2024 Australian Open Predictions & Betting tips
Find out our free prediction on the final winner of the Australian Open, as well as our expert predictions on all the matches of the first Grand Slam of the season. All the information you need for your tennis betting is here!
Australian Open predictions and presentation - Tennis
Looking for tips for your Australian Open 2024 prediction? You've come to the right place! Held from January 14 to 28, 2024, the Australian Open is the first major tennis tournament of the year and promises to be one of the most spectacular of the season.
Who's the favorite? Which player looks a good bet for the title? Who will shine on the WTA circuit? All the answers can be found on this page dedicated to Australian Open predictions. Tennis gets louder on SportyTrader!
Tournament details
- Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne (Australia)
- Dates: January 14-28, 2024
- Surface: Hard (GreenSet)
- Last winner: Mens - N. Djokovic (Serbia), Womens - Aryna Sabalenka (Belarus)
- Prize Money: AU$76.5 million total, AU$3 million for singles champions
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Prediction Australian Open winner
Like every season, the Australian Open is an opportunity to see the best players on the world ATP circuit in action. Novak Djokovic, Daniil Medvedev, Carlos Alcaraz, Janik Sinner, Andrey Rublev and Stefanos Tsitsipas are just some of the talent on show in Melbourne, much to the delight of tennis fans and sports betting enthusiasts. This season, and perhaps for the last time, Novak Djokovic is once again expected to hoist the trophy. It would represent the all-time Grand Slam leader’s 25th title and 11th Australian Open crown should he prove successful.
Despite ever stiffer competition from the likes of Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner, the Serbian is still as impressive as ever, as evidenced by his last few months of play. Winner of the US Open, Roland Garros, Paris and Cincinnati Masters, ATP Finals and, of course, the latest Australian Open, Djokovic is incredibly consistent and, what's more, at home in Melbourne Park. The most reliable prediction is therefore that Novak Djokovic will win the Australian Open 2024. Unsurprisingly, the world number 1 is the bookmakers' favorite for Australian Open 2024 odds.
Australian Open Prediction: ATP title odds
- Novak Djokovic - 2.05
- Carlos Alcaraz - 4.33
- Jannik Sinner - 7.00
- Daniil Medvedev - 10.00
- Alexander Zverev - 26.00
- Holger Rune - 29.00
- Grigor Dimitrov - 34.00
- Alex De Minaur - 34.00
- Stefanos Tsitsipas - 41.00
- Casper Ruud - 51.00
- Andrey Rublev - 51.00
- Ben Shelton - 51.00
Odds taken from bet365, which offers a great range of bets on the Australian Open.
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Women's Australian Open Winner Prediction: Who will win the women's WTA tournament in 2024?
In the WTA draw, the competition promises to be equally fierce right to the end at the Australian Open 2024. In Melbourne, some of the world's best players will be taking part in the year’s first Grand Slam tournament, including Iga Świątek, defending champion Aryna Sabalenka, Coco Gauff, Elena Rybakina, Ons Jabeur and Maria Sakkari.
Having reached the last 16 in 2023, Świątek comes into the 2024 edition in scorching form after winning titles at the WTA Finals, WTA 1000 Beijing, Roland Garros and Doha. The Polish WTA consensus number 1 seems to be the most guaranteed candidate for this year's AO. Will she finally triumph in Melbourne and lift the Australian Open trophy for the first time? That, in any case, is the SportyTrader editorial team's prediction.
WTA Women's Australian Open Prediction: Women's title odds
- Iga Świątek - 3.25
- Elena Rybakina - 5.50
- Aryna Sabalenka - 6.00
- Coco Gauff - 6.00
- Jessica Pegula - 17.00
- Naomi Osaka - 26.00
- Qinwen Zheng - 31.00
- Ons Jabeur - 31.00
- Jelena Ostapenko - 34.00
- Mirra Andreeva - 41.00
- Maria Sakkari - 41.00
Odds taken from Unibet, a bookmaker with a wide variety of bets available on the WTA circuit. Take advantage now!
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How to make good match predictions and bet on the Australian Open?
Now that we've talked about our favorites, let's look at the best practices for betting on the day in Melbourne.
Here are the tips you need to make as many reliable predictions as possible for the Australian Open 2024 and boost your winnings. They could help you shine at the first Grand Slam of the year:
- Analyze the players' form during the Australian Open
- Take into account the tournament surface in Melbourne
- Study the head-to-head in Australia
- Look into each player’s history in the AO
- Consider the ATP Race
For more information on each of these tips, we invite you to read on.
Analyzing players' form during the Australian Open
Unsurprisingly, the first thing to do is to analyze the form of the two players involved in the Australian Open match you wish to predict. This should be a central element of your analysis. You need to take into account the latest performances of each player, applying both to the latest results and to the statistics of the matches. If, for example, Jannik Sinner has just won 3 matches without conceding a set, you might want to avoid betting against the Italian on the day given his red-hot form.
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Take into account the tournament surface in Melbourne
The second tip for making good Australian Open predictions (and overall tennis predictions in general) is to consider the surface that the tournament is being played on. In tennis, what may seem like a small detail is in fact a major influencing factor, as some players could have drastic differences in their results from one surface to another. Therefore, it's a good idea to find out what the surface is and take the time to check out the latest performances.
For the Australian Open in Melbourne, it's an outdoor (or indoor, depending on weather conditions) hard court that's being used. It's a fairly fast surface, benefitting all-round players as well as those with big serves and powerful forehands. Be sure to study all of the players you are interested in betting on and don’t automatically rush to the betting slip with the players who are favorites on paper. If they don't perform well on the surface, they can lose even to players with lower ATP rankings.
Study the head-to-head in Australia
To make a good prediction on the Australian Open, you should also look at the history of the last duels between the two players (head-to-head). Indeed, in tennis, a psychological advantage is paramount and often plays a role in the outcome of a match. For example, if Novak Djokovic has fictitiously lost three matches in a row to Tsitsipas, it's best to avoid predicting his victory. To go even further on this subject, we advise you to take greater account of recent head-to-heads played on the same surface as the AO (outdoor hard), and those played in the same tournament (previous editions). They will be all the more relevant to your match analysis.
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Look into each player’s history in the Australian Open
The fourth tip is to check the players' most recent history in the same competition (Australian Open). Most players have their favorite tournaments, where they feel particularly at home. Whether it's the playing surface, the crowd or the facilities, some enjoy certain competitions more than others and are used to performing there. Examples include Rafael Nadal and his decade-long love affair with Roland Garros, Roger Federer and the legendary Wimbledon, and Novak Djokovic, who reigns supreme at the Australian Open (10 titles before the 2024 edition). To make even more reliable predictions for this year's Australian Open, be sure to consult the tables from previous editions. You'll find that some players tend to perform well in Melbourne, despite perhaps not always placing very high in the ATP rankings.
Consider the ATP Race
Finally, don't forget that this Australian Open counts for a lot in the ATP Race. The tournament held in Melbourne can earn up to 2,000 points, and make the difference at the end of the season when it comes to qualifying for the 2024 ATP Finals. Admittedly, this competition comes at the beginning of the season and players will have many other tournaments to make up ground. However, In a match between two players who seem destined to compete with each other throughout the season, expect a hard-fought game. Some matches are won on motivation, meaning the ATP Race can certainly factor into a match scenario in Melbourne.
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What not to do for your Australian Open tennis predictions
Putting in place the right practices is all well and good, but avoiding the wrong ones is just as important to your Australian Open betting success. Here are some of the things to avoid when betting on this event:
- Betting solely on a player's prestige
- Only taking ATP rankings into account
- Not analyzing playing surface results
- Place too many accumulator bets
- Betting too much on 50/50 duels without a perceived edge
5 bad habits that are too often reproduced by novice bettors, so avoid producing them now that you know them.
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The stats you need for your Australian Open predictions
To get the most out of your Australian Open tennis predictions, in addition to implementing the tips outlined above, there are a number of statistics you should be aware of. Based on the last edition of the tournament (in 2023), here are the key statistics our experts advise you to keep in mind before making your predictions. Some of them will make all the difference for this 2024 Australian Open campaign.
- Average number of games per match: 37.2 games
- Three-set matches: 44%
- Four-set matches: 33%
- Five-set matches: 23%
- Matches in which the winner won the 1st set: 76%
- Matches with a golden set (6-0): 9.5%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 1st set: 19%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 2nd set: 18%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 3rd set: 21%
- Tie-break matches in the 4th set: 11%
- Matches with a tie-break in the 5th set: 5% (21% of matches in 5 sets)
- Comebacks (0-2 then 3-2): 5% of matches
Among other things, it will be smart to predict three-set matches for this new Australian Open, not to expect too many bagels in matches (6-0 sets), and to predict the first set win for the announced favorite. Admittedly, there's no such thing as a sure-thing in tennis, but this will enable you to place bets that are more reliable and accurate than average. The Australian Open 2024 is perhaps the best way for punters to start the year.
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In a nutshell: how to make a good Australian Open prediction?
To sum up, making a good prediction on the Australian Open means knowing the favorites, the important statistics, and taking into account the best betting practices. Whether it's the AO 2024 or any of the other tournaments on the circuit, get into the habit of applying the tips outlined on this page. Your tennis predictions will be all the better for it!
Want to follow the tournament live? You can check out all the matches on our Australian Open Livescore. Dozens of figures and comments are available to help you make the best predictions.
Our current Australian Open predictions:
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Australian Open 2024: Best odds
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