25 July 2024 - 13:20
- QF
ATP - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
Prediction :
Sebastian Baez wins the match
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Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Top seed Sebastian Baez continues with his Generali Open title defence by playing the unseeded Hugo Gaston in the quarter-finals. This Thursday encounter will be the second career match pitting Baez and Gaston. Here’s a look at the stats informing our prediction for the match.
Baez had quite the debut in Kitzbuhel last year, claiming the title for his third tour success. He has won three more titles since then with the most recent two being achieved this year. His excellent form on clay should have him confident of retaining his title.
Baez has claimed 24 of his total 27 wins in 2024 on clay courts. Now up to 17th in the live ranking, Baez began his Generali Open run with a 2-0 victory over Thiago Agustin Tirante. The 23-year-old faced off with Gaston in the Next Gen Finals in 2021 and won in three sets.
Hugo Gaston isn’t having a great season. He hasn’t had a strong presence at tour level this year and is yet to win more than twice at a tour tournament. His hope will be to improve on that in Kitzbuhel where he is making his debut.
Gaston, who has compiled a shaky 25-21 record competing in both the tour and challenger circuits, ousted seventh seed Roberto Carballes Baena. He won in straight sets in that second-round showdown.
Claiming his 12th win in 22 outings on clay has moved the Frenchman 12 places up in the live ranking to 79th spot. He aims to be the one progressing to the semi-finals, where a tie against either Facundo Diaz Acosta or Pedro Martinez awaits
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The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Hugo Gaston Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.4 | 2.87 |
|
|
1.66 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.66 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.41 | 2.93 |
|
|
1.75 | 2.05 |
|
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston match is: Sebastian Baez to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston game on 25/07/2024 of the current ATP Kitzbuhel Open season:
- Sebastian Baez has a 60.57% chance to win against Hugo Gaston according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- Hugo Gaston has a 39.43% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 2.93 at Betwinner.
Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 60.57 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | 60.57 % |
| Hugo Gaston | 39.43 % |
Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston Form
Sebastian Baez and Hugo Gaston Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jul 2024 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
20 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
19 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
17 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
16 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jul 2024 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
23 Jul 2024 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
18 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
16 Jul 2024 - ATP Hamburg Open
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
27 Jun 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Sebastian Baez against Hugo Gaston : Head to Head (H2H)
11 Nov 2021 - Next Gen ATP Finals
Sebastian Baez - Hugo Gaston Key Points
- Baez won all six matches he played in Kitzbuhel.
- Gaston has lost 10 times in 22 matches played on clay this year.
- Four of Baez’s last five matches ended in victory.
- 24 of Baez’s 27 wins this year have been achieved on clay surfaces.
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Our Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Hugo Gaston is for Baez to win. Defending champion Baez hasn’t lost in Kitzbuhel since making his debut last year. Apart from his six wins in Kitzbuhel, the Argentine has been in excellent form on clay surfaces where almost all of his wins have been registered.
He should be able to defeat a player he succeeded against in their only encounter to date. His opponent, Gaston, has not had a strong run at this level and is yet to win more than twice at a tour event.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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