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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Dallas Mavericks will make the trip to the Golden 1 Center to face the Sacramento Kings in the NBA Play-In tournament on Wednesday. A matchup against either the Golden State Warriors or Memphis Grizzlies awaits the winner of this game - the loser goes home. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Sacramento Kings ended the regular season 40-42 and 5-5 in their last 10 after beating the bitterly disappointing Phoenix Suns 109-98 at this venue over the weekend.
The Kings are set to feature in their second consecutive Play-in round. Last season, they eliminated the Golden State Warriors but lost to the Pelicans in the number eight seed game.
The hosts have not been at their best at home lately, losing six of their last eight games. However, they did win all three games against the Mavs this season, including a comfortable 122-98 victory last month.
Meanwhile, despite losing five of their last seven regular-season games, the Dallas Mavericks snuck into the final play-in spot, aided by a total collapse by the Suns during the run-in.
There is no hiding the fact that the Mavericks have not fully figured things out since the Doncic trade. They are 13-20 since his departure, and the absence of Kyrie Irving has certainly not helped their situation.
The Kings are a top 10 offence and average 1.3 PPG more than the Mavs, while allowing 0.1 PPG fewer.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sacramento Kings v Dallas Mavericks Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.53 | 2.6 |
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1.4 | 2.87 |
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1.38 | 3.06 |
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1.43 | 2.95 |
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1.42 | 3 |
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Who will win the Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks match is: Sacramento Kings -4.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks game on 16/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Sacramento Kings has a 57.31% chance to pick up the win against Dallas Mavericks according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.53.
- There is a probability of 42.69% ⭐ for Dallas Mavericks to win vs Sacramento Kings with odds of 3.06 at Betobet.
Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
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Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Sacramento Kings - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- The Kings won the season series against the Mavericks 3-0.
- The Kings won four of their final six regular-season games.
- The Kings have covered the spread in four of their last six matches.
- The Mavericks lost four of their final six regular-season games.
- The Mavericks only covered the spread in one of their last seven matches.
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Our Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
Malik Monk picked up a calf injury against the Pistons just over a week ago and is unlikely to feature for the Kings in the postseason. Dallas are without Kyrie Irving, and there is no certainty around when he may return, though it definitely will not be this season.
Since the Doncic trade, the Mavs have struggled for any real consistency, and were arguably a tad lucky to finish 10th, thanks to the Suns’ late-season meltdown. The Kings swept the season series 3-0, and we feel they will send the Mavs home in this one. Our Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks prediction is Sacramento Kings -4.5.
If your team in the Sacramento Kings and Dallas Mavericks game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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