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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
02 Oct 2022 20:20
Kansas City Chiefs

Prediction :

 

Tampa Bay Bucs +1 point spread

 
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction & Betting Tips - NFL

 by Joseph King | in NFL Predictions

Sunday Night Football in the NFL sees a rematch of Super Bowl LV when two of the league’s best teams face off at Raymond James Stadium for this week four clash. Both the Tampa Bay Bucs and Kansas City Chiefs come into this game with a 2-1 record and will each be desperate to avoid going .500 with a loss. The Tom Brady led Bucs are coming off a 14-12 loss to the Green Bay Packers in their last game while the Chiefs will try to bounce back after a 20-17 loss of their own to the Colts. All eyes will be on the quarterback matchup as the 45-year-old greatest of all-time Tom Brady faces off against the player that many think may one day dethrone him in the 27-year-old Patrick Mahomes.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs's standings in the NFL

Teams % P W D L Series
1
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs
0.824 17 14 0 3 5
19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0.471 17 8 0 9 -1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs Last Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last matches
L L L L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

25 Sep 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12 :  14
Green Bay Packers

11 Sep 2022 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
3 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

16 Jan 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  15
Philadelphia Eagles

3 Oct 2021 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

7 Feb 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

24 Jan 2021 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
26 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

25 Sep 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
12 :  14
Green Bay Packers

16 Jan 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  15
Philadelphia Eagles

7 Feb 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

13 Dec 2020 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
26 :  14
Minnesota Vikings

23 Nov 2020 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
24 :  27
Los Angeles Rams

8 Nov 2020 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3 :  38
New Orleans Saints
W W L L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

11 Sep 2022 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
3 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3 Oct 2021 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

24 Jan 2021 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
26 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

17 Jan 2021 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

9 Jan 2021 - NFL

Washington Commanders
23 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

8 Oct 2020 - NFL

Chicago Bears
20 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs Last matches
L L W W W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

30 Jan 2022 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
24 :  27
Cincinnati Bengals

2 Jan 2022 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
34 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

19 Sep 2021 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
36 :  35
Kansas City Chiefs

7 Feb 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

24 Jan 2021 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
38 :  24
Buffalo Bills

17 Jan 2021 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  17
Cleveland Browns
W W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

30 Jan 2022 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
24 :  27
Cincinnati Bengals

24 Jan 2021 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
38 :  24
Buffalo Bills

17 Jan 2021 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
22 :  17
Cleveland Browns

8 Nov 2020 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
33 :  31
Carolina Panthers

1 Nov 2020 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
35 :  9
New York Jets

11 Oct 2020 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
32 :  40
Las Vegas Raiders
W W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

2 Jan 2022 - NFL

Cincinnati Bengals
34 :  31
Kansas City Chiefs

19 Sep 2021 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
36 :  35
Kansas City Chiefs

7 Feb 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

13 Dec 2020 - NFL

Miami Dolphins
27 :  33
Kansas City Chiefs

19 Oct 2020 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
17 :  26
Kansas City Chiefs

28 Sep 2020 - NFL

Baltimore Ravens
20 :  34
Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

7 Feb 2021 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
31 :  9
Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Kansas City Chiefs: Form Analysis

Both teams are coming off a loss in this one after each having 2-0 starts to the season. For the Bucs, their 12 point performance against the Packers was more a case of simply not having enough players healthy to pose any real kind of offensive threat. The Chiefs were held to an unusually low 17 points in their loss to the Colts after being the highest average scoring team in the league last season at 28.2 points per game. Tampa’s defense could play the deciding role in this matchup as the Bucs have been performing excellently on that side of the ball and have allowed a league low 27 points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers & Kansas City Chiefs Squad Analysis

The Bucs are dealing with a major injury criss at the moment and have six players listed on the most recent injury report as either out, doubtful or questionable. Brady was forced to face Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week without almost all of his wide receiver targets. The good news for Tampa Bay fans is that Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and possibly Julio Jones are expected to suit up for this game, as well as left tackle Donovan Smith. On the other side, the Chiefs received a huge boost with the return of a number of players for Thursday’s practice. The only players that look set to miss out on this game are kicker Harrison Butker and defensive end Joshua Kaindoh. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Kansas City Chiefs Key Points

  1. Brady holds a 3-2 lead over Mahomes in their head to head record although two of those wins came while Brady was a member of the New England Patriots. Their last meeting ended 31-9 to the Bucs in Super Bowl LV.
  2. Brady is an incredible 33-5 against the spread as an underdog or small favorite coming off of a loss.
  3. WR Mike Evans returns for the Bucs and looks to have a big game against this Chiefs defense that ranks 29th in DVOA vs number 1 receivers.
  4. The Bucs defense has a league best 0.141 points per play allowed and also ranks first in defensive DVOA at -34.3%.

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

We’re going to back the Tampa Bay Bucs to win this one and take them getting the point on the +1 spread. The Bucs getting back a number of weapons for Tom Brady is enough to swing this one in their favor in what will likely be a close matchup. The bookmakers opened with the Chiefs as -3 point road favorites before injury news was released and an apparent buy back with the field goal hook from the sharp money. Even at +1, the Bucs have enough firepower now to win this game straight up as Brady should be able to get one over on Mahomes yet again.

Prediction :

 

Tampa Bay Bucs +1 point spread

 
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs - Other Interesting Predictions

Tampa Bay Bucs moneyline

Odds 1.91
With the spread almost at a pick'em, taking the Bucs on the moneyline also represents good value to get the slightly better odds.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs Prediction

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