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South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction & Betting Tips - ICC Champions Trophy
by Devesh Jaganath | in ICC Champions Trophy Predictions
The second semi-final in the 2025 ICC Champions Trophy will see South Africa taking on New Zealand at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore on Wednesday. The Proteas secured the top spot in Group B of the competition, while the Black Caps finished as runners-up in Group A. Check out our match prediction below.
This match will see the number five ranked team in the world (South Africa) face off against the fourth ranked New Zealanders for a chance to face either India or Australia in the grand final. These two sides have met twice in the Champions Trophy in the past, with the Black Caps winning the first match (2006), while the Proteas won the second encounter (2009).
South Africa and New Zealand have also won this competition once each in the first and second editions, respectively. Bookmakers have installed the Proteas as the favourites ahead of the toss. Let’s take a look at the key stats at play in this one.
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South Africa - New Zealand: Form Analysis
South have now made it to back-to-back semi-finals in ICC limited-overs tournaments, having finished as runners-up in the T20 World Cup to India in a nail-biting final match last year.
The Proteas earned their spot in the knockout stages by ending unbeaten in the group stage, defeating Afghanistan by 107 runs and England by seven wickets either side of their washed-out match against Australia.
Their record in this competition is significantly improved compared to their form during the lead-up, where they lost both of their tri-nations matches at the start of last month.
South Africa and New Zealand have split their last 10 ODI encounters five wins apiece!
However, it is New Zealand that will enter this contest with the psychological advantage, having beaten this opponent by six wickets en route to the tri-nations series title at the start of last month.
The Black Caps’ only defeat in this competition came against India on Sunday, but that followed a 60-run win over Pakistan in their opening game and a five-wicket victory over Bangladesh a week later.
The Kiwis had an underwhelming T20 World Cup campaign, but they have been very good in the 50-over format, winning seven of their last eight such matches since the start of 2025.
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South Africa & New Zealand Squad Analysis
Given that South Africa had one match washed out and made fairly light work of England last week, their batsmen have not really had an opportunity to shine, barring their opening match victory.
Against the Blue Tigers, Ryan Rickelton scored 103 runs of 106 balls, marking his maiden century for the Proteas in ODIs in his eighth match at the top of the batting order.
Marco Jansen delivered the standout bowling figures of 3-39 against the Three Lions in the last match and will almost certainly be entrusted to make inroads with the new ball in this match.
Tom Latham is the fourth-highest scoring batsman in the Champions Trophy 2025!
Indeed, the Kiwi wicket-keeper batsman posted a ton in the side’s first match against Pakistan, while opener Will Young also notched up a century at the top of the order in the same game.
With ball in hand, Will O'Rourke has been the Black Caps’ chief contributor in this competition, now on six wickets in three games, with an economy rate of 5.07.
South Africa - New Zealand Key Points
- Rassie van der Dussen has scored half-centuries in both Champions Trophy games so far.
- Rassie van der Dussen has a batting average of 49.76 in ODIs.
- Rassie van der Dussen scored 200 runs in his last two ODI games against New Zealand.
- Rassie van der Dussen has scored 30+ runs in each of his last three innings.
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Our South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction
South Africa have been heavily reliant on their middle-order in recent times, and arguably, their standout performer in that respect has been 36-year-old Rassie van der Dussen.
The right-hander has recorded half-centuries in both matches in this competition so far and has an excellent record against this opponent, having scored 200 runs in his two previous ODI matches against them. Our South Africa vs New Zealand prediction is Rassie van der Dussen over 30+ runs.
South Africa vs New Zealand - Other Interesting Predictions
South Africa wins the match
South Africa have won five of their last nine matches between these sides and are unbeaten in this year’s Champions Trophy.
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South Africa vs New Zealand match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions Trophy match between South Africa and New Zealand will be played on March 5 at 09:00 GMT.
The Champions Trophy match between South Africa and New Zealand will take place at the Gaddafi Stadium in Lahore.
In South Africa, the match will be broadcast on SuperSport, while New Zealand viewers can tune in to Sky Sport NZ for live coverage.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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