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Etats-Unis - MLB

Minnesota Twins
10 Oct 2023 16:07
Houston Astros

Prediction :

 

Minnesota Twins wins the match

 
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Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction & Betting Tips - MLB

 by Joseph King | in Baseball Predictions

Game three of the ALDS in the MLB Playoffs sees the Minnesota Twins looking to go up 2-1 as they host the Houston Astros. The winner of this best-of-five series advances to the ALCS and a matchup against either the Orioles or the Rangers. The Twins were able to steal home field advantage away from Houston thanks to their 6-2 win in game two on the road. They now have a chance to close out the series in front of their home fans with the next two games set to take place at Target Field. Minnesota is in good form in this postseason so far. They beat the Blue Jays two games to zero in the Wild Card round and split the first two games in Houston. The Twins finished the regular season atop the AL Central with 87 wins and 75 losses. They’ve now won 11 of their last 15. Sonny Gray gets the start for the hosts in game three and was 8-8 in the regular season with a 2.79 ERA. 

Despite losing home field advantage, Houston will be confident considering their superb results on the road this season. The Astros finished the 2023 regular season with the third-best road record in the big leagues with 51 wins and 30 losses (63%). However, they’ll have their hands full here against a Twins team that appears to be picking up steam at the perfect time. The Astros clinched the AL West on the final day of the regular season, beating out the Rangers with a 90-72 record. The defending champions had previously won five games in a row before the game two loss to the Twins. It was also the first time that Houston's defense had given up more than four runs during that winning streak. They’ll turn to Cristian Javier as the starter on Tuesday, with the 26-year-old boasting a 10-5 record and 4.56 regular season ERA.

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Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Form

Minnesota Twins and Houston Astros Last Matches

Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

8 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins

7 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

4 Oct 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  0
Toronto Blue Jays

3 Oct 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

26 Sep 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
11 :  3
Athletics

22 Sep 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  6
Los Angeles Angels
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

4 Oct 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  0
Toronto Blue Jays

3 Oct 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  1
Toronto Blue Jays

26 Sep 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
11 :  3
Athletics

22 Sep 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
8 :  6
Los Angeles Angels

20 Aug 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
2 :  0
Pittsburgh Pirates

19 Aug 2023 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
4 :  7
Pittsburgh Pirates
W W L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

8 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins

7 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

20 Sep 2023 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
3 :  5
Minnesota Twins

19 Sep 2023 - MLB

Cincinnati Reds
0 :  7
Minnesota Twins

4 Sep 2023 - MLB

Cleveland Guardians
6 :  20
Minnesota Twins

12 Aug 2023 - MLB

Philadelphia Phillies
1 :  8
Minnesota Twins
Houston Astros
Houston Astros Last matches
W W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

8 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins

7 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

1 Oct 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  8
Houston Astros

30 Sep 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 :  1
Houston Astros

26 Sep 2023 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Houston Astros

25 Sep 2023 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  5
Houston Astros
L L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

8 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins

7 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

22 Sep 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  7
Kansas City Royals

19 Sep 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
5 :  9
Baltimore Orioles

13 Sep 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  2
Athletics

12 Sep 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Athletics
W L W W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

1 Oct 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
1 :  8
Houston Astros

30 Sep 2023 - MLB

Arizona Diamondbacks
0 :  1
Houston Astros

26 Sep 2023 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
6 :  2
Houston Astros

25 Sep 2023 - MLB

Seattle Mariners
1 :  5
Houston Astros

15 Sep 2023 - MLB

Kansas City Royals
4 :  2
Houston Astros

14 Aug 2023 - MLB

Miami Marlins
5 :  1
Houston Astros

Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Minnesota Twins

17 %

Houston Astros

83 %

8 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
2 :  6
Minnesota Twins

7 Oct 2023 - MLB

Houston Astros
6 :  4
Minnesota Twins

23 Aug 2022 - MLB

Houston Astros
4 :  2
Minnesota Twins

12 May 2022 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
3 :  11
Houston Astros

30 Sep 2020 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  3
Houston Astros

29 Sep 2020 - MLB

Minnesota Twins
1 :  4
Houston Astros

Minnesota Twins - Houston Astros Key Points

  1. Despite the Twins bullpen sitting on an average 3.95 team ERA, they rank top four in the AL in terms of WHIP at 1.25.
  2. Cristian Javier has struggled all season on the road, seeing his ERA shoot up to 5.42 (with a 1.34 WHIP), compared to his 3.71 ERA (1.21 WHIP) at home.
  3. Sonny Gray has been even better at Target Field this season, posting a 2.67 ERA and 1.11 WHIP compared to 2.92 ERA and 1.19 WHIP away.
  4. Gray has given up one or fewer earned runs in six of his last seven starts, totaling 41 innings of work.
  5. Minnesota has won 11 of their last 15 games.
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Our Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction

Twins starter Sonny Gray is looking extremely sharp on the mound with only four total earned runs allowed in his last 28 innings pitched at Target Field. Both teams are hitting righties very well at the moment, each ranking top five in team OPS vs righties in the last 30 days. However, we give a significant edge to the Twins and their bullpen as the more likely team to limit the others' offense. Additionally, Minnesota is playing with a ton of confidence and momentum, making them look like legitimate contenders. With the home crowd behind them, we like the Twins to take the lead in this series. Our Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros prediction is for the Twins to win.

Prediction :

 

Minnesota Twins wins the match

 
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Minnesota Twins vs Houston Astros Prediction
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