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USA - NBA

Miami Heat
22 Mar 2024 20:00
New Orleans Pelicans

Prediction :

New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 point spread

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Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

 by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions

The New Orleans Pelicans conclude their Florida tour with a trip to South Beach to face the Miami Heat on Friday in the NBA. Miami sits seventh in the East with a 38-31 record while the Pels occupy the fifth position in the West with a mark of 42-27. 

The Heat are coming off a hard-earned 107-104 away win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, led by Jimmy Butler’s 30 points and four steals on 11 for 19 shooting. Terry Rozier, acquired by the Heat at the trade deadline, hit a clutch stepback three with 14 seconds remaining to give his team a three-point lead. They would hold on after Darius Garland hit the front rim on a tough double-clutch deep three to tie the game at the buzzer. The win was Miami’s third in their last four games as they chase a top-six seed for an automatic playoff qualification spot. They currently trail the sixth-place Pacers by just a half game and are tied with the eighth-placed Sixers who possess an identical record.

The New Orleans Pelicans saw their three-game winning streak come to an end on Thursday after a 121-106 away loss to the Orlando Magic. The defeat has the Pels maintaining their fifth-place position in the West with a 1.5 game lead over both the Mavericks and the Suns for a spot in the top six, as well as trailing the Clippers by the same amount for the fourth seed. New Orleans has been one of the league’s best teams since February as they have amassed a 15-6 record during that time. Key to their success has been their increased defensive level as the Pelicans now rank fifth in the NBA in adjusted defensive rating. Over their last nine games, of which they’ve posted a 7-2 record, the Pelicans have held their opponents to just 104.1 points on average.

The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v New Orleans Pelicans Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
NetBet
1.62 2.15
Tonybet
1.81 2.01
Check all Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans odds
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Who will win the Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Basketball game?

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans game on 22/03/2024 of the current NBA season:

  • Miami Heat has a 69.12% chance to pick up the win against New Orleans Pelicans according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.81.
  • There is a probability of 30.88% ⭐ for New Orleans Pelicans to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 2.15 at NetBet.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Form

Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
7
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
0.598 82 49 33 -1
8
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.561 82 46 36 2

Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans Last Matches

Miami Heat
Miami Heat Last matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

20 Mar 2024 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
104 :  107
Miami Heat

18 Mar 2024 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
98 :  91
Miami Heat

17 Mar 2024 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
101 :  104
Miami Heat

15 Mar 2024 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
95 :  108
Miami Heat

13 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
88 :  100
Denver Nuggets

10 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  110
Washington Wizards
W L W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

13 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
88 :  100
Denver Nuggets

10 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
108 :  110
Washington Wizards

5 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
118 :  110
Detroit Pistons

2 Mar 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
126 :  120
Utah Jazz

11 Feb 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
106 :  110
Boston Celtics

7 Feb 2024 - NBA

Miami Heat
116 :  104
San Antonio Spurs
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

20 Mar 2024 - NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers
104 :  107
Miami Heat

18 Mar 2024 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
98 :  91
Miami Heat

17 Mar 2024 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
101 :  104
Miami Heat

15 Mar 2024 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
95 :  108
Miami Heat

8 Mar 2024 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
107 :  100
Miami Heat

7 Mar 2024 - NBA

Dallas Mavericks
114 :  108
Miami Heat
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans Last matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

21 Mar 2024 - NBA

Orlando Magic
121 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

19 Mar 2024 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
91 :  104
New Orleans Pelicans

16 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
126 :  107
Portland Trail Blazers

15 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
112 :  104
LA Clippers

13 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
95 :  116
Cleveland Cavaliers

10 Mar 2024 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
103 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

16 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
126 :  107
Portland Trail Blazers

15 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
112 :  104
LA Clippers

13 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
95 :  116
Cleveland Cavaliers

1 Mar 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
129 :  102
Indiana Pacers

25 Feb 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
106 :  114
Chicago Bulls

23 Feb 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
95 :  106
Miami Heat
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

21 Mar 2024 - NBA

Orlando Magic
121 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

19 Mar 2024 - NBA

Brooklyn Nets
91 :  104
New Orleans Pelicans

10 Mar 2024 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
103 :  116
New Orleans Pelicans

8 Mar 2024 - NBA

Philadelphia 76ers
95 :  103
New Orleans Pelicans

5 Mar 2024 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
98 :  139
New Orleans Pelicans

28 Feb 2024 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
123 :  114
New Orleans Pelicans

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Heat

100 %

New Orleans Pelicans

0 %

23 Feb 2024 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
95 :  106
Miami Heat

22 Jan 2023 - NBA

Miami Heat
100 :  96
New Orleans Pelicans

18 Jan 2023 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
98 :  124
Miami Heat

10 Feb 2022 - NBA

New Orleans Pelicans
97 :  112
Miami Heat

17 Nov 2021 - NBA

Miami Heat
113 :  98
New Orleans Pelicans

Players list

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
B. Adebayo P. Mills T. Rozier N. Jovic J. Butler
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
J. Valanciunas C. McCollum Z. Williamson T. Murphy III H. Jones

Substitutes

Miami Heat
Miami Heat
T. Bryant O. Robinson D. Wright J. Cain C. Martin C. Swider J. Jaquez Jr. H. Highsmith
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans
L. Nance Jr. J. Robinson-Earl C. Zeller J. Alvarado J. Hawkins N. Marshall M. Ryan

Miami Heat - New Orleans Pelicans Key Points

  1. The Pelicans have the third best against the spread (ATS) record in the NBA at 39-29-1 (57.4%).
  2. Miami is one of 12 teams with an ATS record below 50% at 33-35-1 (48.5%).
  3. As road underdogs, the Pels are 10-5-1 against the spread (66.7%) this season and 9-7 in those games straight up.
  4. New Orleans has been one of the NBA's top road teams this season with their 22-14 record ranking as the second best mark in the West.
  5. The Pels rank fifth in adjusted net rating (+5.0) while the Heat rank 19th (+0.3).

Our Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

Miami has the rest advantage here with the Pelicans coming in on the road back-to-back. However, New Orleans at least won't have too much travel to contend with as Thursday's game was in Orlando. The Pelicans have the revenge angle here after being held to just 95 points on their home court in an 11-point loss when these two teams met in February. This should be an excellent defensive battle between two athletic teams which could mean that we're in for a close game on Friday. We'll take the underdogs at a number that we believe is a point or two too high. Our Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction is for the Pelicans +3.5.

Prediction :

New Orleans Pelicans +3.5 point spread

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans Prediction

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