Rugby 7s Olympic Prediction: Free advice from our EXPERTS

Make a difference for the 2024 Olympic Games with our Rugby 7s predictions and free advice from our rugby experts. Get top-quality insights and in-depth predictions on the best matches of the 2024 Olympic Games in France!

Rugby Sevens at the 2024 Olympic Games presentation and predictions

2024 Olympics prediction - Rugby 7s

Rugby sevens is on the 2024 Olympic calendar! A variation of rugby that is faster and more intense than 15-a-side rugby, rugby sevens (or Rugby 7s) generally deliver spectacular matches. Taking place from 24 to 30 July 2024 in Paris (Saint-Denis), the Rugby 7s tournament at the 2024 Olympic Games promises to be hotly contested, making your predictions particularly interesting.

In 2021, it was Fiji who won the men's tournament, having also won the first edition. Who will emerge victorious from this 3rd edition to succeed the Fijians? Which nations are among the favourites for the Rugby 7s competition at the Olympics? We will tell you all about it on this page!

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Rugby Sevens Olympics winner prediction: who will win the 2024 men's tournament?

2024 Olympics Winner Prediction - Rugby 7s

Although this is not the easiest question to answer, given the narrow differences in level between the various teams taking part in the competition, we can still give you a group of favourites.

In fact, according to our 7s experts, the tournament winners will likely come from one of France, Argentina, New Zealand, Fiji and Australia. These teams were the first to qualify for the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament at the 2022-2023 World Rugby Sevens Series, with the exception of France, which qualified automatically as the host country.

Behind them, Ireland and the United States are serious outsiders for victory, but they are likely to have a harder time of it against the big boys mentioned above.

We're happy to report that our prediction of a gold medal for France was correct! The host nation came through, defeating the reigning champions Fiji in the final by a score of 28-7 to secure the country's first ever gold medal in Rugby 7s.

France win the 2024 Olympics Rugby 7s gold medal!

Rugby Sevens 2024 Olympic prediction - odds on the favourites for the Olympic title

The odds for the Rugby 7s 2024 Olympics are currently unavailable due to the event already coming to a close. Be sure to check out Bet365 for other sports and betting markets!

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Medal prediction: who is the favourite for gold, silver and bronze in Rugby Sevens?

Rugby 7s 2024 Olympic medal prediction

In line with our prediction of the winner in the men's 7s tournament at the 2024 Olympics, here is our analysis of the favourites for the medals. These nations are those that have performed best in recent tournaments and have the squad to go all the way.

New Zealand, France, Argentina, Fiji and Australia are the big teams to watch. Two-time defending champions Fiji are likely to finish in the top 3 once again, as are New Zealand, finalists at the last edition. Antoine Dupont's France, who won the gold medal at the Madrid tournament, will rely on their status as hosts to make the difference as they go in search of a medal. Lastly, Argentina, always a presence at major tournaments, and 3rd in Tokyo, could once again put in a fine performance in Saint-Denis.

For gold, New Zealand are the favourites, closely followed by Fiji and France, who could claim silver and bronze. Argentina and Australia are not to be underestimated and also have a good chance of finishing on the podium. Rugby remains an uncertain sport where things can change quickly, so a bet on the medals may be worth trying compared to a bet on the winner of the tournament.

2024 Olympics Rugby 7s results:

Gold: France
Silver: Fiji
Bronze: South Africa

Rugby and other sports: how to bet on the Paris Olympics 2024?

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Rugby Sevens Olympic Games 2024: our predictions group by group

olympic games rugby group predictions

Now that we know the make-up of the different pools for the Rugby 7s 2024 Olympic Games, here is our prediction for each of the 3 pools.

Prediction for Group A: New Zealand, Ireland, South Africa, Japan

This group is certainly the strongest of the three. There are 3 big teams: New Zealand, Ireland and South Africa. New Zealand are clear favourites to win this group, with odds of 1.55. The All Blacks Sevens should logically finish in first place in this group.

Ireland, with odds of 3.75, and South Africa, at 4.25, will probably fight it out for the second qualifying place. In our opinion, it's all Ireland. The Irish are on a very good run of form, while the South Africans struggled to get their ticket and qualified late for this Olympic tournament.

Our Group A prediction: New Zealand to win!

Group B Prediction: Argentina, Australia, Samoa, Kenya

There is more disparity in terms of level in Group B. Barring any major surprises, Argentina and Australia should be vying for top spot. Samoa and Kenya are likely to be no match for 2 of the biggest names in 7-a-side rugby. As far as our specialists are concerned, Argentina are likely to finish top of the group. In recent encounters between Argentina and Australia, the Argentinians have dominated more often than not, and they have shown better signs than the Australians of late.

Our Group B prediction: Argentina win!

Group C Prediction: Fiji, France, USA, Uruguay

Fiji are France's main threat in Group C. Fiji always know how to respond to this kind of event. In fact, the Fijians are the defending champions of these Olympic Rugby 7s Games, but they also won the last World Cup. France still have enough to rival this great 7-a-side rugby nation, and home advantage could make all the difference in such a tight duel. A notch below them, the USA should finish 3rd and the modest Uruguayan team in last place.

Our prediction for Group C: France to win!

Beginner punters - how does the Men's Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament work?

How the Rugby 7s 2024 Olympic Games work

As the name suggests, 7s is played with 7 players per team in 14-minute matches. The basic rules and scoring methods are identical to those of 15-a-side rugby. Rugby was included in the Olympic Games in 1900, 1908, 1920 and 1924 in its 15-a-side form and returned to the Olympics in 2016 in its 7-a-side form, with men's and women's tournaments.

To help you make the best possible predictions for this men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympics, a quick look at the format of the competition will be invaluable. For this men's tournament at the Olympic Games, 12 teams have qualified and are divided into three groups of 4.

At the end of the group phase, the two best teams in each group and the two best third-placed teams advance to the quarter-finals. The teams play each other in one-off matches, and regardless of where each team finishes, the competition continues for each of them, as the Olympic Rugby 7s tournament includes ranking matches to determine where each nation finishes.

Lastly, note that the matches follow on from each other very quickly in 7s. For example, a semi-final match can be played at a certain time, with the next match starting just 30 minutes later. This is an important fact to know for your 7s rugby predictions!

Things to remember about the organisation of the Olympic Games for your Rugby Sevens predictions

12 teams qualify
Group stage (3 pools of 4)
The top two teams in each group advance to the knockout phase
Quarter-finals and classification matches follow
Quarter-finals, semi-finals and final
Match for 3rd place (bronze medal)

With matches to determine the medallists on the one hand, and matches to determine which teams finish in 5th to 12th place on the other, there is more than enough at stake throughout the event. Now you know what to expect from the men's Rugby 7s tournament at the 2024 Olympics!

How to make good predictions on the 2024 Olympics matches and bet on Rugby Sevens?

Rugby 7s betting tips

You now know our favourites to win the men's Rugby 7s tournament at the 2024 Olympics, as well as how the competition will unfold in Paris. To refine your 7s predictions even further, our specialists have a few tips for you. These will help you improve your bets on 7s, especially during this major event. Here is an overview of our main tips for betting on Rugby 7s during the Olympic Games:

Have an account with several bookmakers to play the best odds
Follow the team line-ups
Check the stakes in the group phase
Research the list of nations taking part in the Rugby 7s 2024 Olympic Games
Use various statistics

By taking these tips into account before each Rugby 7s bet, you can maximise your chances of making good predictions throughout the competition. To find out more about each of these tips, simply continue reading below!

Have an account with several bookmakers to play the best odds

This is certainly the most important tip to take into account if you want to improve your results in the Rugby 7s tournament at the 2024 Summer Olympics. Having an account with as many sports betting sites as possible, all of them if possible, will help you maximise your winnings.

The reason is simple: an account with several operators means you can play the highest odds! As you may know, odds vary between betting sites, especially in a sport like 7s. So, by comparing the odds on each of them and being able to play the highest odds thanks to your various entries, you'll be able to receive the highest possible winnings for your bet.

Better winnings for the same bet, not bad, eh? So make your choice thanks to our ranking of the best bookmakers in the UK, and bet like a pro on 7s at the Olympics!

Follow the team line-ups

Rugby 7s prediction recommendation - Olympic Games 2024

One aspect that should almost become mandatory when analysing a 7s match at the 2024 Olympic Games is to follow the composition of the teams. By doing this, and also taking into consideration the statements made by players and coaches, you will not only learn about the teams' motivations for a match in question, but also be able to get an idea of the favourite.

In a sport where only 7 players start, every absence or change to the standard line-up is important. Is the captain not on the team sheet? Did several first-team players get injured in the previous match? All these factors have an impact on the probability of each team winning and can help you make the best choices for your 7s bets. So make sure you're aware of the team line-ups before you place your bets on the match of your choice. Word from the experts.

Check the stakes in the group stage

Our third tip for making the most of your Rugby 7s bets during the Olympic Games is to check the stakes in each match during the group stage of the tournament. Each team only plays three group matches, which means that each match is of vital importance. Some teams may already have qualified for the quarter-finals before their last group match, while others may be playing for qualification over a single match.

Checking the stakes helps you to understand the teams' motivation. For example, a team that has already qualified might choose to rest its best players for the knockout phase, which could reduce its chances of victory in the final group match. Conversely, a team playing for qualification will be more determined and could perform beyond expectations, giving you the opportunity to bet on the opposition and secure some good odds.

What's more, the difference in points scored is also of great importance during the group stage of the Rugby 7s tournament at the Olympics, as it can determine the best third-placed teams to progress to the quarter-finals. As a result, the teams vying for these places could be more aggressive in improving their points difference, which could influence the total number of points scored in a match. Always good to know, especially if you are used to placing Over/Under bets on Rugby 7s.

Research the list of nations taking part in the Rugby Sevens 2024 Olympic Games

Rugby 7s betting tips - Olympic Games

Another parameter to take into account when analysing the Rugby 7s Olympics is to look at the records of the nations taking part in the tournament. Looking at the records gives you an insight into the past performances of the teams and helps you determine their potential for the upcoming competition.

Experience, competitiveness, ability to perform in the big games... A detailed look at the teams' track records will help you to clarify all these points. For example, a team that has reached the quarter-finals in the first two editions of the tournament will be more likely to be selected for your 7s predictions than one that has never made it out of the group stages. That's why Fiji and New Zealand are the teams to take seriously in this tournament.

You can also analyse the track record of teams at major tournaments. A nation that regularly reaches the finals, even without winning the title, shows consistency and an ability to compete at the highest level. In addition, recent performances in qualifying tournaments for the 2024 Olympics can also help you identify the teams' current state of form. So keep all this in mind when making your predictions for the Rugby 7s tournament at the 2024 Olympics.

Use various statistics

Rugby 7s 2024 Olympic prediction tips

Lastly, don't forget to take into account the statistics on the Olympic Rugby Sevens tournament. The more statistics you analyse, the more reliable your predictions will be. Focus mainly on the data from the last edition to make your picks, but you can also supplement this with data from previous 7s tournaments.

To help you in this process, we have compiled a list of the key figures to remember from the last Rugby 7s tournament at the Olympics. They are revealed a little further down on this page and will help you place several types of bets during the competition.

What not to do for your Rugby Sevens predictions at the Olympic Games in France

To supplement the advice from our 7s specialists, here is a non-exhaustive list of mistakes to avoid when betting on the Olympic Games tournament:

Betting with just one bookmaker on the Olympic rugby 7s tournament
Not taking into account the sequence of matches
Underestimating the difference in level between the big names and the smaller teams
Wanting to play every match in the Rugby 7s tournament at the Olympics
Betting live without any particular information
Not taking into account the form of the teams and players

If you are new to sports betting or are not used to betting on 7s, keep all these recommendations in mind, as they are sure to come in handy when betting on the Olympic tournament.

Stats you need to know about the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympic Games

2024 Olympic Games statistics - rugby

Let's move on now to the data that will be useful when you place your bets on the matches in the men's Rugby Sevens tournament at the Olympic Games. To help you make your 7s predictions, here are the main statistics to remember from the latest edition of the competition, at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics.

Average points: 36.6
Average tries scored: 5.7 tries per match
More points in the first half: 44% of matches
More points in the second half: 44% of games
Equal number of points in both halves: 12% of games
Team wins at half-time and at the end of the match: 88% of matches
Team wins at half-time but loses the match: 12% of matches
Victories by a margin of 1 to 5 points: 30% of matches
Victories by 6 to 15 points: 26% of matches
Victories by 16 points or more: 44% of matches
Number of draws: 0

To build on the statistics above, it's important to note that, despite the 14-minute time limit, a lot of points are often scored. So don't hesitate to consider the "Over" bet if the odds lend themselves to it. What's more, teams leading at half-time generally win at the end of the match. Keep this in mind, especially for your live bets.

Furthermore, handicap betting is particularly interesting in 7s matches at the Olympics, as wins by large margins are common. Following this logic, note that there has never been a draw in the last edition. So don't be tempted by the high odds on a draw, even if the match looks close.

In a nutshell: how to correctly predict Rugby Sevens at the 2024 Olympics and make good bets?

How to bet on Rugby 7s at the 2024 Olympics

To sum up, if you want to make good predictions on Rugby 7s during the 2024 Olympic Games, there's no secret: take our experts' advice into account!

Analyse each match, rely on the relevant statistics, avoid mistakes that could be detrimental to your chances and learn to master all the specifics of the tournament.

If you don't want to take the time to make your 7s predictions for the 2024 Olympics, our specialists will give you their 7s predictions with a detailed analysis at the top of this page. Good luck with your Olympic Rugby 7s bets!

Olympic Games - Rugby Sevens Predictions & Betting tips