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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
by Joseph King | in NBA Predictions
The Boston Celtics face elimination from the 2023 NBA Playoffs when they take on the Miami Heat for game four of the Eastern Conference Finals. The second-seed Celtics find themselves down 3-0 in the series following their 128-102 loss to the eighth-seed Heat in game three. In NBA history, a team down 3-0 in a best of seven series has never comeback to advance in 149 previous attempts. Miami needs just one more win in the next four possible games to move on to an NBA Finals meeting with the Denver Nuggets. Denver just completed a sweep of their own, blasting LeBron James and the LA Lakers 4-0 to advance to their first ever Finals.
It wasn’t supposed to work out this way for the Boston Celtics. Finalists in the 2021/22 season, Boston were favorites to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy for most of the year. They would now need to make NBA history if they are to earn a Finals trip to take on the Nuggets. There are a combination of factors which have worked against the Celtics in this series. Most importantly, they simply aren’t hitting their shots. Boston shot 26% in the game three loss and 28% in the game two loss. For the team that jacks up the second most threes in the entire league, a large portion of their success is going to be down to their shots falling.
Miami, on the other hand, are hitting their shots. The Heat shot a red-hot 54% from downtown in game three, 34% in game two and 52% in game one. If they are able to keep up this kind of shooting while Boston continues to slump, this series will end on Tuesday night. Miami comes into this game having won their last four straight and six of their last seven in the 2023 playoffs. They’ve proven themselves time and again and would make a worthy representative of the Eastern Conference in the Finals.
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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Form
Miami Heat and Boston Celtics Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
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Miami Heat - Boston Celtics Key Points
- The Heat have the single best against the spread record in the NBA Playoffs at 11-3 (78.6%).
- Boston, meanwhile, are just 8-8 against the spread in this postseason run.
- Dating back to the regular season, Miami has now won five straight games against the Boston Celtics.
- History isn’t on Boston’s side here as underdogs coming off a blowout loss facing elimination are just 10-24 straight up.
- The Heat have yet to lose on their home court this postseason, going a perfect 6-0.
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Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction
It can be hard to predict how teams will react when facing a seemingly inescapable hole. The Celtics players will surely be aware of what they are up against, knowing that no team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit. Boston are still the more talented squad however so Miami cannot take their foot off the gas. History points towards the team up 3-0 completing the sweep and we’re going to continue with that trend here. Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics prediction is for the Heat to win and cover the -1.5 point spread.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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