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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
15 Oct 2023 16:25
Detroit Lions

Prediction :

 

Detroit Lions -3 point spread

 
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction & Betting Tips - NFL

 by Joseph King | in NFL Predictions

Week six in the 2023 NFL regular season pits the NFC North first-place Lions against the NFC South leading Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Detroit has come a long way in just two seasons. They went from a three-win team in 2021 to just missing out on the playoffs last year with a 9-8 record. They’ve started this season with four wins from five games and are heavy favorites to make the postseason for the first time since 2016. Not only that, the Lions find themselves as the seventh-favorites to win the Super Bowl. Dan Campbell’s team cruised past the Panthers last weekend, building upon a 28-10 halftime lead to secure a 42-24 win. It was an extremely efficient performance from the Lions who went 4/4 in the red zone and didn’t commit a single turnover. Detroit also has wins over the Packers, Falcons and Chiefs this season with their one loss coming 37-31 to the Seahawks.

Tampa Bay is one of the surprise teams of the still young 2023 season. Their last appearance saw them comfortably handle New Orleans 26-9, although the Saints were dealing with a banged-up Derek Carr. The Bucs will come into Sunday’s contest with two weeks of rest and prep time following their bye in week four. Quarterback Baker Mayfield is having one of the comeback stories of the year after bouncing around to two other teams following his trade from Cleveland in 2021. The former Oklahoma Sooner has racked up seven touchdowns and two interceptions on 882 passing yards so far. Tampa Bay’s other wins have come against the Vikings and Bears, while they were soundly beaten 25-11 by the Eagles for their only loss. Despite their impressive record, there still remains questions as to just how good this Tampa Bay team is.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Form

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions's standings in the NFL

Teams Pts P W D L
4
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions
7 17 12 0 5
18
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
1 17 9 0 8

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Detroit Lions Last Matches

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

25 Sep 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
11 :  25
Philadelphia Eagles

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  17
Chicago Bears

16 Jan 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

18 Dec 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

11 Dec 2022 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
35 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

5 Dec 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 :  16
New Orleans Saints
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

25 Sep 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
11 :  25
Philadelphia Eagles

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
27 :  17
Chicago Bears

16 Jan 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14 :  31
Dallas Cowboys

18 Dec 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
23 :  34
Cincinnati Bengals

5 Dec 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
17 :  16
New Orleans Saints

6 Nov 2022 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16 :  13
Los Angeles Rams
L L W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

11 Dec 2022 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
35 :  7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

16 Oct 2022 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
20 :  18
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

11 Sep 2022 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
3 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3 Oct 2021 - NFL

New England Patriots
17 :  19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

24 Jan 2021 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
26 :  31
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

17 Jan 2021 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
20 :  30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions Last matches
W W L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

28 Sep 2023 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
20 :  34
Detroit Lions

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

7 Sep 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
20 :  21
Detroit Lions

8 Jan 2023 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
16 :  20
Detroit Lions

14 Nov 2021 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
16 :  16
Detroit Lions

20 Sep 2021 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
35 :  17
Detroit Lions
W W W L W W
Victories

0/3 (0%)

Draw

0/3 (0%)

Defeats

3/3 (100%)

17 Sep 2023 - NFL

Detroit Lions
31 :  37
Seattle Seahawks

15 Dec 2019 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

1 Jan 2017 - NFL

Detroit Lions
24 :  31
Green Bay Packers
W W L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

28 Sep 2023 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
20 :  34
Detroit Lions

7 Sep 2023 - NFL

Kansas City Chiefs
20 :  21
Detroit Lions

8 Jan 2023 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
16 :  20
Detroit Lions

14 Nov 2021 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
16 :  16
Detroit Lions

20 Sep 2021 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
35 :  17
Detroit Lions

11 Nov 2018 - NFL

Chicago Bears
34 :  22
Detroit Lions

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

15 Dec 2019 - NFL

Detroit Lions
17 :  38
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Detroit Lions Key Points

  1. The Bucs first two wins came against teams that are currently 1-4, while the win over the Saints had a lot to do with Derek Carr’s injury.
  2. The Lions have been one of the top teams on both sides of the ball, ranking fourth in offensive DVOA (21.7%) and third in defensive DVOA (-16%).
  3. Tampa Bay’s offense ranks just 18th in offensive DVOA, 24th in average yards per play and 22nd in average yards per game.
  4. Detroit’s wins have come against opposition with a combined 10-6 record compared to 5-9 for the Bucs.
  5. The Lions’ offense ranked fifth in yards per play (5.8) and sixth in average yards per game (384.4).

Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction

The Detroit Lions are a legitimate playoff team while the verdict is definitely still out on the Bucs. Tampa Bay’s one true test so far this year saw them convincingly beaten by the Eagles. Detroit statistically has a slightly better defense than the Bucs up to this point in the season but a substantially better offense. They’re deserved favorites in this game despite playing on the road. We have this spread a few points higher in favor of Detroit. Therefore, we see a good bit of value in backing the road favorites to get the job done. Our Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions prediction is for the Lions on the -3 point spread.

Prediction :

 

Detroit Lions -3 point spread

 
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Detroit Lions Prediction

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