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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open
by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Australian Open Predictions
Roberto Carballes Baena will take on 12th seed Tommy Paul in the third round at the Australian Open. This marks their second meeting at a major and the winner will face Jakub Mensik or Alejandro Davidovich Fokina next. Below is our prediction for this match.
Carballes Baena defeated Paul in their only career meeting, four years ago at the US Open. He won in four sets and will hope for similar outcome to continue his best-ever performance in Melbourne.
The Spaniard had only once won a tie in this event in his previous five appearances. Now he is one win away from advancing to the second week.
Carballes Baena defeated James Duckworth in straight sets in the last round. As a result, he has moved up to 51st in the live ranking.
Tommy Paul has reached the third round here for the fourth time. However, only once has he made it past this round.
That was in 2023, when he got to the semis, which remains his best-ever result at a major. Paul, who has lost at least one set in both of his matches, defeated Kei Nishikori in four sets in the last round.
This was his fourth win in five outings this season and he has subsequently moved into the ATP top 10 for the first time.
He has moved up two places in the live ranking to ninth.
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The Best Betting Odds for Roberto Carballes Baena v Tommy Paul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
6 | 1.13 |
|
|
5.5 | 1.13 |
|
|
6.45 | 1.15 |
|
|
6.45 | 1.15 |
|
|
6.21 | 1.14 |
|
|
6.3 | 1.12 |
|
|
6.3 | 1.12 |
|
|
6.3 | 1.12 |
|
|
6.2 | 1.14 |
|
|
6.15 | 1.14 |
|
|
6 | 1.12 |
|
|
6.1 | 1.14 |
|
|
6 | 1.13 |
|
|
6 | 1.13 |
|
|
5.5 | 1.14 |
|
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Who will win the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul match is: over 33.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul game on 16/01/2025 of the current ATP Australian Open season:
- Roberto Carballes Baena has a 28.13% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 6.45.
- Tommy Paul has a 71.87% probability of winning facing Roberto Carballes Baena ⭐ with odds of 1.15 at 1xbet.
Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Roberto Carballes Baena has a 28.13 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Roberto Carballes Baena | 28.13 % |
| Tommy Paul | 71.87 % |
Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Form
Roberto Carballes Baena and Tommy Paul Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
12 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
8 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic
7 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic
5 Jan 2025 - ASB Classic
31 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
13 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open
10 Jan 2025 - Adelaide International
8 Jan 2025 - Adelaide International
7 Jan 2025 - Adelaide International
28 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters
Roberto Carballes Baena - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Over 33.5 games were played in the only previous meeting between Paul and Carballes Baena.
- Paul and Carballes Baena have won four times on hardcourts this season.
- Both of Paul’s matches in Melbourne have seen over 33.5 games played.
- Carballes Baena has played over 33.5 games in one of his two matches in Melbourne.
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Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Our prediction for Roberto Carballes Baena v Tommy Paul is for this match to have over 33.5 games. Paul and Baena have started the season strongly, each winning four times in six and five outings respectively.
Carballes Baena is gradually improving his form on hardcourts and though he isn’t as fluid on the surface as Paul, he is a tough draw. The Spaniard defeated Paul in their only matchup at a major, in four sets. Despite this, Paul is the overwhelming favourite to win here. He, however, will need to dig deep to progress just as he has been made to in the previous two rounds.
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It does not matter whether you bet on Roberto Carballes Baena or Tommy Paul , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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