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Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open
by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions
Former world number one Rafa Nadal seeks a second win at the Swedish Open when he meets fourth seed Mariano Navone. This will be a quarter-final clash with the winner playing Duje Ajdukovic or Thiago Monteiro next. Here we highlight the players’ forms and offer a prediction for the match.
Nadal is back at Bastad after a 19-year hiatus. He won his first two matches without dropping a set. A champion here in 2005, the Spaniard’s start will strengthen his belief that he can go all the way once again.
Nadal, who has been plagued by injuries and a dip in form, eliminated Cameron Norrie in the second round. That was by the loss of eight games and has now improved his record to 9-5. He hasn’t progressed to the last four at a tour event since 2022. Playing in Bastad as a wildcard, the 22-time major winner is ranked 224th in the live ranking.
This will be the first career matchup for the two players. Navone contested his first two career tour finals this year. Both were on clay, a surface he excels on. He therefore should arrive for this match fully confident of winning.
The Argentine, debuting in Bastad, began his campaign with a 2-0 victory over Sumit Nagal. The win marked a return to winning ways after a run of four successive defeats to end a poor grass season. He has now compiled a 26-15 record and registered all of his victories on clay.
A finalist in Bucharest and Rio as well as a semi-finalist in Marrakech, Navone has moved to 35th in the live ranking.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rafael Nadal v Mariano Navone Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 3.2 |
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1.1 | 7.48 |
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1.1 | 7.48 |
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1.35 | 3.18 |
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1.35 | 3.18 |
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1.09 | 7 |
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1.33 | 3.3 |
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1.32 | 3.2 |
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|
1.17 | 4.5 |
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|
5.6 | 1.15 |
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|
1.02 | 14 |
|
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Who will win the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone match is: Rafael Nadal to win 2-0.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone game on 19/07/2024 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:
- Rafael Nadal has a 65.01% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 5.6.
- Mariano Navone has a 34.99% probability of winning facing Rafael Nadal ⭐ with odds of 14 at Betway.
Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Nadal has a 65.01 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Rafael Nadal | 65.01 % |
Mariano Navone | 34.99 % |
Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Form
Rafael Nadal and Mariano Navone Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
18 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open
16 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open
27 May 2024 - ATP French Open
11 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
9 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open
30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
18 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open
1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2024 - ATP Eastbourne International
18 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
30 May 2024 - ATP French Open
28 May 2024 - ATP French Open
Rafael Nadal - Mariano Navone Key Points
- Navone has lost six times in his last eight fixtures.
- 11 of Navone’s 15 defeats this year have been on clay.
- Seven of Nadal’s nine victories this year came on clay.
- Nadal has won both his matches in Bastad without losing a set.
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Our Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Prediction
Though he seems to be past his best, Nadal remains one of the best players in the game. He is a master of the clay surface and it is no surprise that is where his best moments have been this year.
Navone on the other hand has lacked consistency in recent outings and also suffered most of his losses on clay. With Nadal yet to lose a set in Bastad, our prediction for Rafael Nadal v Mariano Navone is for Rafael Nadal to win 2-0.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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