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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in Basketball Predictions
The second game seven of the 2022 NBA playoffs sees the top-seeded Suns take on the fourth-seed Mavericks at the Footprint Center in downtown Phoenix. Dallas was able to defend their home court and force a series deciding winner take all matchup after a 113-86 blowout in game six. The Mavs will now be tasked with winning a road game, which hasn’t happened yet for either team this series, if they want to advance to the Conference Finals for the first time since the 2011 title-winning team. In their way will be the defending Western Conference champion Phoenix Suns who recorded the league's best regular season record at 64 wins and 18 losses. History will also be against the Mavericks here, as Dallas has had a torrid time of things in their trips to Phoenix over the past few seasons and have now lost eight straight away to the Suns.
The key matchup to watch in this one will be the Suns’ Devin Booker vs the Mavericks’ Luka Doncic. Both young stars are tasked with being their team's main offensive threat but it’s the 23-year-old Slovenian Doncic that also carries the weight of being the team's primary ball handler and playmaker. Luka has been putting up his usual stat-stuffing performances, averaging 31.1 points per game, 10.1 rebounds and 6.8 assists, but it’s the Suns’ Devin Booker that we’re going to focus on for our bet in this game. The points total prop bet for the seventh-year shooting guard currently sits at 28.5. Booker was injured in the first-round series against the Pelicans which saw him miss three of the six games. Since returning for the sixth and final game of the Pelicans series, Booker has averaged 25.5 points per game in seven games. This will also be unfamiliar territory for the 25-year-old as this will be his first game seven. With game sevens usually resulting in teams tending to slow down the pace of play as possessions are placed at a premium, there will be fewer opportunities for Booker to get the touches required to hit the over.
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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Form
Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/4 (75%)
1/4 (25%)
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2/4 (50%)
2/4 (50%)
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22 Apr 2022 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 May 2022 - NBA
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28 Apr 2022 - NBA
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21 Apr 2022 - NBA
3/4 (75%)
1/4 (25%)
12 May 2022 - NBA
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18 Apr 2022 - NBA
16 Apr 2022 - NBA
2/4 (50%)
2/4 (50%)
10 May 2022 - NBA
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Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
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Phoenix Suns - Dallas Mavericks Key Points
- Booker has only scored over 28.5 points in two of the seven games he has played since returning from injury.
- Booker has played 18 career games against the Mavericks and averages 23.6 points per game.
- Only five of Booker’s 18 career games against Dallas has he scored more than 28.5 points.
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Our Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction
We’re going to back Devin Booker to score under 28.5 points as our bet for this game. It’s difficult to predict how some players will react to a game seven. Defense tends to have the advantage in this scenario as the backing the game total under would see you hit at a 61% clip dating back to 2003 in game seven of the NBA playoffs. We’re going to build off of that trend and back the Mavs defense to limit Booker’s effectiveness in this game.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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