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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Devesh Jaganath in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder will play host to the Denver Nuggets at the Paycom Center in the NBA on Saturday afternoon. OKC (52-12) lead the Western Conference standings, while the Nuggets (41-22) are in third place. Let’s get into the match prediction!
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been in fine form of late, currently riding an impressive six-match win streak after easing past the Trail Blazers 107-89 last night.
Oklahoma opted to rest the majority of their regular starters for the match, but Aaron Wiggins stepped up to lead the team with 30 points, while Alex Carruso added 17 points off the bench.
The Thunder are a top-five side on both ends this season, fourth for points scored (118.8 PPG) and second for points against (106.5).
Meanwhile, the Denver Nuggets have also been enjoying a solid run of results, now aiming for a third straight win after a thrilling 149-141 overtime victory over the Suns last night.
Nikola Jokic delivered a stellar performance of 30 points, 22 assists and 21 rebounds, while Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun provided solid support, combining for 52 points.
The Nuggets are the third-highest-scoring team in the NBA, averaging 121.5 points per game, but they allow 116.3 PPG (23rd in the league).
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.32 | 3.5 |
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1.28 | 3.5 |
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1.32 | 3.4 |
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1.32 | 3.55 |
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1.3 | 3.1 |
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1.3 | 3.6 |
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1.31 | 3.5 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game on 09/03/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 64.24% chance to pick up the win against Denver Nuggets according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.32.
- There is a probability of 35.76% ⭐ for Denver Nuggets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 3.6 at Betway.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets's standings in the NBA
Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
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1
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0.825 | 63 | 52 | 11 | 6 |
3
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0.651 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 2 |
Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Last Matches

6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
7 Mar 2025 - NBA
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28 Feb 2025 - NBA
26 Feb 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Mar 2025 - NBA
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10 Feb 2025 - NBA
7 Feb 2025 - NBA
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
5 Mar 2025 - NBA
2 Mar 2025 - NBA
28 Feb 2025 - NBA
26 Feb 2025 - NBA
23 Feb 2025 - NBA
21 Feb 2025 - NBA

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Mar 2025 - NBA
5 Mar 2025 - NBA
2 Mar 2025 - NBA
28 Feb 2025 - NBA
27 Feb 2025 - NBA
24 Feb 2025 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Mar 2025 - NBA
5 Mar 2025 - NBA
22 Feb 2025 - NBA
20 Feb 2025 - NBA
12 Feb 2025 - NBA
10 Feb 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
2 Mar 2025 - NBA
28 Feb 2025 - NBA
27 Feb 2025 - NBA
24 Feb 2025 - NBA
8 Feb 2025 - NBA
1 Feb 2025 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
6 Nov 2024 - NBA
24 Oct 2024 - NBA
31 Jan 2024 - NBA
29 Dec 2023 - NBA
16 Dec 2023 - NBA
29 Oct 2023 - NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- The Thunder have won four of their last five matches against this opponent.
- The Thunder have the second-best cover rate in the NBA this season at 61.7% (37-23-4 ATS).
- The Thunder have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
- The Thunder are 31-10 at home this season.
- The Nuggets have only covered the spread in two of their last seven games.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
While both these sides are playing the end of a back-to-back, Oklahoma took the opportunity to rest their big hitters last night, so they will enter this match with the fresher roster as they look to extend their active win streak.
The Nuggets, on the other hand, come into this match off the back of an energy-sapping overtime victory over the Suns, and while we expect them to be competitive, we feel the hosts will be too good in this contest. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction is Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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