraz (two-time title holder)
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Prediction on the winner: who will win the Madrid 2024 Masters 1000?

Winner prediction ATP Madrid Masters

In a surprising result, Andrey Rublev elminated the home favourite Carlos Alcaraz, winner of the last two editions of the competition, in the quarter-finals of the Madrid Masters. It was a phenomenal result for the 26-year-old Russian who showed what a force he can be when he is in the right mental state of mind. Rublev's service game was impeccable and if he can keep up this kind of play the rest of the way, he could very likely be looking at his second ATP Masters 1000 win. Andrey Rublev has proven to be a consistent player regardless of the playing surface, with his 65.66% winning percentage on clay right in line with his career 65.58% mark. His next matchup is against the American Taylor Fritz in the semi-finals. While Fritz has won four of the last five matchups between the two, Rublev was victorious the last time these two played on clay. With the boost in confidence from knocking off the tournament favorite in Alcaraz, we believe that Andrey Rublev should be able to ride that momentum to the title in Madrid. Our Madrid Masters prediction is for Andrey Rublev to be crowned champion! Do you agree with us? Place your bets!

Madrid Masters 1000 prediction: Title odds ahead of the final

Check out the odds on who will be the winner of the ATP Madrid Masters 1000! Below we have the odds for for the final:

  • Andrey Rublev - 1.44
  • Felix Auger Aliassime - 2.75

Odds taken from Bet365

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Our tips for betting on the Madrid Masters 1000

Predictions winner ATP Masters Madrid

To make the right Madrid ATP Masters 1000 prediction, you need to analyse a few key factors in a tennis match. Here, according to our expert tipsters, are the ones you need to work on before placing your bets. The success of your Madrid 2024 Masters predictions undoubtedly depends on them.

Consider the shape of the players before Madrid

First of all, you need to consider the form of the two players facing each other. Take an interest in the last matches played by each side, both in terms of form and content. As well as the results achieved in recent matches (number of sets, number of games), look at the number of winning points scored, and the number of unforced errors or breaks conceded, for example. This will give you a good idea of the current form of the two players before a match at this Madrid 2024 Masters 1000.

Take into account the playing surface in Madrid

The second important aspect of your tennis predictions in Madrid is the playing surface. Never forget that the surface of a court is of considerable importance in tennis. A player will often not perform as well on grass as on clay, outdoors or indoors. Every tennis player has his or her preferred playing conditions, the ones with which he or she is most comfortable. In Madrid, clay courts are used outdoors. So it's best to make predictions in favour of players who are used to shining on the Madrid surface.

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Study the history of head-to-head matches

Another tip from our experts before betting on the Madrid tennis tournament: determine which player has the psychological edge. In tennis, psychology is a key factor in the outcome of a match, as victories are often decided on mental strength. That's why it's always a good idea to check out the last head-to-head meetings between the two players, to see which one is in the strongest position before the start of the match. In particular, the last duels played on clay should be taken into account, as this is the surface used in Madrid.

Analysing history in the Spanish tournament

The fourth factor to take into account when making your Madrid ATP prediction is the history of the players in the tournament. The crowd, the surface, the weather, the timing of the calendar... many aspects determine whether or not a player enjoys a tennis competition. Every season, it's not unusual to see the same players shine at a tournament, as Rafa Nadal did for a long time in Monte Carlo or Roger Federer in Basel. If you want to be sure of your bets this season, take a look at each player's recent performances at the Mutua Madrid Open. Even as the favourite on paper, a man who has never made it past the first round should be left out of your predictions.

Check your ATP ranking

The fifth major parameter to take into account is the current ATP ranking. As its name suggests, the Madrid Masters 1000 promises a thousand points to the winner of the competition. So it's no exaggeration to say that the motivation will be there right to the end of this season, especially for those players who are aiming for something in the ranking. Is a tennis player aiming to qualify for the ATP Finals at the end of the season? Number 1 in his country? His highest-ever ranking? You can be sure he'll be giving it his all in the battle for Madrid. Don't forget that motivation counts for a lot in tennis, so you also need to take this ATP ranking into account for your tennis betting.

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The statistics you need to know for your Madrid ATP Masters 1000 predictions

Statistics ATP Madrid

Predicting a tennis tournament as accurately as possible also involves knowing the figures and statistics. To help you in your quest for winning bets this season, our experts have chosen to highlight the key figures for the Madrid Masters 1000. Figures from the last edition, won by Carlos Alcaraz.

  • Average number of games per match : 24.8 games
  • Two-set matches : 57%
  • Three-set matches : 43%
  • Matches where the winner won the 1st set : 79%
  • Matches with a golden set (6-0) : 5%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set : 27%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set : 24%
  • Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set : 12% (28% of matches in three sets)

If you're unsure about your bet in a match between two players, don't hesitate to use these figures. They will be particularly useful if you are used to placing side bets on tennis (number of games, sets, exact score, etc.).

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In a nutshell: how do you make a good ATP Madrid 2024 prediction?

To make the best Madrid 2024 Masters 1000 predictions, don't forget to take our experts' advice into account. Keep in mind the specifics of the tournament, as well as the most important statistics for your ATP Madrid 2024 predictions.

Try to spot the most in-form players who are comfortable on clay and who perform well in this category of tournaments in order to make the most reliable bets possible on the competition. Happy betting on the Madrid Masters 1000!

Our Masters Madrid Predictions of the moment

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ATP Madrid :  The best Masters 1000 betting odds

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