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19 July 2024 - 07:25 

- QF

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 154 Spain
Rafael Nadal
VS
ATP 36 Argentina
Mariano Navone

Prediction :

Rafael Nadal to win 2-0

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Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Bastad Open

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions

Former world number one Rafa Nadal seeks a second win at the Swedish Open when he meets fourth seed Mariano Navone. This will be a quarter-final clash with the winner playing Duje Ajdukovic or Thiago Monteiro next. Here we highlight the players’ forms and offer a prediction for the match.

Nadal is back at Bastad after a 19-year hiatus. He won his first two matches without dropping a set. A champion here in 2005, the Spaniard’s start will strengthen his belief that he can go all the way once again.

Nadal, who has been plagued by injuries and a dip in form, eliminated Cameron Norrie in the second round. That was by the loss of eight games and has now improved his record to 9-5. He hasn’t progressed to the last four at a tour event since 2022. Playing in Bastad as a wildcard, the 22-time major winner is ranked 224th in the live ranking.

This will be the first career matchup for the two players. Navone contested his first two career tour finals this year. Both were on clay, a surface he excels on. He therefore should arrive for this match fully confident of winning.

The Argentine, debuting in Bastad, began his campaign with a 2-0 victory over Sumit Nagal. The win marked a return to winning ways after a run of four successive defeats to end a poor grass season. He has now compiled a 26-15 record and registered all of his victories on clay.

A finalist in Bucharest and Rio as well as a semi-finalist in Marrakech, Navone has moved to 35th in the live ranking.

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The Best Betting Odds for Rafael Nadal v Mariano Navone Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.36 3.2
1xbet
1.1 7.48
22bet
1.1 7.48
Betwinner
1.35 3.18
Stake
1.09 7
Melbet
1.33 3.3
Check all Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone odds
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Who will win the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone match is: Rafael Nadal to win 2-0.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone game on 19/07/2024 of the current ATP Bastad Open season:

  • Rafael Nadal has a 65.01% chance to win against Mariano Navone according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • Mariano Navone has a 34.99% probability of winning facing Rafael Nadal ⭐ with odds of 7.48 at 1xbet.

Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Nadal has a 65.01 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Rafael Nadal65.01 %
Mariano Navone34.99 %

Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Form

Rafael Nadal and Mariano Navone Last Matches

Rafael Nadal Last matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

18 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open

Cameron Norrie
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

16 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open

Rafael Nadal
2 :  0
Leo Borg

27 May 2024 - ATP French Open

Alexander Zverev
3 :  0
Rafael Nadal

11 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  0
Rafael Nadal

9 May 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Zizou Bergs
1 :  2
Rafael Nadal

30 Apr 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Rafael Nadal
0 :  2
Jiri Lehecka
Mariano Navone Last matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

18 Jul 2024 - ATP Bastad Open

Sumit Nagal
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

1 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mariano Navone
0 :  3
Lorenzo Sonego

25 Jun 2024 - ATP Eastbourne International

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Giles Hussey

18 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Jack Draper

30 May 2024 - ATP French Open

Mariano Navone
2 :  3
Tomas Machac

28 May 2024 - ATP French Open

Mariano Navone
3 :  1
Pablo Carreño-Busta

Rafael Nadal - Mariano Navone Key Points

  1. Navone has lost six times in his last eight fixtures.
  2. 11 of Navone’s 15 defeats this year have been on clay.
  3. Seven of Nadal’s nine victories this year came on clay.
  4. Nadal has won both his matches in Bastad without losing a set.
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Our Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Though he seems to be past his best, Nadal remains one of the best players in the game. He is a master of the clay surface and it is no surprise that is where his best moments have been this year.

Navone on the other hand has lacked consistency in recent outings and also suffered most of his losses on clay. With Nadal yet to lose a set in Bastad, our prediction for Rafael Nadal v Mariano Navone is for Rafael Nadal to win 2-0.

Prediction :

Rafael Nadal to win 2-0

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Rafael Nadal vs Mariano Navone Prediction
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