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Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction & Betting Tips - MLB
by Joseph King | in Baseball Predictions
The MLB Playoffs continue on Saturday with game four of the NLDS when the Philadelphia Phillies host the Atlanta Braves at Citizens Bank Park. The defending champion Braves are at risk of being sent home early as the Phillies hold a 2-1 series lead after their big 9-1 win in game three. Elimination would come as a surprise as Atlanta finished the regular season with an NL East best 101-61 record while the Phillies finished a full 14 games behind them in the standings with an 87-75 final mark. However, Philadelphia comes into this game with excellent momentum after defeating the Cardinals 2-0 in the Wild Card and winning the first two out of three games in this series.
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Form
Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Oct 2022 - MLB
12 Oct 2022 - MLB
11 Oct 2022 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Oct 2022 - MLB
11 Oct 2022 - MLB
20 Sep 2022 - MLB
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17 Aug 2022 - MLB
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Oct 2022 - MLB
26 Sep 2022 - MLB
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23 Aug 2022 - MLB
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves: Form Analysis
Philadelphia come in as the hotter team overall now with four wins in their last five games and seven wins from their last 10. Atlanta, meanwhile, has dropped three of their last five and are 5-5 over their last 10 outings. The Phillies have been much better at Citizens Bank Park this season and have a home record of 47-34 compared to a below .500 40-41 away record. Atlanta has been a solid road team though and their 46-35 away record is the third best mark in the National League.
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Philadelphia Phillies & Atlanta Braves Squad Analysis
Taking the mound for the Braves is Charlie Morton who posted a regular season record of 9-6 with an ERA of 4.34 through 31 starts. Despite Morton’s recent struggles, the Braves have been able to get wins with him on the mound. Atlanta has won their last three straight games with Morton as the starter and five of the last six overall. On the other side, Philadelphia look set for a bullpen game here with Noah Syndergaard tasked with starting the first few innings. Syndergaard looked excellent in his last outing, lasting five innings while pitching a shutout and only allowing two hits overall.
Philadelphia Phillies - Atlanta Braves Key Points
- The Braves have been crushing right-handed pitchers all season and have the fourth-best team OPS in the league at .753.
- Braves starter Charlie Morton has struggled in recent outings, allowing nine earned runs in his last nine innings of work while allowing four home runs.
- Morton has not been good against the Phillies this season, posting a 5.47 ERA and opponent batting average of .301 in 26 innings against them.
- Additionally, Morton has struggled on the road overall with a 5.72 ERA through 82 innings.
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Our Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
We’re going to back over 9 runs as our bet for this one. The Braves are at serious threat of being sent packing here as their starting pitcher has not been convincing against this team so far this season. We should also see an improved offense performance from Atlanta after being held to just one run in game three. The Braves will likely need a strong showing offensively if they are to live to fight another day and force this one to a game five.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves - Other Interesting Predictions
First 5 innings over 5 runs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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