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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 18 Greece
Stefanos Tsitsipas
28/04/2025 14:00
ATP 11 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Lorenzo Musetti and Stefanos Tsitsipas are set to meet for the seventh time in their careers. The two top-20 players clash in the third round at the Madrid Masters, with Alex De Minaur or Denis Shapovalov awaiting the winner. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Tsitsipas was a top-5 player just three years ago but is hurtling toward position 20, a clear depiction of his drop in form. This year has been particularly tough for the Greek No. 1.

To advance here, Tsitsipas needed two hours to see off a struggling Jan-Lennard Struff in three sets. That took his season’s tally to 16-8, and he’ll be desperate to get back to his best here. 

Musetti will be on hand to extend Tsitsipas’ misery. The Italian has been on the rise and just missed the Monte Carlo title earlier this month.

He is making a fifth appearance at the Madrid Open and, for the first time, looks likely to progress past the third round. His straight-sets win against Tomas Martin Etcheverry took his Madrid tally to 6-4 and his season’s to 13-5.

Of those 13 wins, seven were on clay. On his way to the Monte Carlo final, the Italian claimed a first win against Tsitsipas. He will target further slashing the Greek’s dominance, which stands at 5-1.

The Best Betting Odds for Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.8 2
Ladbrokes
1.83 1.91
NetBet
1.81 1.98
1xbet
1.85 1.95
22bet
1.85 1.95
Check all Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti odds
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Who will win the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti match is: Musetti to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti game on 28/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 53.63% chance to win against Lorenzo Musetti according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.95.
  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 46.37% probability of winning facing Stefanos Tsitsipas ⭐ with odds of 2.04 at Vbet.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Stefanos Tsitsipas has a 53.63 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Stefanos Tsitsipas53.63 %
Lorenzo Musetti46.37 %

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Form

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti Last Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Jan-Lennard Struff

18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Stefanos Tsitsipas
abort
Arthur Fils

16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Sebastian Korda

15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Reilly Opelka

11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

13 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Carlos Alcaraz

12 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Alex De Minaur

11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stefanos Tsitsipas

83 %

Lorenzo Musetti

17 %

11 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Stefanos Tsitsipas

16 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

22 Apr 2023 - ATP Barcelona

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

24 May 2022 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  3
Stefanos Tsitsipas

22 May 2021 - ATP Lyon Open

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

20 Mar 2021 - ATP Acapulco Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Stefanos Tsitsipas and Lorenzo Musetti with our comparison tool.

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti Key Points

  1. Tsitsipas lost four of his last 10 games.
  2. Musetti has eight wins in the last 10 matches.
  3. Musetti won the latest meeting between these two.
  4. Seven of Musetti’s last 10 matches had three sets played.
  5. Four of the last six meetings between these players needed a deciding set.

Our Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

The seventh meeting between Tsitsipas and Musetti will also be their sixth straight on clay. Only their first-ever meeting (Acapulco) wasn’t on clay. Tsitsipas’ dominance in this matchup was a few weeks ago, dealing with tough questions as Musetti brought out his best.

The Italian has a good run and is once again presented with a chance to offer Tsitsipas a tough ask. Tsitsipas is struggling, and we expect that to continue here. Our prediction for Stefanos Tsitsipas v Lorenzo Musetti is for Musetti to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Lorenzo Musetti Prediction

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