Spain vs France Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Prediction published on 17/09/2022, 09:11 by Joseph King | Modified on 17/09/2022 at 16:11 in EuroBasket Predictions

The final of the FIBA Eurobasket tournament sees two familiar foes facing off when France takes on Spain at the Mercedes-Benz Arena in Berlin. These two nations have an excellent history in this particular competition and one of the two teams have been crowned champions in three of the last four editions of the Eurobasket tournament. France had previously been limping a bit through the knockout rounds, needing overtime as well as some late opponent missed free throws in the first two rounds to progress. They ultimately showed their class against Poland in the semifinal, finally playing up to their supreme talent level and blowing out the Polish side by a score of 96-54. The Spainards were able to record an excellent 96-91 victory over Germany in the semifinal in only the second game this tournament that they were the betting underdogs. They come in again as underdogs for this one with oddsmakers having the French team as slight favorites.

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The Best Betting Odds for Spain v France Match

Bookmaker	1	2	Bonus up to
	2.3	1.67
	2.2	1.63
	2.12	1.74

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Spain - France: Form Analysis

Spain has been in slightly better form this tournament, winning seven of their eight total games and topping group A in the group stages. France finished third in group B with a 3-2 record but would go on to win their next three en route to the final, putting them at 6-2 overall for this tournament. Spain had the tougher road to the final in the knockout stages as they found themselves as the betting underdogs in two of their three games while France came into all three of their games as significant favorites. Spain’s offense, which as broken the 100 point mark in two of the last three games, will face the ultimate test here against arguably the tournament’s best defense in France.

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Spain & France Squad Analysis

All eyes will be on the French superstars Rudy Gobert and Evan Fournier who will be expected to shoulder a majority of the responsibility to get France over the finish line. However, this is a deep French team that distributes the scoring load evenly around three of their key players. Yabusele (15 ppg), Fournier (14.4 ppg), Gobert (13.6 ppg) make France a tough team to defend as there is good scoring balance and an extremely effective inside / outside threat. Spain rely on the Hernangomez brothers to carry the majority of the load but have gotten a huge boost from American born Lorenzo Brown, who is averaging 15.3 points and 7.1 assists per game for the Spanish.

Spain - France Key Points

France is the fourth-best three point shooting team in the tournament at 39.7% while Spain ranks 16th out of 24 shooting just 33.3% from deep.
France’s defense has been excellent this tournament and they have yet to allow an opponent to score more than 90 points. They are averaging 75.5 points against in their eight Eurobasket games so far.
The three point shot often makes the difference in Eurobasket matchups and France comes in red-hot from deep, sinking 10+ three pointers in consecutive games for the first time since 2007 (13 against Italy and 15 against Poland).
Despite struggling offensively in the beginning stages of the tournament, France has found their scoring touch in recent games. They’ve scored 95 and 93 in their last two games, a significant increase over their tournament average of 82 points per game.

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Our Spain vs France Prediction

=11ptWe’re going to back France to win this game and cover the -2.5 point spread in the process. If the French can play like they did against Poland in the semi final that they should simply have too much talent for Spain to cope with. It only seemed like a matter of time before France really played to the level that their talent would suggest and, unfortunately for Spain, they may be running into this French team at the worst possible time. Spain’s inefficiency from three could ultimately cause their demise here as they come up against a France team that is one of the best three point shooting teams in the tournament.

Prediction :

France -2.5 point spread

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Spain vs France - Other Interesting Predictions

France to win

Odds 1.69

Still a reasonable price here for a straight up France win. Cutting out the -2.5 to -3 point spread in what will likely be a close, hard-fought final.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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