ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet for the seventh time in their careers. The two top-20 players clash in the third round at the Madrid Masters, with Alex De Minaur or Denis Shapovalov awaiting the winner. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Tsitsipas was a top-5 player just three years ago but is hurtling toward position 20, a clear depiction of his drop in form. This year has been particularly tough for the Greek No. 1.
To advance here, Tsitsipas needed two hours to see off a struggling Jan-Lennard Struff in three sets. That took his season’s tally to 16-8, and he’ll be desperate to get back to his best here.
Musetti will be on hand to extend Tsitsipas’ misery. The Italian has been on the rise and just missed the Monte Carlo title earlier this month.
He is making a fifth appearance at the Madrid Open and, for the first time, looks likely to progress past the third round. His straight-sets win against Tomas Martin Etcheverry took his Madrid tally to 6-4 and his season’s to 13-5.
Of those 13 wins, seven were on clay. On his way to the Monte Carlo final, the Italian claimed a first win against Tsitsipas. He will target further slashing the Greek’s dominance, which stands at 5-1.
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The Best Betting Odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.8 | 2 |
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1.83 | 1.91 |
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1.81 | 1.98 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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1.85 | 1.95 |
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Who will win the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Musetti to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 53.63% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.95.
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 46.37% probability of winning facing Stefanos Tsitsipas ⭐ with odds of 2.04 at Vbet.
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 53.63 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Stefanos Tsitsipas | 53.63 % |
Lorenzo Musetti | 46.37 % |
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Form
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
16 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
22 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona
24 May 2022 - ATP French Open
22 May 2021 - ATP Lyon Open
20 Mar 2021 - ATP Acapulco Open
Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points
- Tsitsipas lost four of his last 10 games.
- Musetti has eight wins in the last 10 matches.
- Musetti won the latest meeting between these two.
- Seven of Musetti’s last 10 matches had three sets played.
- Four of the last six meetings between these players needed a deciding set.
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Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction
The seventh meeting between Tsitsipas and Musetti will also be their sixth straight on clay. Only their first-ever meeting (Acapulco) wasn’t on clay. Tsitsipas’ dominance in this matchup was a few weeks ago, dealing with tough questions as Musetti brought out his best.
The Italian has a good run and is once again presented with a chance to offer Tsitsipas a tough ask. Tsitsipas is struggling, and we expect that to continue here. Our prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti is for Musetti to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Lorenzo Musetti game!
When you place a bet on the match between Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Stefanos Tsitsipas or Lorenzo Musetti , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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