Europe - Challenge Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Challenge Cup Predictions
Ospreys will host Scarlets in this 2024-25 European Rugby Challenge Cup round-of-16 tie on Sunday at the Swansea.com Stadium. The winner of this match will face either Lyon or Sharks in the last-8. Can Ospreys see off the Turks to qualify for the quarterfinals? Here is our prediction for the match.
Ospreys suffered a 38-22 away league loss against Scarlets in their last match. Hence, the Swansea-based side will head into this match not only to fight for a place 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but to also avenge their recent loss.
Notably, Mark Jones' side have been impressive at home, winning six of their last seven matches. This includes double-digit Challenge Cup victories against Lions (30-14) and Newcastle Falcons (35-15).
After a three-match losing streak, Scarlets returned to winning ways with a 38-22 victory over Ospreys in their last match. However, they will head into this match as underdogs, having lost their last six away matches in all competitions.
Additionally, the Llanelli-based side have lost four of their last five encounters with Ospreys. They are also winless in their last four away fixtures against Ospreys, averaging a 15.3-point losing margin. Hence, our tip for the spread.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ospreys v Scarlets Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.36 | 23 | 3.2 |
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1.36 | 34 | 3 |
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1.42 | 23 | 3.03 |
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1.42 | 23 | 3.03 |
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1.39 | 22 | 3.35 |
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Ospreys vs Scarlets Form
Ospreys and Scarlets Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
22 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
14 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
24 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup

3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
22 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
1 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
15 Feb 2025 - Pro 12
25 Jan 2025 - Pro 12
18 Jan 2025 - Challenge Cup
Ospreys vs Scarlets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
29 Mar 2025 - Pro 12
21 Dec 2024 - Pro 12
Ospreys - Scarlets Key Points
- Ospreys have won six of their last seven home matches.
- Ospreys have won their two 2024-25 Challenge Cup home matches, scoring 65 points and conceding 29.
- Scarlets have lost their last six away matches.
- Scarlets have lost their last four away matches against Ospreys by an average of 15.3 points.
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Our Ospreys vs Scarlets Prediction
Ospreys will head into this match as the favorites to win and will have a lot to play for. They will not only be fighting for a sport in the 2024-25 Challenge Cup quarterfinals, but also, to avenge their recent defeat to Scarlets.
Mark Jones' side have won six of their last seven home matches, including both of their Challenge Cup home matches. They have also won their last four home matches against Scarlets, averaging an impressive 15.3-point winning margin. Hence, our Ospreys vs Scarlets prediction is Ospreys -6.5 points handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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