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ATP - ATP Rio Open

ATP 27 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
25 Feb 2024 15:30
ATP 48 Argentina
Mariano Navone

Prediction :

Sebastian Baez wins the match

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Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

An Argentinian player will win the 2024 Rio Open. That's been guaranteed as fifth seed Sebastian Baez takes on the qualifier Mariano Novane in the final of this outdoor clay court tournament. Both players have had excellent weeks in Rio but few would have predicted this to be the line-up in the final of this ATP 500 tournament. For both Baez and Novane, they will leave Rio with new career high figures set but just which one of them will lift the trophy on Sunday evening?
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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Mariano Navone Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
NetBet
1.39 3
1xbet
1.36 3.2
22bet
1.36 3.2
Betwinner
1.43 2.81
LSbet
1.43 2.81
Stake
1.36 3.05
Melbet
1.35 3.18
Tonybet
1.35 3.05
William Hill
1.36 3.1
Vbet
1.38 3
Betway
1.38 3
Unibet
1.4 3
Betsson
1.42 2.9
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone game on 25/02/2024 of the current ATP Rio Open season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 58.37% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.43.
  • Mariano Navone has a 41.63% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.

Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 58.37 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez58.37 %
Mariano Navone41.63 %

Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Form

Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

24 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo

23 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Thiago Monteiro
1 :  2
Sebastian Baez

22 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Facundo Diaz Acosta
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

20 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Sebastian Baez

16 Feb 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
0 :  2
Federico Coria

15 Feb 2024 - ATP Buenos Aires

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi
Mariano Navone Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

24 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Cameron Norrie

23 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Joao Fonseca
1 :  2
Mariano Navone

22 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

20 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Federico Coria
1 :  2
Mariano Navone

18 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Genaro Alberto Olivieri

17 Feb 2024 - ATP Rio Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  0
Mateus Alves

Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone: Form Analysis

When this tournament got underway, Sebastian Baez was ranked 30th in the world. That was seven places below his career high but a new one has been set thanks to this run to the Rio Open final. The 23-year-old beat the fourth seeded Francisco Cerundolo in Saturday's semi-final. It was a tight first set with Baez taking it 7-5. However, it wasn't going to be one of those long drawn out clay court matches as Baez won the second set without dropping a game against his fellow Argentinian. He has made it to the final with only one set being dropped. That was in the quarter final where he lost the middle set to Brazilian Thiago Monteiro. His run to this final has seen him rise to 23rd in the live rankings and a win will see him rise a couple more places  His performances this week have continued his impressive start to the clay court season. Before this tournament he reached a quarter final and also the last four in Cordoba and has won six of his last seven matches on this surface.

Mariano Navone has had to play six matches to reach this final. He was only ranked 113th when the Rio Open began so had to play two qualifying matches to get into the main draw. The Argentinian won both of those without dropping a set to reach the main draw of an ATP tournament for the first time. An early exit looked on the cards when only winning one game in the first set against Federico Coria. He fought back to get through but more tough matches lay ahead for him. In the last eight he again had to come from a set down to get past Joao Fonseca. Then he caused a shock in the last four when beating second seed and defending champion Cameron Norrie in straight sets. In the live rankings, he's now up to a career high 60th and can get as high as 40th if winning the title. Our main prediction is a win for Sebastian Baez.

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Sebastian Baez & Mariano Navone Squad Analysis

Both players have no injury worries coming into this final. Baez has had to play just over seven hours to reach this final. He should be fresher than his opponent who's had to play two extra matches and been on court for four and a half hours more than Baez.

Sebastian Baez - Mariano Navone Key Points

  1. Baez was 83 places higher than Navone when this tournament began.
  2. Baez has only lost one set on his way to this final.
  3. Navone has lost two sets in this tournament.
  4. Baez has won four ATP singles titles, three on clay.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Prediction

It's been a career changing week for Mariano Navone and he's now in the top 100 for the first time. A win here could even see him in with a chance of being seeded at the French Open. He's had to play six matches to reach this final and twice had to come from a set down. Sebastian Baez has also set a new career high and has shown excellent form on clay this year. Our Sebastian Baez v Mariano Navone main prediction is a win for Sebastian Baez.

Prediction :

Sebastian Baez wins the match

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Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone - Other Interesting Predictions

Sebastian Baez to win the first set

Odds 1.5
Sebastian Baez has won the first set in all of his matches played in Rio this week. Twice Mariano Navone has lost the opening set.
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Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone match : Frequently asked questions

The final of the Rio Open between Mariano Navone and Sebastian Baez is being played on Sunday February 25 with a UK start time of 20:30.

The match is being played outdoor at the Jockey Club Brasileiro in Rio de Janeiro.

To watch the Rio Open final you need to go to Sky Sports Tennis. A monthly subscription or a Day Pass from NOW TV is required. You can follow the action on our tennis livescore with updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone Prediction
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