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ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 57 Spain
Roberto Carballes Baena
28 Apr 2023 15:15
ATP 2 Germany
Alexander Zverev

Prediction :

Match to go to three sets

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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Zverev Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

 by Devesh Jaganath in Tennis Predictions

Round 2 of the Mutua Madrid Open will continue on Friday, and in the last match of the day, we will see Roberto Carballes Baena take on Alexander Zverev for a place in the Round of 32. Following his title-winning run in Marrakech, Baena has seen his rank improve significantly from 82nd at the start of the month to 53rd coming into this tournament. After an underwhelming start to the season, the Spaniard stepped up in a big way in Marrakech, overcoming the likes of Tallon Griekspoor and Daniel Evans en route to the final against Alexandre Muller, which he won in three sets (4-6 7-6 6-2). However, following that effort, Baena was unable to follow up in Munich last week, making a first-round exit against the lower-ranked Marcos Giron. Baena is now 10-10 for the year, 8-5 on the clay, and will be hoping that last week’s failure was just a temporary blip, which he can rectify in this one. 

Following the serious injury he sustained at Roland Garros last year, Zverev hasn’t fully found his best form just yet but has shown flashes of the brilliance he possesses that got him to his peak rank of 2nd in the world last year. Currently ranked 16th, the German’s best result since his return came in Dubai, where he reached the semi-final before bowing out to an in-form Andrey Rublev. Zverev stepped onto the clay court for the first time this year in Monte Carlo and looked in good rhythm, beating Alexander Bublik and Roberto Bautista Agut, but ran into Daniil Medvedev in the round of 16, and after an almighty struggle, came up just short (3-6 7-5 7-6). Like his opponent in this one, Zverev was unable to deliver in Munich last week, exiting in the first round to Christopher O’Connell, and is now 10-11 for the year and 2-2 on clay. The German is heavily fancied to win this one but cannot underestimate Baena, who has already earned a major title this year.

Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Zverev Form

Roberto Carballes Baena and Alexander Zverev Last Matches

Roberto Carballes Baena Last matches
L W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

26 Apr 2023 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  0
David Goffin

9 Apr 2023 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Alexandre Muller
1 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

8 Apr 2023 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  1
Daniel Evans

7 Apr 2023 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Roberto Carballes Baena
2 :  1
Tallon Griekspoor

4 Apr 2023 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Maxime Cressy
1 :  2
Roberto Carballes Baena

25 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Roberto Carballes Baena
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev
Alexander Zverev Last matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

20 Apr 2023 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Zverev
0 :  2
Christopher O'Connell

13 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

12 Apr 2023 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Roberto Bautista-Agut
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

24 Mar 2023 - ATP Miami

Taro Daniel
2 :  0
Alexander Zverev

14 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexander Zverev

10 Mar 2023 - ATP Indian Wells

Pedro Cachin
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

Roberto Carballes Baena - Alexander Zverev Key Points

  1. Four of Zverev’s last seven matches have gone to three sets
  2. Seven of Zverev’s last 14 matches have gone to three sets
  3. Four of Baena’s last five matches have gone to three sets

Our Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Zverev comes into this match as a strong favourite, but this one may not be as straightforward as the odds suggest. Baena is a formidable opponent on his day, as he showed at the start of the month, and he will know that he’s in with a good chance if he makes Zverev run for absolutely everything. This one really could go down to the wire. If you’re strongly in the camp of the German, odds of 3.6 and better are available for Zverev to win in three sets. However, we feel it’s too close to call, so we’ll opt for the total sets option. Our Roberto Carballes Baena v Alexander Zverev prediction is for the match to go to three sets. 

Prediction :

Match to go to three sets

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Roberto Carballes Baena vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

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