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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction & Betting Tips - MLB
by Joseph King | in MLB Predictions
The third-place Yankees take on the fourth-place Blue Jays in this AL East matchup in the still young 2023 Major League Baseball season. New York has gotten off to a solid start, winning 13 of their first 21 games. However, the red-hot start of the Tampa Bay Rays means that the Yanks sit five games back for the division lead ahead of this matchup with Toronto. For the Blue Jays, they’ll be looking to build some consistency and pull level with New York in this game as they trail their opponents today by just one game having won 12 of 21 games so far.
The Yankees dropped the first of this three game series by a scoreline of 6-1 on Friday. They were able to respond in game two with a 3-2 win courtesy of a DJ LeMahieu walk off single in the bottom of the ninth in front of the home fans at Yankee Stadium. New York has now won five of the last seven games as the World Series hopefuls will now look to close out this series with a win. Taking the mound for the Yankees is Clarke Schmidt who has not experienced a good start to his 2023 campaign. The 27-year-old righty has made four starts on the season so far and has a massive 8.79 ERA. Schmidt only lasted three and two-thirds innings in his most recent outing against the Angels but allowed six hits, four earned runs and a home run during that time.
The Blue Jays will be desperate for win here and a subsequent win in the first series against their division rivals. Toronto have hit something of a speed bump in the last week of games with four losses in their last six contests. However, they will likely fancy their chances of getting the better of New York here with a significant advantage on the mound. Kevin Gausman takes the bump for the visiting Jays and will be looking to bounce back after a tough start in his last appearance. Gausman started the season excellently, pitching 12 innings of shutout baseball across two starts. His last start, however, saw the 30-year-old lefty give up seven earned runs and two homers in four and two-thirds innings pitched. Gausman has a 3.35 ERA on the season and the Blue Jays have won two of the four games that he has started.
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New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Form
New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays's standings in the MLB
Teams | % | P | W | L |
---|---|---|---|---|
9
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0.549 | 162 | 89 | 73 |
16
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0.506 | 162 | 82 | 80 |
New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Apr 2023 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Apr 2023 - MLB
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11 Oct 2022 - MLB
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
20 Oct 2022 - MLB
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15 Oct 2022 - MLB
26 Sep 2022 - MLB
18 Sep 2022 - MLB
31 Aug 2022 - MLB
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
19 Apr 2023 - MLB
8 Apr 2023 - MLB
6 Apr 2023 - MLB
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5 Oct 2022 - MLB
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
8 Oct 2022 - MLB
26 Sep 2022 - MLB
15 Sep 2022 - MLB
29 Jun 2022 - MLB
18 Jun 2022 - MLB
20 May 2022 - MLB
3/5 (60%)
2/5 (40%)
19 Apr 2023 - MLB
8 Apr 2023 - MLB
6 Apr 2023 - MLB
5 Apr 2023 - MLB
5 Oct 2022 - MLB
New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
26 Sep 2022 - MLB
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16 Jun 2021 - MLB
25 May 2021 - MLB
14 Apr 2021 - MLB
New York Yankees - Toronto Blue Jays Key Points
- New York has lost three of the four games that Schmidt has started, with the most recent a 5-2 defeat to the Angels.
- Schmidt has given up a home run in three of his four starts and has allowed at least three runs in all four starts.
- The Blue Jays have hit right-handed pitchers well so far this season and have a team OPS of .741, the 10th best mark in the MLB.
- The Yankees have a team OPS of only .645 against lefties this season which is the eighth worst mark in the league.
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Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
The oddsmakers have the Blue Jays listed as the road favorites which may come as a surprise to some. However, it’s important to note that Toronto likely has a significant pitching advantage here which could ultimately decide the winner of this clash. We’re inclined to agree with the books as we believe the Blue Jays are good value for a road win here. There’s also a strong argument to be made in backing Toronto on the first five innings line to really target the pitching mismatch but we’ll stick to the full game as our official pick. Our New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction: Blue Jays to win
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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