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ATP - ATP Umag Open

ATP 57 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena
29 Jul 2022 10:00
ATP 1 Italy
Jannik Sinner

Prediction :

 

Sinner to win in straight sets

 
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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Umag Open

 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Second seeded Jannik Sinner faces unseeded Roberto Caballes Baena in the quarter final of the Umag Open. The winner of this match takes on either Marco Cecchinato or Franco Agamenone in the last four, both who are qualifiers. Sinner began this week ranked 10th in the world but is yet to win a tournament in 2022. Not just that, this is his sixth quarter final of the year and he's lost the previous five. That included his surprise run to the Wimbledon quarter finals. He's much more comfortable on clay than grass and has made smooth progress in Umag. He's only had to play one match (his first since Wimbledon) and beat Jaume Munar in straight sets.

Roberto Caballes Baena is the world number 86 but up six places in the live rankings. Most of his success this year has come on the Challenger Tour with a title win in Tunis on clay and finals in Gran Canaria but he didn't beat any players ranked in the top 200. Earlier this month he reached another Challenger Tour final in the Netherlands. Form on the ATP Tour hasn't been that great though. He lost in the last 64 at Roland Garros and it was Sinner who beat him in four sets.  He's won two matches so far this week with victories over Henri Laaksonsen and the fifth seeded Alex Molcan, after losing the first set. Go for Sinner to win this in straight sets.

The Best Betting Odds for Roberto Carballes Baena v Jannik Sinner Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5 1.17
NetBet
5.7 1.14
1xbet
5.3 1.17
22bet
5.3 1.17
Betobet
5.75 1.1
Betwinner
5.25 1.17
LSbet
5.25 1.17
Vbet
5.1 1.13
Betway
5.5 1.15
Unibet
5.1 1.18
Betsson
5.3 1.14
William Hill
5 1.17
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With a big gap between the players in the rankings, it's not surprising Sinner is on average 1.16 to win this match. You can feel safe putting him in accumulators but that's a bit short for singles matches, hence our prediction for a straight sets win. Baena is 5.00 to win and that feels about right as he struggles to get wins against top ranked players and only a few weeks ago lost to a player ranked outside the top 500.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner Form

Roberto Carballes Baena and Jannik Sinner Last Matches

Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
W W L L W W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

28 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  3
Jordan Thompson

20 Jun 2022 - Oeiras 3, Portugal, Qualifying

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Kimmer Coppejans

26 May 2022 - ATP French Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
1 :  3
Jannik Sinner

30 Apr 2022 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex Molcan
0 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

23 Mar 2022 - ATP Miami

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
David Goffin

9 Oct 2021 - ATP Indian Wells

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Casper Ruud
Jannik Sinner Last matches
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

27 Jul 2022 - ATP Umag Open

Jaume Munar
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

5 Jul 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Novak Djokovic
3 :  2
Jannik Sinner

3 Jul 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Carlos Alcaraz

1 Jul 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
John Isner

29 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Mikael Ymer

27 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Jannik Sinner
3 :  1
Stan Wawrinka

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

26 May 2022 - ATP French Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
1 :  3
Jannik Sinner

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jannik Sinner: Form Analysis

Jannik Sinner has had a consistent season but really needs to get into a semi-final. He won't have expected to get to the last eight at Wimbledon but perhaps he is a grass court player after all. This is his first tournament since Wimbledon so he's taken the chance to have a bit of a rest. Baena has been busy though and got to a Challenger Tour final earlier this week. He's never been ranked higher than 71 and only won one match in three Grand Slam events this year.

Roberto Carballes Baena - Jannik Sinner Key Points

  1. Sinner began the week ranked 76 places above his opponent.
  2. Sinner is in his sixth ATP Tour quarter final of the year.
  3. Sinner beat Baena this year at Roland Garros.
  4. Baena had lost 14 out of 19 ATP Tour matches this year before this tournament.
  5. Sinner is 15th in the live ATP Race, his opponent is 78th.

Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner Prediction

It's been a strange year for Jannik Sinner. He's been in five quarter finals but failed to win any of them. Clay is his surface though and he's had a good break since Wimbledon. His opponent has been doing well on the Challenger Tour but before this week only had a handful of wins on the main ATP Tour. Go for Sinner to win this in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Sinner to win in straight sets

 
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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Jannik Sinner Prediction

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