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New Orleans Saints
07 Jan 2024 13:00
Atlanta Falcons

Prediction :

 

Saints -3 point spread

 
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New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction & Betting Tips - NFL

 by Joseph King | in NFL Predictions

The final week of the NFL season sees the New Orleans Saints and the Atlanta Falcons facing off with a possible spot in the playoffs on the line. The Saints sit second in the NFC South despite having an identical 8-8 record as the first-place Tampa Bay Buccaneers. A win in this game paired with the 2-14 Panthers beating the Bucs would see the Saints be crowned division champions. The Falcons, at 7-9, can still sneak the NFC South title as well should they win this game. However, they will also need the Bucs to lose to the Panthers. 

New Orleans comes into this season-defining game off the back of a 23-13 win over the Buccaneers last Sunday to keep their postseason hopes alive. The victory was the Saints’ third in the last four weeks as they’ve battled back from a 5-7 record after week 13. Their defense in particular has really stepped it up as they have allowed just 11.8 points per game over their last four. This includes two consecutive games where they held their opponents to just six points. As for the Falcons, they have put themselves in a precarious position with some poor performances down the stretch. Atlanta was 6-6 after week 13 but have managed just a single win in their last four appearances. A heavy 37-17 loss to the Chicago Bears was the latest loss for the Dirty Birds. 

Despite running back Alvin Kamara being a game-time decision, quarterback Derek Carr is in a fine run of form with eight touchdowns and only one interception in his last three appearances. With the 12th-most passing yards per game in the NFL (234) compared to the 22nd-raked Falcons’ (200.8), the Saints have a notable advantage in the passing game. Atlanta quarterback Taylor Heinicke is listed as questionable for this game and his coming off his worst game of the season. The 30-year-old went just 10/29 with 163 passing yards and three interceptions.

The Best Betting Odds for New Orleans Saints v Atlanta Falcons Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.56 2.5
NetBet
1.5 2.25
1xbet
1.58 2.38
22bet
1.58 2.38
Betwinner
1.55 2.46
LSbet
1.55 2.46
Tonybet
1.55 2.41
Unibet
1.57 2.4
Betsson
1.56 2.45
William Hill
1.59 2.5
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New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Form

New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons's standings in the NFL

Teams Pts P W D L
19
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints
1 17 9 0 8
22
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons
-3 17 7 0 10

New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons Last Matches

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

31 Dec 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  23
New Orleans Saints

21 Dec 2023 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
30 :  22
New Orleans Saints

17 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  6
New York Giants

10 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
28 :  6
Carolina Panthers

3 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
28 :  33
Detroit Lions

26 Nov 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  15
New Orleans Saints
L L W L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

17 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  6
New York Giants

10 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
28 :  6
Carolina Panthers

3 Dec 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
28 :  33
Detroit Lions

19 Oct 2023 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
24 :  31
Jacksonville Jaguars

7 Nov 2022 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
13 :  27
Baltimore Ravens

3 Oct 2021 - NFL

New Orleans Saints
21 :  27
New York Giants
L W L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

31 Dec 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  23
New Orleans Saints

21 Dec 2023 - NFL

Los Angeles Rams
30 :  22
New Orleans Saints

26 Nov 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  15
New Orleans Saints

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
27 :  19
New Orleans Saints

8 Oct 2023 - NFL

New England Patriots
0 :  34
New Orleans Saints

24 Sep 2023 - NFL

Green Bay Packers
18 :  17
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons Last matches
W W L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

31 Dec 2023 - NFL

Chicago Bears
37 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

24 Dec 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
29 :  10
Indianapolis Colts

17 Dec 2023 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
9 :  7
Atlanta Falcons

10 Dec 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
25 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

3 Dec 2023 - NFL

New York Jets
8 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

26 Nov 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  15
New Orleans Saints
W L L W L W
Victories

2/3 (67%)

Draw

0/3 (0%)

Defeats

1/3 (33%)

24 Dec 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
29 :  10
Indianapolis Colts

10 Dec 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
25 :  29
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

26 Nov 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  15
New Orleans Saints
W L L W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

31 Dec 2023 - NFL

Chicago Bears
37 :  17
Atlanta Falcons

17 Dec 2023 - NFL

Carolina Panthers
9 :  7
Atlanta Falcons

3 Dec 2023 - NFL

New York Jets
8 :  13
Atlanta Falcons

12 Nov 2023 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
25 :  23
Atlanta Falcons

22 Oct 2023 - NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
13 :  16
Atlanta Falcons

14 Nov 2021 - NFL

Dallas Cowboys
43 :  3
Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

26 Nov 2023 - NFL

Atlanta Falcons
24 :  15
New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints - Atlanta Falcons Key Points

  1. The Saints have allowed just 11.8 points per game over their last four and have the sixth-best rated defense overall with 19.4 points allowed per contest.
  2. New Orleans have won three of their last four games while Atlanta have lost three of their last four.
  3. Atlanta QB Taylor Heinicke is listed as questionable while Saints QB Derek Carr is in fine form with eight touchdowns and one interception over his last three games.
  4. The hosts are a better team across various metrics, ranking 15th in DVOA (-0.8%) compared to the Falcons who are among the league's worst at 28th (-16.8%).

Our New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

Derek Carr should be able to carry this Saints team to a victory here against a Falcons' defense that ranks 21st in defensive DVOA. While both of these teams will need the Panthers to do them a massive favor and beat the Bucs, motivation certainly won't be a factor in this game. Atlanta simply haven't been performing well enough in the last four weeks to consider backing them here. Add to the fact that they have quarterback problems regardless of whether Ridder or Heinicke line up under center. Back the Saints to cover the spread. Our New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons prediction is for the Saints -3.

Prediction :

 

Saints -3 point spread

 
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New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction

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