ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions
Casper Ruud is looking to reach a first Masters quarter-final in 2025 when he takes on Sebastian Korda in Madrid on Sunday. These two meet in the third round at Madrid, with the winner to meet Taylor Fritz or Benjamin Bonzi. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Korda has had a smooth start in Madrid: a first-round bye and then a three-set win over wildcard Federico Cina. It gets tougher from this point on, and the American will hope to rise up against a top 20 player.
In his last six matches against top 20 players, Korda suffered defeat. The most recent such game was in Barcelona last week when he lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas at the second hurdle.
Casper Ruud is once again benefitting from a manageable draw at the early stages. Clay is his preferred surface, and he should take advantage to improve on an already indifferent campaign.
After a first-round bye, the Norwegian saw off Arthur Rinderknech in straight sets last time out. He will hope to continue on a steady rise after being dethroned at Barcelona last week.
This is his seventh Madrid appearance, and Ruud hoped to better his semi-final run in 2021. He has never lost a third-round match here and will want to keep that going.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Korda v Casper Ruud Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3 | 1.4 |
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2.87 | 1.4 |
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2.9 | 1.38 |
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3 | 1.4 |
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3 | 1.4 |
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Who will win the Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud match is: Ruud to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud game on 27/04/2025 of the current ATP Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Sebastian Korda has a 38.75% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Betobet ⭐ with the odds of 3.03.
- Casper Ruud has a 61.25% probability of winning facing Sebastian Korda ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Betway.
Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Korda has a 38.75 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Sebastian Korda | 38.75 % |
Casper Ruud | 61.25 % |
Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Form
Sebastian Korda and Casper Ruud Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
27 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
25 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
18 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
16 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
15 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
9 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Aug 2024 - ATP National Bank Open
Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Ruud’s last five matches at Madrid ended in straight sets.
- Korda is on a 6-0 record against top-20 players on clay.
- Ruud has never lost in the third round at Madrid.
- Korda’s last four defeats were in straight sets.
- Ruud’s last five wins were all in straight sets.
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Our Sebastian Korda vs Casper Ruud Prediction
What would have been the first-ever meeting between these two players saw Korda handed a walkover at Montreal 2024. Now they get to face off in Madrid, and Ruud holds a clear advantage by his rank and form.
The Norwegian is on a 16-6 record for the year and faces an opponent who has struggled against top-20 players. Korda is faced with the task of being the first person to beat Ruud in the third round at the Madrid Masters. All indications are that he will fail. Our prediction for Sebastian Korda v Casper Ruud is for Ruud to win in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Sebastian Korda vs. Casper Ruud game!
When you place a bet on the match between Sebastian Korda and Casper Ruud you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Sebastian Korda or Casper Ruud , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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