ATP - ATP Rio Open


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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Fifth seed Sebastian Baez and unseeded Mariano Navone will battle in the second round at the Rio Open. In a repeat of last year’s final, the winner will face Thiago Monteiro or Chun-hsin Tseng in the quarter-finals. Below is our prediction for this match.
Baez is the defending Rio champion. He defeated Navone in last year’s final in straight sets and will be confident of continuing his title defence past this round.
The Argentine began his campaign with a 2-0 success over compatriot and lucky loser Roman Andres Burruchaga. He has now registered all five of his victories this season on clay.
Despite this, he has dropped 19 places in the live ranking to 50th.
Though he lost the final to Baez last season, advancing to the championship match was a monumental achievement for Navone. It was the first time in his career that he had made it to a tour final.
A clay court specialist, Navone would end 2024 having played two tour finals. He will hope to ascend to the final once again, on his return to Rio and achieve another career first, winning a tour crown.
The Argentine, who has compiled a 5-5 record, defeated Roberto Carballes Baena in straight sets in the first round.
He too has plummeted down the live rankings and is currently 64th.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Mariano Navone Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.1 | 1.73 |
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2 | 1.73 |
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2.06 | 1.76 |
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2.06 | 1.76 |
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1.99 | 1.82 |
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone match is: three sets to be played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone game on 19/02/2025 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Sebastian Baez has a 56.11% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
- Mariano Navone has a 43.89% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 1.82 at Betobet.
Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 56.11 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Sebastian Baez | 56.11 % |
Mariano Navone | 43.89 % |
Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Form
Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
12 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
8 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles
7 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles
6 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
18 Feb 2025 - ATP Rio Open
14 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
13 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires
31 Jan 2025 - Davis Cup
30 Jan 2025 - Davis Cup
Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open
Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Baez has won 217 matches on clay in his career.
- So far in his career, Navone has mastered 216 victories.
- Baez has won a set in all but one of his last eight matches.
- Eight of Navone’s previous nine fixtures have seen him claim at least one set.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Prediction
Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Mariano Navone is for all three sets to be played. This is a replica of last year’s Rio final in which Baez won in straight sets. It will be an even more intense face-off as Baez is defending his title while Navone is out for revenge.
Both players are excellent clay performers also and have each won over 200 matches on clay in their careers. Though they haven’t been particularly impressive, Navone and Baez have rarely failed to win a set in their respective outings this season. We are likely to see a decider here.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Sebastian Baez vs. Mariano Navone game!
When you place a bet on the match between Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Sebastian Baez or Mariano Navone , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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