ATP - Brisbane International
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Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International
by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
We'll have an unseeded player in the final of the Brisbane International. Wild card Reilly Opelka caused a massive shock when beating the top seed Novak Djokovic in the last eight. He now takes on Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. Here's our match prediction.
Opelka is up to 207th in the live rankings and beating Perricard can take him as high as 170th. His career-high is 17th but he's having to make his way back up the rankings after time off-court due to injuries.
The American had wins over Federico Augustin Gomez and Matteo Arnaldi before facing the top seed. He beat Djokovic in straight sets and that included playing his third tie-break of the tournament.
He now faces Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard who has equalled his career-high of 30th after reaching this semi-final. He wouldn't have expected that when ranked 205th at the start of 2024. He won two ATP Tour events last year, one on this surface.
Wins this week have come against Nick Kyrgios (in three sets), fourth seed Frances Tiafoe and Jakub Mensik with five tie-breaks played. That makes it 12 matches in a row in which he's played at least one tie-break.
Betting on there being tie-breaks in this match looks to be a good idea. Our main tip is Perricard to win and over 19.5 games played.
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The Best Betting Odds for Reilly Opelka v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 1.67 |
|
|
2.15 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.05 | 1.77 |
|
|
2.05 | 1.77 |
|
|
2.17 | 1.69 |
|
|
2.19 | 1.68 |
|
|
2.19 | 1.68 |
|
|
2.05 | 1.77 |
|
|
2.15 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.23 | 1.65 |
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|
2.25 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.17 | 1.7 |
|
|
2.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
2.17 | 1.67 |
|
|
2.2 | 1.67 |
|
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Who will win the Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard match is: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win and over 19.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard game on 04/01/2025 of the current Brisbane International season:
- Reilly Opelka has a 39.56% chance to win against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.25.
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has a 60.44% probability of winning facing Reilly Opelka ⭐ with odds of 1.77 at 1xbet.
Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Reilly Opelka has a 39.56 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Reilly Opelka | 39.56 % |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | 60.44 % |
Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Form
Reilly Opelka and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Jan 2025 - Brisbane International
1 Jan 2025 - Brisbane International
30 Dec 2024 - Brisbane International
30 Oct 2024 - Charlottesville, USA
28 Oct 2024 - Charlottesville, USA
2 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
3 Jan 2025 - Brisbane International
2 Jan 2025 - Brisbane International
30 Dec 2024 - Brisbane International
30 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2024 - Rolex Paris Masters
27 Oct 2024 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Reilly Opelka - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Key Points
- Perricard has won nine of his last ten matches.
- A tie-break would help our prediction and there's been at least one in each of the last 12 matches Perricard has played.
- In best-of-three sets matches, you have to go back to June 2024 for the last Perricard match that didn't have at least 19.5 games played.
- Opelka's last 12 best-of-three sets matches have all had over 19.5 games played in them.
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Our Reilly Opelka vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard made huge strides up the ranking list last year. He could well do so again in 2025 and has made an excellent start to the Brisbane International. He's had three impressive wins and as always seems to be the case, all long matches.
The same can be said of Reilly Opelka who beat Novak Djokovic on Thursday to reach this semi-final. Can he follow that up against Perricard is the big question. Our Reilly Opelka v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction is Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win and over 19.5 games.
Prediction :
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard to win and over 19.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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