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ATP - ATP Buenos Aires

ATP 31 Argentina
Sebastian Baez
11/02/2025 10:30
ATP 110 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

match to have three sets

 
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Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Buenos Aires

 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Sebastian Baez, the sixth seed at this year’s Argentina Open, will face off with compatriot Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the first round. The winner will play Facundo Diaz Acosta or Thiago Seyboth Wild for a place in the quarter-finals. Below is our prediction for this match.

Sebastian Baez has returned to Buenos Aires for the first successive year. The Argentine first competed in this event in the qualifying rounds in 2021.

Last year, he produced his best result after making it to the quarter-finals. Baez, a clay court specialist, has had a slow start to the season. He has compiled a shaky 3-3 record.

However, all three of his wins have come on clay. Currently placed 32nd in the live ranking Baez has a 3-2 advantage in this matchup with Carabelli.

Though competing outside of the tour, Camilo Carabelli has looked better this season than Baez. He has won seven of nine matches and is coming off a title victory at the Rosario Challenger.

The 25-year-old is also a clay court specialist and has registered all seven of his victories on clay. Despite winning his last five matches, Carabelli has dropped one place in the live ranking to 88th.

The Argentine is back in Buenos Aires for the fourth successive season hoping to make it past the second round.


 

The Best Betting Odds for Sebastian Baez v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
Ladbrokes
1.4 2.87
1xbet
1.4 2.97
22bet
1.4 2.97
Betobet
1.38 2.99
Betwinner
1.4 2.97
LSbet
1.4 2.97
Melbet
1.4 2.97
Tonybet
1.38 2.9
Betsson
1.38 3
William Hill
1.4 2.9
Vbet
1.38 2.9
Betway
1.38 3
Unibet
1.4 2.95
Betfair
1.42 2.95
Check all Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds
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Who will win the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: match to have three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 11/02/2025 of the current ATP Buenos Aires season:

  • Sebastian Baez has a 45.27% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Betfair ⭐ with the odds of 1.42.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 54.73% probability of winning facing Sebastian Baez ⭐ with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sebastian Baez has a 45.27 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Sebastian Baez45.27 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli54.73 %

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Sebastian Baez and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Sebastian Baez Last matches
L L W W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

8 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Sebastian Baez
1 :  2
Hugo Dellien

7 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Francesco Passaro

6 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Gustavo Heide

4 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Sebastian Baez
2 :  0
Emilio Nava

12 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Sebastian Baez
2 :  3
Arthur Cazaux

7 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic

Facundo Diaz Acosta
2 :  0
Sebastian Baez
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

9 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Hugo Dellien
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

8 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Murkel Dellien

7 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Juan Pablo Ficovich

6 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Guido Ivan Justo

5 Feb 2025 - ATP Challenger Rosario, Argentina Men Singles

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  1
Diego Sebastián Schwartzman

1 Feb 2025 - Piracicaba, Brazil, Qualifying

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
abort
Roman Andres Burruchaga

Sebastian Baez - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. Carabelli has won 320 matches on clay in his career.
  2. Baez has managed over 200 wins on clay in his career.
  3. Three sets have been played in each of Carabelli’s last five fixtures.
  4. Baez and Carabelli have each won at least twice against one another.

Our Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Our prediction for Sebastian Baez v Camilo Ugo Carabelli is for the match to have three sets. This match sees two clay court specialists face off. Carabelli and Baez have registered the majority of their total career victories on clay.

Together they have won more than 500 matches on clay. We expect an intense battle therefore, given also that both players have won at least twice against each other on clay. Seeing both players claim a set in this matchup is very likely. 

Prediction :

 

match to have three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

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