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USA - MLB

New York Yankees
11 Jun 2023 19:10
Boston Red Sox

Prediction :

 

First five innings under 4.5 runs scored

 
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Betting Tips - MLB

 by Joseph King | in MLB Predictions

Baseball’s biggest rivalry is ignited yet again when the AL East’s third-place New York Yankees take on the fifth-placed Boston Red Sox. Both teams will be desperate for the win as the series is tied at 1-1 in the first series of the season between these historic foes. The Red Sox took the first game by a score of 3-2 as the underdogs on Friday. The Yankees would respond yesterday with a 3-1 victory for only their second win in the last five games. The AL East is the toughest division in baseball at the moment so each win against division rivals carries with it added significance. The Yankees have 38 wins and a .582 winning percentage but trail the first-place Rays by 8.5 games. Boston, meanwhile, sits just below .500 with 32 wins and 33 losses for a 14 game deficit behind the division-leading Rays.

Taking the mound for New York is Clarke Schmidt who has posted a 2-6 record on the season with an ERA of 4.96. Schmidt had a tough start to the season but has put together a string of very effective starts in his most recent outings. The 27-year-old righty has allowed only six earned runs in his last 21.2 innings pitched. In addition, Schmidt has proven effective making batters miss, registering 66 strikeouts in 61 innings pitched total. The Yanks will also have to cope without the instant offense generated by Aaron Judge. The former MVP is on the sidelines with a toe injury and it’s still unclear when he’ll return to action. 

Boston will send out Brayan Bello as the starting pitcher who is 3-4 on the season with a 3.97 ERA. Bello is coming off a six-inning, three earned run performance in his last start but was unable to get sufficient run support as his Red Sox team suffered a 4-1 loss. The three runs allowed in his last outing was the most he has given up in the last seven starts as the 24-year-old has done an excellent job at keeping teams off the scoreboard in general.

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Form

New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox's standings in the MLB

Teams % P W L
16
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
0.506 162 82 80
19
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
0.481 162 78 84

New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox Last Matches

New York Yankees
New York Yankees Last matches
W L L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

17 May 2023 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
New York Yankees

10 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
11 :  3
Athletics

8 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Athletics

2 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

28 Apr 2023 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  2
New York Yankees
W L L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

10 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
11 :  3
Athletics

8 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
7 :  2
Athletics

2 May 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
4 :  2
Cleveland Guardians

23 Apr 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
1 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

19 Apr 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  2
Los Angeles Angels
W W L L W W
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

6/6 (100%)

17 May 2023 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  0
New York Yankees

28 Apr 2023 - MLB

Texas Rangers
5 :  2
New York Yankees

20 Oct 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
3 :  2
New York Yankees

19 Oct 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
New York Yankees

15 Oct 2022 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  5
New York Yankees

26 Sep 2022 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
3 :  2
New York Yankees
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox Last matches
L W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

30 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

17 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
12 :  3
Seattle Mariners

2 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

1 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

19 Apr 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  10
Minnesota Twins
L W L W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

30 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
8 :  9
Cincinnati Reds

17 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
12 :  3
Seattle Mariners

2 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
7 :  6
Toronto Blue Jays

1 May 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
6 :  5
Toronto Blue Jays

19 Apr 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  10
Minnesota Twins

17 Apr 2023 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
4 :  5
Los Angeles Angels
L W L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

13 Apr 2023 - MLB

Tampa Bay Rays
9 :  3
Boston Red Sox

21 Aug 2022 - MLB

Baltimore Orioles
5 :  3
Boston Red Sox

3 Aug 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  1
Boston Red Sox

17 Jul 2022 - MLB

New York Yankees
13 :  2
Boston Red Sox

29 Jun 2022 - MLB

Toronto Blue Jays
5 :  6
Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

New York Yankees

50 %

Boston Red Sox

50 %

10 Jun 2023 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  1
Boston Red Sox

14 Aug 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
3 :  0
New York Yankees

17 Jul 2022 - MLB

New York Yankees
13 :  2
Boston Red Sox

10 Jul 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
11 :  6
New York Yankees

7 Jul 2022 - MLB

Boston Red Sox
5 :  6
New York Yankees

10 Apr 2022 - MLB

New York Yankees
3 :  4
Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees - Boston Red Sox Key Points

  1. The last three games where Clarke Schmidt has started for New York have all seen five total runs scored or less.
  2. Brayan Bello has allowed only 12 earned runs in his last 38 innings pitched.
  3. The Yankees are averaging only 3.1 runs scored per game in the six games since the injury to Aaron Judge.
  4. Only one total run has been scored in the first 5 innings between these two teams in their two meetings so far this series.

Our New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

These two starters have both been pitching quite well in recent appearances despite their less-than-ideal records. Brayan Bello in particular has been very effective this season at limiting opponents scoring potential and keeping those run totals down to just one or two in his recent starts. With the Yankees Clarke Schmidt also in a fairly strong run of form, we expect both pitchers to come up with solid showings here in what should be a low-scoring affair. The first five line here takes the bullpens out of the equation and lets us focus on the starting pitching matchup. Our New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for under 4.5 runs to be scored in the first five innings.

Prediction :

 

First five innings under 4.5 runs scored

 
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New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Prediction

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