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ATP - ASB Classic

ATP 59 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena
05 Jan 2025 18:40
ATP 104 France
Lucas Pouille

Prediction :

 

Lucas Pouille wins the match

 
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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Prediction & Betting Tips - ASB Classic

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Two unseeded players face each other in the first round of the ASB Classic in Auckland, New Zealand. Roberto Carballes Baena takes on Lucas Pouille in this outdoor hard court tournament. Who'll win? Read our match prediction.

Lucas Pouille is at 104th in the live rankings and will hope for a better week than in Brisbane. Last week saw him beaten in the second qualifying round to Nishesh Basavareddy after previously beating Jason Kubler.

The Frenchman ended last year in good form though and will want to get back to that level. He won one hard court Challenger Tour title and reached two other finals with 13 wins in 15 matches.

Roberto Carballes Baena is 59th in the live rankings and also made a disappointing start to the new season. He was beaten in the first round of the Hong Kong Open by Gabriel Diallo after winning the first set.

He had a strange end to 2024, managing to lose three matches in two tournaments. He lost in the Paris Masters qualifying rounds, was reinstated as a lucky loser and then was beaten in round one. 

Not since September has he reached a hard court quarter-final. His last big win was a Challenger Tour title but that was on clay. We tip Pouille to win this match.

The Best Betting Odds for Roberto Carballes Baena v Lucas Pouille Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 1.62
Ladbrokes
2.2 1.6
1xbet
2.2 1.68
22bet
2.2 1.68
Betobet
2.21 1.67
Betwinner
2.19 1.68
LSbet
2.19 1.68
Melbet
2.19 1.68
Tonybet
2.24 1.6
Betsson
2.24 1.63
William Hill
2.1 1.73
Vbet
2.1 1.75
Betway
2.2 1.65
Unibet
2.18 1.68
Betfair
2.2 1.67
Check all Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille odds
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Who will win the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille match is: Lucas Pouille to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille game on 05/01/2025 of the current ASB Classic season:

  • Roberto Carballes Baena has a 35.58% chance to win against Lucas Pouille according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.3.
  • Lucas Pouille has a 64.42% probability of winning facing Roberto Carballes Baena ⭐ with odds of 1.75 at Vbet.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Roberto Carballes Baena has a 35.58 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Roberto Carballes Baena35.58 %
Lucas Pouille64.42 %

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Form

Roberto Carballes Baena and Lucas Pouille Last Matches

Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

31 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open

Gabriel Diallo
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

4 Nov 2024 - Moselle Open

Cameron Norrie
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

28 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Stefanos Tsitsipas
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena

27 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Roberto Carballes Baena

26 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

16 Oct 2024 - ATP European Open

Alex De Minaur
2 :  1
Roberto Carballes Baena
Lucas Pouille Last matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

28 Dec 2024 - Brisbane International

Lucas Pouille
0 :  2
Nishesh Basavareddy

27 Dec 2024 - Brisbane International

Lucas Pouille
2 :  1
Jason Kubler

20 Oct 2024 - St. Brieuc, France

Lucas Pouille
0 :  2
Benjamin Bonzi

19 Oct 2024 - St. Brieuc, France

Lucas Pouille
2 :  0
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc

18 Oct 2024 - St. Brieuc, France

Lucas Pouille
2 :  0
Max Hans Rehberg

17 Oct 2024 - St. Brieuc, France

Lucas Pouille
2 :  0
Robin Bertrand

Roberto Carballes Baena - Lucas Pouille Key Points

  1. Baena has lost his last four matches.
  2. Baena hasn't reached an ATP Tour quarter-final since September.
  3. Pouille ended 2024 well on the Challenger Tour with a title win and two finals reached.
  4. Pouille won 17 of his last 21 matches in 2024.

Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Prediction

The winner of this match faces fourth seed Francisco Cerundolo in round two. Both players in this match are hoping to make better progress than they did in their most recent tournament. Lucas Pouille (who ended 2024 strongly on the Challenger Tour) at least won one match and then came up against rising star Nikesh Basavareddy.

Roberto Carballes Baena had a poor final few weeks of the 2024 season. Last week saw him lose to Gabriel Diallo in the first round of the Hong Kong Open. Our Roberto Carballes Baena v Lucas Pouille prediction is Lucas Pouille to win.

Prediction :

 

Lucas Pouille wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lucas Pouille Prediction

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