USA - NBA
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
Game 3 of the NBA Playoff series between the Miami Heat and the Cleveland Cavaliers will come from the Kaseya Center on Saturday. The Cavs lead the series 2-0, having beaten the Heat at home in Games 1 and 2. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Miami Heat have it all to do in this series, having lost both games in Cleveland last week, and while they did produce a better performance in Game 2, they still struggled to keep up with their opponent.
Tyler Herro put on another impressive showing, scoring 33 points, but Miami were outscored 43-27 in the second quarter and never looked likely to be able to close the deficit in the second half.
The major issue for the Heat came at the three-point line, where they converted 16 of 45 compared to 22 of 45 by Cleveland, including missing two clutch threes by Nikola Jovic when they were trailing by just five points.
While Cleveland were pushed harder in Game 2, what became evident was that this team has the ability to raise their game a notch at crucial junctions and when it is needed the most.
In particular, Donovan Mitchell did so expertly in the last match, scoring 30 points - the 27th time in his career reaching the 30-point mark in the Playoffs.
On the defensive end, Jarrett Allen stood out with eight rebounds and a crucial steal late in the day. He will be a key figure this weekend in front of what should be a packed house at the Ksaeya Center.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Cleveland Cavaliers Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|
![]() |
2.9 | 1.43 |
|
![]() |
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
![]() |
2.76 | 1.44 |
|
![]() |
2.85 | 1.46 |
|
![]() |
2.8 | 1.45 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Who will win the Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers match is: Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers game on 26/04/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 32.16% chance to pick up the win against Cleveland Cavaliers according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.9.
- There is a probability of 67.84% ⭐ for Cleveland Cavaliers to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.46 at Tonybet.
Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Form
Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
18 Apr 2025 - NBA
16 Apr 2025 - NBA
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
7 Apr 2025 - NBA
5 Apr 2025 - NBA
3 Apr 2025 - NBA
27 Mar 2025 - NBA
25 Mar 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
18 Apr 2025 - NBA
16 Apr 2025 - NBA
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
9 Apr 2025 - NBA

4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
10 Apr 2025 - NBA
8 Apr 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
13 Apr 2025 - NBA
8 Apr 2025 - NBA
6 Apr 2025 - NBA
2 Apr 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
11 Apr 2025 - NBA
10 Apr 2025 - NBA
4 Apr 2025 - NBA
28 Mar 2025 - NBA
25 Mar 2025 - NBA
23 Mar 2025 - NBA
Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
23 Apr 2025 - NBA
20 Apr 2025 - NBA
5 Mar 2025 - NBA
29 Jan 2025 - NBA
8 Dec 2024 - NBA
24 Mar 2024 - NBA
Miami Heat - Cleveland Cavaliers Key Points
- The Cavaliers have won their last four games against this opponent.
- The Cavaliers have covered the spread in four of their last six games.
- The Cavaliers were 30-11 on the road during the regular season.
- The Cavaliers had the third-best cover rate in the NBA this season at 59% (49-34-1 ATS).
- The Heat were 19-22 at home during the regular season.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
The Miami Heat showed improvement in Game 2, scoring 12 more points than they did in Game 1, while holding the Cavs to the same points tally in both games. However, the question is, can they close the gap further before running out of time?
Cleveland raised their game when needed in Game 2, and the Heat struggled to respond, which does not bode well for Miami heading into this must-win match. Given the Cavs' performances in the series, this feels like a very achievable line. Our Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction is Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5.
If your team in the Miami Heat and Cleveland Cavaliers game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings